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Rabotnicki vs Vardar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 101-58
28-9 27-18 25-19 21-12
Position#2
Record11-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#10
Record3-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game95.7
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 16· Sports hall City Park
Other2023-24
Meetings · Rabotnicki v Vardar
03 Feb 2024
RABO101
VARD58
21 Apr 2021
RABO92
VARD72
07 Mar 2020
RABO81
VARD76
27 Mar 2019
RABO84
VARD61
30 Nov 2016
RABO92
VARD65
05 Dec 2013
RABO107
VARD69
07 Dec 2012
RABO110
VARD69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rabotnicki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RabotnickiMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRabotnicki
Date
Competition
Tikvesh
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
60avg 74
H05/11
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
98-68
98
68
+30
105avg 74
A11/11
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
86-56
86
56
+30
86avg 74
H18/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 74
A25/11
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
69avg 74
H02/12
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
W
86-65
86
65
+21
81avg 74
A09/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
72-57
72
57
+15
73avg 74
A14/12
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
W
98-84
98
84
+14
101avg 74
H27/12
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
84-70
84
70
+14
70avg 74
H20/01
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
W
95-91
95
91
+4
94avg 74
A25/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
10-13
20-27
22-14
24-21
26-5
27-28
21-14
21-4
26-14
24-21
15-17
29-24
20-23
14-18
27-19
26-20
22-23
11-27
20-17
25-15
20-23
24-17
17-10
21-13
15-18
23-12
13-14
26-20
27-16
34-20
11-28
25-18
20-18
20-20
19-14
29-22
21-18
26-19
19-32
159.4Avg total
85.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.573.7159.2+11.973%
Season at home (7)78.471.4149.9+7.057%
Season away (8)91.875.6167.4+16.188%
Last 10 (10)85.873.6159.4+12.280%
Last 5 (5)87.073.4160.4+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.678.0144.6-11.40%
vs Similar (3)81.085.3166.3-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.070.8154.8+13.177%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
FMP Akademija
#11
W
102-91
102
91
+11
102avg 63
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
57-78
57
78
-21
46avg 63
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-90
75
90
-15
56avg 63
H18/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
74-116
74
116
-42
62avg 63
A26/11
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
46avg 63
H02/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
66-116
66
116
-50
46avg 63
A10/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 63
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
89-104
89
104
-15
82avg 63
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
80avg 63
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
60-102
60
102
-42
45avg 63
H27/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
24-23
24-23
31-18
9-20
19-25
18-20
11-13
15-25
12-20
27-20
21-25
18-31
20-28
13-30
23-27
12-34
23-24
16-23
10-15
19-34
19-29
18-25
10-28
19-21
25-24
21-20
16-24
24-26
20-31
24-24
21-23
18-27
17-22
23-27
24-16
18-23
11-30
23-23
8-26
172.1Avg total
74.7Scored
97.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.095.7170.7-20.720%
Season at home (8)76.196.6172.8-20.525%
Season away (7)73.794.6168.3-20.914%
Last 10 (10)74.797.4172.1-22.710%
Last 5 (5)75.6100.6176.2-25.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.291.8164.0-19.712%
vs Similar (4)88.582.8171.2+5.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rabotnicki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -9.3-9.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -4.0-4.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -9.3-9.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -4.0-4.0
RabotnickiVardar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RabotnickiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tikvesh
#5
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H05/11
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A11/11
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
47-18
47
18
+29
H18/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A25/11
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H02/12
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A09/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A14/12
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H27/12
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H20/01
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A25/01
Prva Liga
79.9Avg total
45.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.235.577.7+6.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.833.375.2+8.562%-
Last 30 away (17)42.437.279.6+5.271%-
Last 10 (10)45.134.879.9+10.390%-
Last 5 (5)45.836.282.0+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.438.073.4-2.620%-
vs Similar (3)38.038.376.3-0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.334.678.9+9.782%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Akademija
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H05/11
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H18/11
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A26/11
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H02/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A10/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H27/01
Prva Liga
88.9Avg total
36.5Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.146.784.7-8.621%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.848.886.6-11.123%-
Last 30 away (16)38.344.983.2-6.619%-
Last 10 (10)36.552.488.9-15.90%-
Last 5 (5)38.053.491.4-15.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.447.484.8-10.020%-
vs Similar (4)42.242.284.5+0.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rabotnicki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rabotnickitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rabotnicki: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.7
53.8%
53.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.1
37.7%
32.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.813.9
73.9%
70.3%13.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.1
51.2%
53.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.1
32.7%
32.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.011.4
63.3%
70.3%11.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rabotnicki
WWWWWLWWWL
Vardar
LLLLLLLLLW
#2
League position
#10
+16.7
Net rating
-28.1
113.2
Offensive rating
91.9
96.5
Defensive rating
120.1
54.9%
Effective FG%
50.3%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
59.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
22.0%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.7%
3-point %
32.7%
62.3%
Assist %
57.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 91.9Defence96.5 · 120.1Shooting54.9% · 50.3%3-point %37.7% · 32.7%Ball care15.7% · 22.0%Off. rebounds28.4% · 20.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Rabotnicki   ■ Vardar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Rabotnicki wins
0
Vardar wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Vardar v Rabotnicki68-119
21/04/21Rabotnicki v Vardar92-72
01/04/21Vardar v Rabotnicki67-92
07/03/20Rabotnicki v Vardar81-76
30/11/19Vardar v Rabotnicki55-103
27/03/19Rabotnicki v Vardar84-61
16/12/18Vardar v Rabotnicki89-107
28/01/17Vardar v Rabotnicki73-82
30/11/16Rabotnicki v Vardar92-65
05/12/13Rabotnicki v Vardar107-69
Rabotnickilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24AMZT Skopje95-91
20/01/24HCair 203084-70
27/12/23HPelister98-84
14/12/23ATFT Skopje72-57
09/12/23AGostivar86-65
02/12/23HFeniks 201079-87
25/11/23AKozuv90-84
18/11/23HOhrid86-56
11/11/23AFMP Akademija98-68
05/11/23HTikvesh70-74
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HCair 203060-102
20/01/24ATFT Skopje82-92
23/12/23HFeniks 201089-104
16/12/23AOhrid81-89
10/12/23ATikvesh66-116
02/12/23HMZT Skopje61-96
26/11/23APelister74-116
18/11/23HGostivar75-90
11/11/23AKozuv57-78
05/11/23HFMP Akademija102-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rabotnicki
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%57%88%
Points / game85.578.491.8
Allowed / game73.771.475.6
Point differential+11.9+7.0+16.1
Avg total159.2149.9167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%25%14%
Points / game75.076.173.7
Allowed / game95.796.694.6
Point differential-20.7-20.5-20.9
Avg total170.7172.8168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tikvesh1512380%87.773.2+14.5
2 MZT Skopje1512380%80.367.7+12.6
3 Rabotnicki1511473%85.573.7+11.9
4 Pelister1510567%84.976.0+8.9
5 Cair 20301510567%83.977.5+6.5
6 Feniks 2010159660%84.678.7+5.9
7 TFT Skopje159660%73.970.7+3.3
8 Gostivar1551033%78.183.8-5.7
9 Kozuv1531220%76.979.7-2.8
10 Ohrid1531220%72.689.1-16.5
11 FMP Akademija1531220%77.395.3-17.9
12 Vardar1531220%75.095.7-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rabotnicki28272521101
Vardar918191258
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