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Gostivar vs Tikvesh Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 67-81
16-23 14-19 13-19 24-20
Position#12
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Gostivar
Macedonia
vs
Tikvesh 🏆
Macedonia
Position#10
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
MacedoniaSuperleagueRound 1· Mitrovski Z.
Other2025-26
Meetings · Gostivar v Tikvesh
04 Oct 2025
GOST67
TIKV81
15 Oct 2023
GOST67
TIKV106
01 Apr 2023
GOST85
TIKV65
08 May 2022
GOST78
TIKV70
25 Dec 2021
GOST106
TIKV105
21 May 2021
GOST68
TIKV74
08 Nov 2020
GOST96
TIKV87
24 Nov 2019
GOST94
TIKV87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gostivar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tikvesh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GostivarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGostivar
Date
Competition
Cair 2030
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A02/03
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
101-75
101
75
+26
no box
H09/03
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
102-82
102
82
+20
no box
A16/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
104-73
104
73
+31
no box
H23/03
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
84-104
84
104
-20
no box
A30/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
A05/04
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
no box
A13/04
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
70-96
70
96
-26
no box
H20/04
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
72-62
72
62
+10
66avg 63
A13/02
Macedonian Cup
Kozuv
#2
L
72-91
72
91
-19
59avg 63
H14/02
Macedonian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
20-25
21-19
15-25
29-14
23-17
27-19
22-25
24-16
22-28
35-11
21-27
28-15
23-21
31-13
22-24
15-21
25-31
35-34
9-18
10-25
22-24
18-24
18-14
17-16
15-21
11-32
24-20
10-26
17-24
25-17
18-29
17-18
15-15
19-10
21-19
20-23
6-27
27-24
19-17
166.6Avg total
81.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.884.8166.6-3.040%
Last 5 (5)69.885.0154.8-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)73.887.4161.1-13.614%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (6)96.379.0175.3+17.383%
This opponent (Tikvesh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TikveshMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTikvesh
Date
Competition
Cair 2030
#6
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
H15/02
Macedonian Cup
Pelister
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
no box
A16/02
Macedonian Cup
Ohrid
#12
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
A02/03
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
84-68
84
68
+16
no box
H09/03
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
56-73
56
73
-17
no box
A14/03
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H23/03
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
70-67
70
67
+3
no box
A31/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
60-94
60
94
-34
no box
A06/04
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A10/04
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
H14/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
30-21
22-18
18-14
13-18
23-21
18-16
14-23
12-14
27-25
15-18
17-20
21-23
23-16
22-17
18-12
12-14
21-18
14-24
9-17
22-18
15-20
20-26
25-18
19-22
15-13
15-15
21-17
11-24
15-19
20-20
14-31
27-32
13-14
17-24
28-20
15-20
15-22
23-20
16-17
154.2Avg total
74.3Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.379.9154.2-5.630%
Last 5 (5)75.484.8160.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.977.6150.5-4.825%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.085.1163.1-7.129%
vs Weaker (14)87.371.6158.9+15.679%
This opponent (Gostivar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
GostivarTikvesh
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GostivarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cair 2030
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A02/03
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H09/03
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A16/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H23/03
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A30/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A05/04
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A13/04
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H20/04
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A13/02
Macedonian Cup
Kozuv
#2
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H14/02
Macedonian Cup
80.7Avg total
38.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.143.380.3-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.942.780.6-4.829%-
Last 30 away (16)36.343.880.1-7.419%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.780.7-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)29.843.873.6-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)34.244.778.9-10.59%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (6)48.038.086.0+10.083%-
This opponent (Tikvesh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TikveshLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cair 2030
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H15/02
Macedonian Cup
Pelister
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A16/02
Macedonian Cup
Ohrid
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A02/03
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H09/03
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A14/03
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H23/03
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A31/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A06/04
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A10/04
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H14/04
Prva Liga
76.6Avg total
36.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.579.5+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.284.1+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)38.437.075.4+1.444%-
Last 10 (10)36.640.076.6-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.440.874.2-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.537.473.9-0.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.638.774.3-3.129%-
vs Weaker (14)45.838.484.2+7.471%-
This opponent (Gostivar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gostivartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gostivar: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.4
50.9%
54.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.9
31.3%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
72.0%12.5
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tikveshtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tikvesh: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.5
49.3%
54.3%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.812.4
73.8%
72.0%12.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gostivar
LWLLLLWWWL
Tikvesh
LLLWLLWLLW
#12
League position
#10
-4.7
Net rating
-8.6
100.9
Offensive rating
102.8
105.7
Defensive rating
111.3
49.5%
Effective FG%
50.0%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.3%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.3%
3-point %
33.9%
49.5%
Assist %
51.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 102.8Defence105.7 · 111.3Shooting49.5% · 50.0%3-point %31.3% · 33.9%Ball care16.1% · 17.3%Off. rebounds24.3% · 26.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Gostivar   ■ Tikvesh
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gostivar wins
7
Tikvesh wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Tikvesh v Gostivar97-85
15/10/23Gostivar v Tikvesh67-106
01/04/23Gostivar v Tikvesh85-65
11/12/22Tikvesh v Gostivar92-86 OT
08/05/22Gostivar v Tikvesh78-70
16/04/22Tikvesh v Gostivar82-72
25/12/21Gostivar v Tikvesh106-105 OT
02/10/21Tikvesh v Gostivar88-77
21/05/21Gostivar v Tikvesh68-74
19/05/21Tikvesh v Gostivar90-79
Gostivarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25HKozuv72-91
13/02/25ATFT Skopje72-62
20/04/24HMZT Skopje70-96
13/04/24AMZT Skopje67-89
05/04/24AMZT Skopje68-87
30/03/24ARabotnicki84-104
23/03/24HKozuv104-73
16/03/24AFMP Akademija102-82
09/03/24HVardar101-75
02/03/24ACair 203078-89
Tikveshlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HPelister69-79
10/04/24APelister85-90
06/04/24APelister60-94
31/03/24AVardar70-67
23/03/24HCair 203093-94 OT
14/03/24ATFT Skopje56-73
09/03/24HFeniks 201084-68
02/03/24AOhrid71-77
16/02/24APelister68-78
15/02/24HCair 203087-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gostivar
Superleague 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Tikvesh
Superleague 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MZT Skopje110100%77.070.0+7.0
2 KK Skopje 20231010%70.077.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gostivar1614132467
Tikvesh2319192081
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