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Mladost vs Novi Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-70
26-16 22-18 29-18 15-18
Position#3
Record16-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game74.6
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
vs
Novi Zagreb
Croatia
Position#11
Record11-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game74.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 23· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mladost v Novi Zagreb
22 Nov 2026
MLAD v NOVI
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
MLAD92
NOVI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Novi Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
119-92
119
92
+27
no box
H18/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
113-63
113
63
+50
109avg 72
H24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
84-92
84
92
-8
67avg 72
A31/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
82avg 72
A08/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
78avg 72
H14/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
96-89
96
89
+7
93avg 72
A21/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
75-72
75
72
+3
72avg 72
H28/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
67-72
67
72
-5
58avg 72
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
52-74
52
74
-22
45avg 72
H15/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
81-100
81
100
-19
72avg 72
A21/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
26-17
36-17
23-37
27-15
20-14
28-16
38-18
39-18
17-24
12-30
16-20
25-21
12-16
22-25
27-21
16-13
17-11
17-11
11-26
24-28
23-21
23-21
26-19
13-17
24-17
19-21
19-17
16-20
13-21
6-12
32-19
20-19
8-13
13-26
11-16
19-26
26-15
15-29
21-30
166.2Avg total
85.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.774.6156.3+7.173%
Season at home (11)83.973.3157.2+10.682%
Season away (11)79.575.9155.4+3.564%
Last 10 (10)85.181.1166.2+4.060%
Last 5 (5)74.281.4155.6-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.885.8162.6-9.133%
vs Similar (4)79.874.5154.2+5.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.471.5154.9+11.986%
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Novi ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Gorica
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
H17/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-83
95
83
+12
98avg 71
H24/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
87-64
87
64
+23
76avg 71
A31/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
120-53
120
53
+67
127avg 71
H04/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
42avg 71
A07/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
57-74
57
74
-17
41avg 71
H14/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
103-89
103
89
+14
101avg 71
A21/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
69avg 71
H07/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 71
A14/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 71
H21/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
25-18
25-25
14-26
29-19
25-22
25-20
16-22
25-16
15-22
22-23
25-3
22-14
37-4
27-15
34-20
18-14
4-19
11-5
18-18
12-18
11-21
24-18
10-17
26-28
25-21
24-24
28-16
19-17
13-21
27-18
19-17
17-13
19-25
22-16
23-23
19-13
20-20
22-20
24-29
157.1Avg total
83.6Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.774.7151.5+2.050%
Season at home (11)80.474.5154.9+5.855%
Season away (11)73.174.9148.0-1.845%
Last 10 (10)83.673.5157.1+10.170%
Last 5 (5)80.879.0159.8+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.783.7153.4-14.029%
vs Similar (9)71.372.8144.1-1.444%
vs Weaker (6)93.067.2160.2+25.883%
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
MladostNovi Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H18/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A31/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A08/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H14/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A21/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H28/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H15/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A21/03
Prva Liga
78.6Avg total
41.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.478.9+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.134.674.7+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)40.942.283.1-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.778.6+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.476.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.944.284.2-4.333%-
vs Similar (4)39.540.279.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.332.974.1+8.471%-
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Novi ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#5
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H17/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H24/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
59-18
59
18
+41
H04/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A07/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H14/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A21/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H07/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A14/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/03
Prva Liga
75.6Avg total
39.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)36.938.175.0-1.345%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.934.573.4+4.564%-
Last 30 away (11)34.841.876.6-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.075.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.475.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.941.775.6-7.929%-
vs Similar (9)33.638.171.7-4.633%-
vs Weaker (6)45.334.079.3+11.383%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.323.1
52.1%
53.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.6
29.1%
32.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws17.713.5
76.3%
71.6%13.5
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Novi Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Novi Zagreb: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.6
55.7%
53.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.7
34.8%
32.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.812.6
67.0%
71.6%12.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
LLLWWWWLWW
Novi Zagreb
WWWWLLWWWL
#3
League position
#11
+2.3
Net rating
+8.1
88.0
Offensive rating
95.9
85.7
Defensive rating
87.8
49.3%
Effective FG%
54.3%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.1%
3-point %
34.8%
59.6%
Assist %
62.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.0 · 95.9Defence85.7 · 87.8Shooting49.3% · 54.3%3-point %29.1% · 34.8%Ball care18.3% · 16.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Mladost   ■ Novi Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mladost wins
0
Novi Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Novi Zagreb v Mladost68-74
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26ASkrljevo81-100
15/03/26HKastela52-74
08/03/26HOmis67-72
28/02/26HKK Zagreb75-72
21/02/26AJazine96-89
14/02/26HMarsonia78-74 OT
08/02/26ADakovo86-83
31/01/26ACrikvenica84-92
24/01/26HOsijek113-63
18/01/26HAmfora119-92
Novi Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HOmis85-82
14/03/26AJazine81-77
07/03/26HMarsonia78-73
21/02/26ADakovo103-89
14/02/26HKK Zagreb57-74
07/02/26ACrikvenica51-56
04/02/26HOsijek120-53
31/01/26AAmfora87-64
24/01/26HSonik Puntamika95-83
17/01/26HGorica79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL73%
HomeWWWLL82%
AwayWLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%82%64%
Points / game81.783.979.5
Allowed / game74.673.375.9
Point differential+7.1+10.6+3.5
Avg total156.3157.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %14%18%9%
Novi Zagreb
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeWWLWW55%
AwayLWLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game76.780.473.1
Allowed / game74.774.574.9
Point differential+2.0+5.8-1.8
Avg total151.5154.9148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo2219386%96.576.0+20.5
2 Kastela2218482%87.465.8+21.6
3 Mladost2216673%81.774.6+7.1
4 Omis2214864%82.677.4+5.3
5 Gorica2213959%84.379.8+4.5
6 KK Zagreb2213959%81.078.2+2.8
7 Novi Zagreb22111150%76.774.7+2.0
8 Crikvenica22111150%75.777.3-1.6
9 Dakovo23111248%87.185.2+2.0
10 Jazine23111248%82.882.4+0.4
11 Marsonia2281436%76.878.7-1.9
12 Sonik Puntamika2371630%75.380.9-5.6
13 Amfora2241818%74.989.6-14.7
14 Osijek230230%64.0104.3-40.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost2622291592
Novi Zagreb1618181870
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