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Vardar vs Tikvesh Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 67-70
22-19 13-15 15-15 17-21
Position#10
Record3-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game94.3
vs
Tikvesh 🏆
Macedonia
Position#5
Record13-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game76.2
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 22· SRC Kale
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vardar v Tikvesh
31 Mar 2024
VARD67
TIKV70
26 Dec 2020
VARD68
TIKV94
12 Oct 2019
VARD82
TIKV92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tikvesh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Ohrid
#12
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 63
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
89-104
89
104
-15
82avg 63
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
80avg 63
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
60-102
60
102
-42
45avg 63
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
58-101
58
101
-43
42avg 63
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
74-80
74
80
-6
62avg 63
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
76avg 63
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-101
75
101
-26
53avg 63
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 63
H13/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 63
A27/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
25-24
21-20
16-24
24-26
20-31
24-24
21-23
18-27
17-22
23-27
24-16
18-23
11-30
23-23
8-26
9-28
18-27
19-25
12-21
17-16
24-17
18-20
15-27
22-21
19-21
22-23
15-27
14-29
17-23
19-27
25-22
15-22
22-19
16-22
21-23
18-21
14-17
25-22
21-26
168.2Avg total
74.9Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.494.3168.7-20.014%
Season at home (10)76.195.1171.2-19.020%
Season away (11)72.893.6166.5-20.89%
Last 10 (10)74.993.3168.2-18.40%
Last 5 (5)75.889.0164.8-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)70.192.3162.5-22.24%
vs Similar (4)86.885.8172.5+1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tikvesh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TikveshMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTikvesh
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#9
W
97-85
97
85
+12
91avg 80
H20/01
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
no box
A26/01
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
88-99 OT
88
99
-11
no box
H07/02
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
91-92
91
92
-1
82avg 80
H11/02
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#6
W
87-79
87
79
+8
82avg 80
H15/02
Macedonian Cup
Pelister
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 80
A16/02
Macedonian Cup
Ohrid
#12
L
71-77
71
77
-6
57avg 80
A02/03
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
84-68
84
68
+16
83avg 80
H09/03
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
56-73
56
73
-17
46avg 80
A14/03
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H23/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
25-14
19-18
27-30
24-19
11-14
28-20
9-19
19-17
19-22
19-24
22-16
28-24
21-23
25-25
17-20
17-26
30-21
22-18
18-14
13-18
23-21
18-16
14-23
12-14
27-25
15-18
17-20
21-23
23-16
22-17
18-12
12-14
21-18
14-24
9-17
22-18
15-20
20-26
25-18
164.4Avg total
81.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.676.2161.9+9.462%
Season at home (11)88.176.7164.8+11.464%
Season away (10)82.975.7158.6+7.260%
Last 10 (10)81.882.6164.4-0.840%
Last 5 (5)74.478.0152.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.978.2150.1-6.320%
vs Similar (5)79.483.6163.0-4.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.572.3160.8+16.279%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
VardarTikvesh
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohrid
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H13/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/03
Prva Liga
82.6Avg total
36.1Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.447.183.4-10.710%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.748.685.2-11.98%-
Last 30 away (17)36.246.082.2-9.812%-
Last 10 (10)36.146.582.6-10.410%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.277.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.647.883.4-12.28%-
vs Similar (4)41.542.584.0-1.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tikvesh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TikveshLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#9
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H20/01
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A26/01
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H07/02
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H11/02
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H15/02
Macedonian Cup
Pelister
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A16/02
Macedonian Cup
Ohrid
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A02/03
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H09/03
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A14/03
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H23/03
Prva Liga
79.9Avg total
40.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.079.3+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.439.983.3+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.336.075.3+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.079.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.475.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.937.773.6-1.830%-
vs Similar (5)37.235.472.6+1.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.338.484.7+7.979%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.4
50.0%
53.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.2
29.0%
32.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.211.5
63.2%
70.3%11.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tikveshtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tikvesh: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.9
57.1%
53.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.8
36.6%
32.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.813.2
74.2%
70.3%13.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vardar
LLLLLLLLLL
Tikvesh
LLWLLWLLWW
#10
League position
#5
-23.5
Net rating
+10.2
92.3
Offensive rating
114.7
115.8
Defensive rating
104.5
47.6%
Effective FG%
56.2%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
21.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.0%
3-point %
36.6%
60.9%
Assist %
55.7%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 114.7Defence115.8 · 104.5Shooting47.6% · 56.2%3-point %29.0% · 36.6%Ball care21.1% · 16.4%Off. rebounds25.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Vardar   ■ Tikvesh
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vardar wins
5
Tikvesh wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Tikvesh v Vardar116-66
27/03/21Tikvesh v Vardar96-79
26/12/20Vardar v Tikvesh68-94
14/12/19Tikvesh v Vardar82-66
12/10/19Vardar v Tikvesh82-92
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24AMZT Skopje78-86
13/03/24HPelister74-86
09/03/24AGostivar75-101
02/03/24HKozuv78-92
10/02/24AFMP Akademija74-80
03/02/24ARabotnicki58-101
27/01/24HCair 203060-102
20/01/24ATFT Skopje82-92
23/12/23HFeniks 201089-104
16/12/23AOhrid81-89
Tikveshlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HCair 203093-94 OT
14/03/24ATFT Skopje56-73
09/03/24HFeniks 201084-68
02/03/24AOhrid71-77
16/02/24APelister68-78
15/02/24HCair 203087-79
11/02/24HRabotnicki91-92
07/02/24HMZT Skopje88-99 OT
26/01/24APelister83-81 OT
20/01/24HGostivar97-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %14%20%9%
Points / game74.476.172.8
Allowed / game94.395.193.6
Point differential-20.0-19.0-20.8
Avg total168.7171.2166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tikvesh
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL62%
HomeWLLWL64%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%64%60%
Points / game85.688.182.9
Allowed / game76.276.775.7
Point differential+9.4+11.4+7.2
Avg total161.9164.8158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)33% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %14%18%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rabotnicki2218482%90.074.0+16.0
2 MZT Skopje2218482%82.469.5+12.8
3 Pelister2216673%84.275.4+8.8
4 Cair 20302215768%84.978.4+6.5
5 TFT Skopje2214864%75.371.2+4.0
6 Tikvesh2113862%85.676.2+9.4
7 Feniks 201022121055%82.980.5+2.3
8 Gostivar2281436%82.285.3-3.1
9 Kozuv2251723%77.381.1-3.8
10 Ohrid2251723%75.489.1-13.7
11 FMP Akademija2241818%75.695.4-19.8
12 Vardar2131814%74.494.3-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vardar2213151767
Tikvesh1915152170
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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