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Novi Zagreb vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-84
15-15 25-18 25-25 14-26
Position#11
Record4-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#5
Record7-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game76.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 13
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Novi Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Novi ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
89-51
89
51
+38
86avg 64
A26/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
72-65 OT
72
65
+7
65avg 64
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
54-61
54
61
-7
44avg 64
A08/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
69avg 64
H16/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
76-73
76
73
+3
66avg 64
A23/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 64
A06/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
59avg 64
H13/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
66-76
66
76
-10
55avg 64
H16/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
56-96
56
96
-40
47avg 64
A20/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
62-99
62
99
-37
51avg 64
A10/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
19-12
18-16
29-8
21-9
11-19
17-21
13-13
12-16
17-20
14-10
11-15
23-17
14-25
19-19
16-19
15-25
21-20
20-7
20-21
14-25
23-24
16-19
17-14
23-15
18-25
16-17
11-17
16-18
16-16
18-18
16-24
8-27
13-18
20-28
15-23
11-25
20-28
18-19
13-27
144.2Avg total
68.5Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.075.8146.8-4.833%
Season at home (5)74.074.2148.2-0.240%
Season away (7)68.976.9145.7-8.029%
Last 10 (10)68.575.7144.2-7.230%
Last 5 (5)64.485.4149.8-21.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.485.4149.8-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)68.569.8138.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (3)85.367.7153.0+17.767%
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#8
W
84-77
84
77
+7
73avg 80
A08/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
88-61
88
61
+27
91avg 80
H15/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 80
A22/11
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A25/11
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#9
L
69-85
69
85
-16
55avg 80
H30/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
82-78
82
78
+4
77avg 80
A06/12
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
60-72
60
72
-12
no box
H09/12
Slovenian Cup
Omis
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
78avg 80
H13/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
50avg 80
A20/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
89-87
89
87
+2
92avg 80
H10/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
15-25
29-16
20-18
14-13
33-13
16-27
25-8
24-18
21-14
15-20
28-22
13-22
23-20
17-19
21-16
21-21
23-17
16-26
9-21
16-17
18-21
22-21
26-19
14-12
11-23
20-12
15-25
26-18
22-19
16-27
10-22
15-17
18-20
22-18
12-18
29-14
20-25
18-26
22-22
154.5Avg total
77.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.976.8158.8+5.158%
Season at home (7)82.175.9158.0+6.357%
Season away (5)81.678.2159.8+3.460%
Last 10 (10)77.577.0154.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)74.479.2153.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.588.8169.4-8.327%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.576.8157.4+3.755%
vs Weaker (7)83.471.3154.7+12.171%
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
Novi ZagrebGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Novi ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A26/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H02/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A08/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H16/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A23/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A06/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H13/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H16/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A20/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A10/01
Prva Liga
73.7Avg total
33.8Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)34.639.974.5-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (5)36.235.471.6+0.860%-
Last 30 away (7)33.443.176.6-9.714%-
Last 10 (10)33.839.973.7-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)32.444.276.6-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.444.276.6-11.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.537.871.2-4.225%-
vs Weaker (3)39.735.775.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A08/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H15/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A22/11
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/11
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H30/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A06/12
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H09/12
Slovenian Cup
Omis
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A20/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H10/01
Prva Liga
76.3Avg total
39.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.781.8+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.237.780.9+5.656%-
Last 30 away (12)42.840.383.2+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.776.3+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.275.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.242.583.7-1.445%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.237.578.7+3.664%-
vs Weaker (7)45.636.482.0+9.171%-
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Novi Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Novi Zagreb: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.614.8
46.8%
53.0%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.18.8
29.2%
32.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
71.6%12.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.0
50.7%
53.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.7
31.5%
32.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.613.5
68.9%
71.6%13.5
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Novi Zagreb
LLLLLWLLWW
Gorica
WLLLWLLWWW
#11
League position
#5
-9.0
Net rating
+6.2
90.0
Offensive rating
97.3
99.0
Defensive rating
91.1
45.4%
Effective FG%
49.3%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
22.8%
Turnover %
21.1%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.2%
3-point %
31.5%
68.6%
Assist %
68.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.0 · 97.3Defence99.0 · 91.1Shooting45.4% · 49.3%3-point %29.2% · 31.5%Ball care22.8% · 21.1%Off. rebounds29.5% · 31.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Novi Zagreb   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Novi Zagreb wins
0
Gorica wins
No previous meetings.
Novi Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AKastela62-99
20/12/25ASkrljevo56-96
16/12/25HJazine66-76
13/12/25HMladost68-74
06/12/25AOmis70-82
23/11/25AMarsonia76-73
16/11/25HDakovo72-80
08/11/25AKK Zagreb54-61
02/11/25HCrikvenica72-65 OT
26/10/25AOsijek89-51
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HSkrljevo89-87
20/12/25AMladost67-73
13/12/25HOmis74-86
09/12/25HAjdovscina60-72
06/12/25AJazine82-78
30/11/25HMarsonia69-85
25/11/25AAjdovscina74-77
22/11/25ADakovo88-74
15/11/25HKK Zagreb88-61
08/11/25ACrikvenica84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Novi Zagreb
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%40%29%
Points / game71.074.068.9
Allowed / game75.874.276.9
Point differential-4.8-0.2-8.0
Avg total146.8148.2145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW58%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%57%60%
Points / game81.982.181.6
Allowed / game76.875.978.2
Point differential+5.1+6.3+3.4
Avg total158.8158.0159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mladost1210283%78.869.2+9.7
2 Skrljevo1310377%93.475.3+18.1
3 Kastela139469%83.869.1+14.8
4 KK Zagreb139469%78.377.4+0.9
5 Omis138562%83.375.6+7.7
6 Gorica127558%81.976.8+5.1
7 Jazine127558%79.477.0+2.4
8 Dakovo137654%82.979.2+3.7
9 Crikvenica126650%76.677.0-0.4
10 Marsonia135838%77.176.8+0.2
11 Novi Zagreb124833%71.075.8-4.8
12 Amfora123925%78.288.7-10.4
13 Sonik Puntamika1331023%68.576.4-7.9
14 Osijek130130%64.8103.7-38.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Novi Zagreb1525251479
Gorica1518252684
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