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Marsonia vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 86-77
24-18 21-19 18-24 23-16
Position#9
Record6-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#5
Record12-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game79.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 21· Sports Hall Viju
Other2025-26
Meetings · Marsonia v Gorica
15 Mar 2026
MARS86
GORI77
01 Feb 2025
MARS106
GORI98
08 Oct 2023
MARS60
GORI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marsonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
123-67
123
67
+56
131avg 66
H20/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
71avg 66
A11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
H17/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
82-65
82
65
+17
71avg 66
H25/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
59-84
59
84
-25
47avg 66
H01/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
70avg 66
A04/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 66
H08/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
54avg 66
A14/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
71-92
71
92
-21
58avg 66
H22/02
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
73-78
73
78
-5
71avg 66
A07/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-8
28-18
30-25
30-16
11-23
16-22
25-25
31-16
19-19
14-19
23-28
30-15
28-16
13-20
22-15
19-14
10-24
20-16
21-26
8-18
22-23
21-23
12-18
20-26
16-23
15-12
19-22
26-25
13-16
11-17
11-17
26-11
15-31
19-29
27-11
10-21
17-19
21-13
18-27
17-19
160.5Avg total
80.2Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.678.4154.0-2.830%
Season at home (10)77.575.2152.7+2.340%
Season away (10)73.781.6155.3-7.920%
Last 10 (10)80.280.3160.5-0.130%
Last 5 (5)73.884.0157.8-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.082.6154.6-10.615%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.679.8158.5-1.236%
vs Weaker (6)85.374.2159.5+11.267%
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Mladost
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
50avg 80
A20/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
89-87
89
87
+2
92avg 80
H10/01
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
A17/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 80
A24/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
89-105
89
105
-16
72avg 80
A31/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
100-88
100
88
+12
94avg 80
H04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
81-57
81
57
+24
83avg 80
A07/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 80
H14/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
69avg 80
A21/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
113-106
113
106
+7
106avg 80
H07/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
18-20
22-18
12-18
29-14
20-25
18-26
22-22
15-15
18-25
25-25
26-14
19-26
22-15
16-17
11-22
16-20
25-26
23-28
25-31
19-23
35-23
18-22
28-20
15-19
21-16
18-6
27-16
14-19
20-15
22-11
21-18
22-23
21-24
27-17
10-27
18-30
29-29
31-23
35-24
167.7Avg total
84.8Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.879.5163.3+4.260%
Season at home (10)86.578.8165.3+7.770%
Season away (10)81.080.3161.3+0.750%
Last 10 (10)84.882.9167.7+1.960%
Last 5 (5)90.281.0171.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.586.7166.2-7.230%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.476.2158.7+6.275%
vs Weaker (7)89.478.7168.1+10.771%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
MarsoniaGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
63-26
63
26
+37
H20/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H17/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H01/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A04/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H08/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A14/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H22/02
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A07/03
Prva Liga
75.5Avg total
36.4Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.040.476.4-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.337.777.0+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)32.743.175.8-10.513%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.175.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.041.275.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.740.273.8-6.523%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.840.476.2-4.545%-
vs Weaker (6)41.341.082.3+0.333%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A20/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H10/01
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A17/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A31/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H07/03
Prva Liga
83.5Avg total
41.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.082.0+2.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.439.582.9+3.847%-
Last 30 away (13)40.240.680.8-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.483.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.287.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.242.083.2-0.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.639.078.6+0.633%-
vs Weaker (7)43.640.984.4+2.757%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.1
51.2%
53.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.3
28.7%
32.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.213.7
79.7%
71.6%13.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.223.1
53.5%
53.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.9
30.3%
32.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.612.8
68.8%
71.6%12.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marsonia
LLLLLLWWLW
Gorica
WLWWWLLWWL
#9
League position
#5
+1.2
Net rating
-1.0
92.4
Offensive rating
91.5
91.3
Defensive rating
92.5
48.2%
Effective FG%
50.4%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.9%
42.1%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.7%
3-point %
30.3%
58.5%
Assist %
66.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 91.5Defence91.3 · 92.5Shooting48.2% · 50.4%3-point %28.7% · 30.3%Ball care17.0% · 17.9%Off. rebounds42.1% · 32.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Marsonia   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Marsonia wins
3
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
30/11/25Gorica v Marsonia69-85
01/02/25Marsonia v Gorica106-98 OT
19/10/24Gorica v Marsonia94-82
21/01/24Gorica v Marsonia88-77
08/10/23Marsonia v Gorica60-80
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26ANovi Zagreb73-78
22/02/26HSkrljevo71-92
14/02/26AMladost74-78 OT
08/02/26HOmis76-82
04/02/26AJazine75-90
01/02/26HKastela59-84
25/01/26HDakovo82-65
17/01/26HKK Zagreb86-81
11/01/26ACrikvenica83-86
20/12/25HOsijek123-67
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HDakovo113-106
21/02/26AKK Zagreb80-91
14/02/26HCrikvenica77-63
07/02/26AOsijek81-57
04/02/26HAmfora100-88
31/01/26ASonik Puntamika89-105
24/01/26AKastela68-80
17/01/26ANovi Zagreb84-79
10/01/26HSkrljevo89-87
20/12/25AMladost67-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marsonia
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game75.677.573.7
Allowed / game78.475.281.6
Point differential-2.8+2.3-7.9
Avg total154.0152.7155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%70%50%
Points / game83.886.581.0
Allowed / game79.578.880.3
Point differential+4.2+7.7+0.7
Avg total163.3165.3161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo2118386%96.375.8+20.5
2 Kastela2016480%87.866.9+20.9
3 Mladost2016480%83.273.3+9.8
4 Omis2114767%82.777.0+5.7
5 Gorica2012860%83.879.5+4.2
6 KK Zagreb2112957%79.978.5+1.4
7 Crikvenica21111052%76.676.6+0.0
8 Novi Zagreb21101148%76.374.4+2.0
9 Jazine21101148%82.281.9+0.3
10 Dakovo2191243%86.085.6+0.4
11 Sonik Puntamika2171433%74.979.5-4.7
12 Marsonia2061430%75.678.4-2.8
13 Amfora2141719%74.789.3-14.6
14 Osijek210210%62.6104.3-41.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marsonia2421182386
Gorica1819241677
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