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Novi Zagreb vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 66-91
14-33 18-15 18-19 16-24
Position#11
Record11-13
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game75.9
Novi Zagreb
Croatia
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#2
Record19-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game66.4
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 25· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Novi Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Novi ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
87-64
87
64
+23
76avg 70
A31/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
120-53
120
53
+67
127avg 70
H04/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
42avg 70
A07/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
57-74
57
74
-17
41avg 70
H14/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
103-89
103
89
+14
101avg 70
A21/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
69avg 70
H07/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 70
A14/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 70
H21/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
70-92
70
92
-22
61avg 70
A28/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
70avg 70
H01/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
15-22
22-23
25-3
22-14
37-4
27-15
34-20
18-14
4-19
11-5
18-18
12-18
11-21
24-18
10-17
26-28
25-21
24-24
28-16
19-17
13-21
27-18
19-17
17-13
19-25
22-16
23-23
19-13
20-20
22-20
24-29
16-26
18-22
18-29
18-15
23-17
16-25
13-26
20-17
154.9Avg total
80.4Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.275.9152.1+0.446%
Season at home (12)79.775.4155.1+4.250%
Season away (12)72.876.3149.2-3.542%
Last 10 (10)80.474.5154.9+5.960%
Last 5 (5)77.281.8159.0-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.084.8154.8-14.822%
vs Similar (9)71.372.8144.1-1.444%
vs Weaker (6)93.067.2160.2+25.883%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
84-59
84
59
+25
86avg 85
A01/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
94-64
94
64
+30
98avg 85
H04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
94avg 85
A07/02
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
95-38
95
38
+57
91avg 85
H14/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
87-60
87
60
+27
84avg 85
A22/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
135-62
135
62
+73
147avg 85
H07/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
74-52
74
52
+22
73avg 85
A15/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
93-57
93
57
+36
94avg 85
H21/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
59avg 85
A28/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
85-61
85
61
+24
90avg 85
H01/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-10
16-20
26-21
18-8
29-14
19-17
29-11
17-22
26-29
18-14
21-21
26-25
27-14
15-5
24-13
29-6
27-14
16-21
25-14
19-11
33-4
28-29
37-12
37-17
19-20
13-8
26-13
16-11
27-12
22-20
20-13
24-12
7-21
16-19
24-19
23-26
20-15
23-15
19-8
23-23
153.5Avg total
90.8Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.666.4153.0+20.279%
Season at home (12)89.164.3153.4+24.883%
Season away (12)84.168.4152.5+15.775%
Last 10 (10)90.862.7153.5+28.190%
Last 5 (5)91.463.4154.8+28.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)69.581.5151.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)87.468.1155.4+19.379%
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +8.6+8.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +10.6+10.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +7.1+7.1
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +8.6+8.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +10.6+10.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +7.1+7.1
Novi ZagrebKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Novi ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
59-18
59
18
+41
H04/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A07/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H14/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A21/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H07/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A14/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A28/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H01/04
Prva Liga
75.1Avg total
37.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)36.838.775.5-1.942%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.935.174.0+3.858%-
Last 30 away (12)34.842.377.1-7.625%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.675.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.875.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.442.476.9-8.022%-
vs Similar (9)33.638.171.7-4.633%-
vs Weaker (6)45.334.079.3+11.383%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A01/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A07/02
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H14/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H07/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A15/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H21/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/04
Prva Liga
74.6Avg total
42.5Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.934.977.9+8.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.434.481.8+13.087%-
Last 30 away (15)38.535.573.9+3.060%-
Last 10 (10)42.532.174.6+10.490%-
Last 5 (5)41.632.674.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)28.539.568.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)44.034.678.6+9.479%-
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Novi Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Novi Zagreb: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.3
52.9%
53.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.5
35.6%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.112.3
68.0%
71.6%12.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.920.0
60.8%
53.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.613.2
39.3%
32.7%39.6
🏀 Free throws14.011.2
80.0%
71.6%11.2
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Novi Zagreb
LLWWWWLLWW
Kastela
WLWWWWWWWW
#11
League position
#2
+6.8
Net rating
+33.3
93.3
Offensive rating
107.0
86.5
Defensive rating
73.6
53.0%
Effective FG%
59.8%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
42.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.6%
3-point %
39.3%
62.8%
Assist %
70.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 107.0Defence86.5 · 73.6Shooting53.0% · 59.8%3-point %35.6% · 39.3%Ball care16.4% · 15.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Novi Zagreb   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Novi Zagreb wins
1
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Kastela v Novi Zagreb99-62
Novi Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HSkrljevo72-85
28/03/26AMladost70-92
21/03/26HOmis85-82
14/03/26AJazine81-77
07/03/26HMarsonia78-73
21/02/26ADakovo103-89
14/02/26HKK Zagreb57-74
07/02/26ACrikvenica51-56
04/02/26HOsijek120-53
31/01/26AAmfora87-64
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HKK Zagreb85-61
28/03/26ASkrljevo70-85
21/03/26HCrikvenica93-57
15/03/26AMladost74-52
07/03/26HOsijek135-62
22/02/26AOmis87-60
14/02/26HAmfora95-38
07/02/26AJazine91-89
04/02/26HSonik Puntamika94-64
01/02/26AMarsonia84-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Novi Zagreb
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL46%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%50%42%
Points / game76.279.772.8
Allowed / game75.975.476.3
Point differential+0.4+4.2-3.5
Avg total152.1155.1149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %79%83%75%
Points / game86.689.184.1
Allowed / game66.464.368.4
Point differential+20.2+24.8+15.7
Avg total153.0153.4152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo2522388%96.075.4+20.6
2 Kastela2419579%86.666.4+20.2
3 Mladost2417771%81.774.5+7.1
4 Omis2517868%84.176.3+7.8
5 Gorica25141156%82.881.2+1.6
6 KK Zagreb24131154%79.778.2+1.5
7 Crikvenica24131154%75.076.2-1.2
8 Jazine25131252%85.480.8+4.6
9 Dakovo24111346%86.084.3+1.7
10 Novi Zagreb24111346%76.275.9+0.4
11 Marsonia24101442%74.575.0-0.5
12 Sonik Puntamika2471729%75.481.2-5.8
13 Amfora2542116%71.588.3-16.8
14 Osijek250250%63.5103.7-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Novi Zagreb1418181666
Kastela3315192491
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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