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Gostivar vs Ohrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 108-86
29-17 27-29 29-20 23-20
Position#9
Record4-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game83.6
Gostivar 🏆
Macedonia
vs
Ohrid
Macedonia
Position#12
Record3-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game87.7
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 15· Mladost Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gostivar v Ohrid
27 Jan 2024
GOST108
OHRI86
15 Dec 2018
GOST89
OHRI94
14 Apr 2018
GOST83
OHRI66
17 Mar 2018
GOST83
OHRI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gostivar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GostivarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGostivar
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#7
L
63-66
63
66
-3
54avg 66
H28/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
70-79
70
79
-9
58avg 66
A04/11
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 66
H11/11
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
90-75
90
75
+15
91avg 66
A18/11
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
90-92
90
92
-2
88avg 66
H25/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
67-102
67
102
-35
60avg 66
A02/12
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 66
H09/12
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
79avg 66
A13/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
56avg 66
H26/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
85-97
85
97
-12
84avg 66
A20/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
14-13
17-19
14-15
15-13
18-27
17-27
20-12
16-24
20-20
31-21
22-19
25-15
20-12
20-27
25-21
22-26
24-20
19-26
25-20
17-26
17-22
16-32
17-22
15-25
23-20
17-24
10-17
29-26
6-23
26-20
27-20
10-25
18-19
19-16
22-18
23-26
14-25
18-19
30-27
162.4Avg total
77.6Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.083.6159.6-7.629%
Season at home (7)74.082.9156.9-8.929%
Season away (7)78.084.4162.4-6.429%
Last 10 (10)77.684.8162.4-7.220%
Last 5 (5)74.890.4165.2-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.285.3157.5-13.124%
vs Similar (5)82.681.6164.2+1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)88.077.0165.0+11.086%
This opponent (Ohrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhridMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOhrid
Date
Competition
Pelister
#3
L
57-97
57
97
-40
43avg 60
A28/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
59avg 60
H03/11
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
59-100
59
100
-41
40avg 60
A11/11
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
56-86
56
86
-30
40avg 60
A18/11
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
70-92
70
92
-22
68avg 60
H26/11
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
75-93
75
93
-18
67avg 60
A02/12
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
64-74
64
74
-10
54avg 60
H09/12
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
77avg 60
H16/12
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
88-96
88
96
-8
79avg 60
A24/12
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
74-72
74
72
+2
50avg 60
H21/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
14-35
12-25
12-15
28-27
19-21
9-20
17-30
18-20
21-25
12-35
8-20
4-21
14-26
21-24
17-15
23-24
13-27
18-16
16-25
15-29
18-25
22-22
20-17
14-22
16-15
15-23
19-14
21-19
24-25
20-21
24-16
27-25
17-31
26-16
18-24
14-12
22-19
17-19
21-22
159.4Avg total
70.5Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.687.7159.4-16.121%
Season at home (7)73.781.4155.1-7.743%
Season away (7)69.694.0163.6-24.40%
Last 10 (10)70.588.9159.4-18.420%
Last 5 (5)78.083.2161.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.988.1154.0-22.16%
vs Similar (10)76.580.3156.8-3.830%
vs Weaker (3)101.379.7181.0+21.7100%
This opponent (Gostivar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -7.1-7.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -7.1-7.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
GostivarOhrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GostivarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H28/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A04/11
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H11/11
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A18/11
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H25/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A02/12
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H09/12
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A13/12
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H26/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A20/01
Prva Liga
79.0Avg total
36.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.742.780.4-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.178.7-1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)36.845.382.1-8.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.679.0-6.210%-
Last 5 (5)34.447.481.8-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.244.478.6-10.212%-
vs Similar (5)39.245.284.4-6.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.337.984.1+8.471%-
This opponent (Ohrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelister
#3
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A28/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H03/11
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/11
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
18-47
18
47
-29
A18/11
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H26/11
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A02/12
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H09/12
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H16/12
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A24/12
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/01
Prva Liga
83.1Avg total
36.1Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.743.679.2-7.923%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.941.280.1-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)32.945.678.5-12.812%-
Last 10 (10)36.147.083.1-10.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.482.0-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.245.676.9-14.46%-
vs Similar (10)37.640.077.6-2.430%-
vs Weaker (3)53.038.791.7+14.3100%-
This opponent (Gostivar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gostivartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gostivar: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.624.1
56.6%
53.9%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.55.9
28.8%
32.2%17.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
70.3%11.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ohridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ohrid: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.120.0
47.5%
53.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.05.9
29.5%
32.2%17.7
🏀 Free throws19.412.0
61.9%
70.3%12.0
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gostivar
LLLLLLWWLL
Ohrid
WLWLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#12
-9.3
Net rating
-23.7
100.4
Offensive rating
88.9
109.7
Defensive rating
112.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
46.5%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
21.3%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.8%
3-point %
29.5%
57.0%
Assist %
50.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 88.9Defence109.7 · 112.6Shooting52.2% · 46.5%3-point %28.8% · 29.5%Ball care17.6% · 21.3%Off. rebounds21.6% · 24.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Gostivar   ■ Ohrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Gostivar wins
1
Ohrid wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23Ohrid v Gostivar64-87
27/03/19Ohrid v Gostivar55-92
15/12/18Gostivar v Ohrid89-94
02/05/18Ohrid v Gostivar78-85
14/04/18Gostivar v Ohrid83-66
17/03/18Gostivar v Ohrid83-71
02/12/17Ohrid v Gostivar77-81
Gostivarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ATikvesh85-97
26/12/23HMZT Skopje69-78
13/12/23APelister88-89
09/12/23HRabotnicki65-86
02/12/23AKozuv67-102
25/11/23HFMP Akademija90-92
18/11/23AVardar90-75
11/11/23HCair 203089-84
04/11/23ATFT Skopje70-79
28/10/23HFeniks 201063-66
Ohridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HKozuv74-72
24/12/23AFMP Akademija88-96
16/12/23HVardar89-81
09/12/23HCair 203064-74
02/12/23ATFT Skopje75-93
26/11/23HFeniks 201070-92
18/11/23ARabotnicki56-86
11/11/23ATikvesh59-100
03/11/23HMZT Skopje73-98
28/10/23APelister57-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gostivar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game76.074.078.0
Allowed / game83.682.984.4
Point differential-7.6-8.9-6.4
Avg total159.6156.9162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohrid
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW21%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%43%0%
Points / game71.673.769.6
Allowed / game87.781.494.0
Point differential-16.1-7.7-24.4
Avg total159.4155.1163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tikvesh1512380%87.773.2+14.5
2 MZT Skopje1512380%80.367.7+12.6
3 Rabotnicki1511473%85.573.7+11.9
4 Pelister1510567%84.976.0+8.9
5 Cair 2030149564%82.678.7+3.9
6 TFT Skopje159660%73.970.7+3.3
7 Feniks 2010148657%83.978.9+5.0
8 Gostivar1441029%76.083.6-7.6
9 Kozuv1431121%77.078.6-1.6
10 Ohrid1431121%71.687.7-16.1
11 Vardar1431121%76.195.2-19.1
12 FMP Akademija1531220%77.395.3-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gostivar29272923108
Ohrid1729202086
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