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Graffenstaden W vs Montbrison W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-75 (OT)
15-14 19-20 14-16 19-17 12-8
Position#12
Record8-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game74.7
Graffenstaden W 🏆
France
vs
Montbrison W
France
Position#3
Record16-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game60.0
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 24· Hall De La SIG
Women2025-26
Meetings · Graffenstaden W v Montbrison W
28 Mar 2026
GRAF79
MONT75
17 Feb 2024
GRAF67
MONT70
18 Mar 2023
GRAF67
MONT52
12 Mar 2022
GRAF74
MONT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Graffenstaden W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montbrison W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Graffenstaden WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Feytiat W
#6
L
47-88
47
88
-41
35avg 60
A10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
90-61
90
61
+29
no box
H17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 60
A24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
W
67-65
67
65
+2
66avg 60
H31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#1
L
45-73
45
73
-28
32avg 60
H07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#11
L
71-77
71
77
-6
67avg 60
A14/02
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#7
L
68-69
68
69
-1
64avg 60
H21/02
Ligue 2 Women
Monaco W
#4
L
63-80
63
80
-17
55avg 60
A28/02
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#8
L
62-66
62
66
-4
59avg 60
H07/03
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
74avg 60
A21/03
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
14-11
17-25
4-23
19-19
26-6
20-16
25-20
21-21
13-22
25-19
21-14
22-16
15-16
16-16
14-17
10-20
7-29
17-11
11-13
20-22
17-21
17-11
17-23
19-19
19-17
19-17
11-16
21-24
13-20
11-17
18-19
25-15
13-12
11-15
13-24
15-22
20-23
16-13
21-14
141.4Avg total
67.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)68.774.7143.4-6.035%
Season at home (11)71.372.6143.9-1.445%
Season away (12)66.476.6143.0-10.225%
Last 10 (10)67.573.9141.4-6.430%
Last 5 (5)69.275.2144.4-6.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)62.176.6138.6-14.512%
vs Similar (9)68.970.6139.4-1.756%
vs Weaker (4)74.267.0141.2+7.250%
This opponent (Montbrison W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montbrison WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Union Hainaut W
#7
W
81-64
81
64
+17
77avg 65
H10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Monaco W
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
no box
A17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#8
L
52-61
52
61
-9
42avg 65
H24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
93-63
93
63
+30
92avg 65
A31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
W
81-57
81
57
+24
83avg 65
A07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
W
89-61
89
61
+28
96avg 65
H14/02
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
49avg 65
A21/02
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#10
W
66-50
66
50
+16
54avg 65
H28/02
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
98-75
98
75
+23
97avg 65
A07/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#6
L
53-62
53
62
-9
43avg 65
H21/03
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
18-13
17-12
24-11
17-21
16-17
22-24
17-16
17-11
8-20
10-16
17-14
22-12
29-18
23-17
19-16
20-12
14-22
32-17
15-6
14-21
23-12
25-14
27-14
12-11
17-16
2-17
20-12
15-17
17-10
17-13
17-10
24-22
22-18
29-22
23-13
14-18
11-14
11-16
17-14
136.3Avg total
73.6Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.960.0129.9+9.870%
Season at home (12)69.556.8126.2+12.883%
Season away (11)70.363.6133.9+6.655%
Last 10 (10)73.662.7136.3+10.960%
Last 5 (5)71.460.8132.2+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.567.0130.5-3.50%
vs Similar (7)65.463.1128.6+2.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)69.458.6128.0+10.880%
This opponent (Graffenstaden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +7.0+7.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +7.0+7.0
Graffenstaden WMontbrison W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Graffenstaden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feytiat W
#6
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#10
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#1
L
17-49
17
49
-32
H07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A14/02
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H21/02
Ligue 2 Women
Monaco W
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/02
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#8
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H07/03
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A21/03
Ligue 2 Women
72.5Avg total
34.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.038.273.2-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.436.672.9-0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)33.839.673.4-5.819%-
Last 10 (10)34.138.472.5-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.075.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)33.838.872.6-5.131%-
vs Similar (9)35.838.274.0-2.444%-
vs Weaker (4)37.835.873.5+2.050%-
This opponent (Montbrison W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montbrison WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union Hainaut W
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Monaco W
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#8
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H14/02
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A21/02
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#10
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H28/02
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A07/03
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#6
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H21/03
Ligue 2 Women
68.5Avg total
35.2Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.131.765.8+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.130.363.5+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)35.133.068.1+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.368.5+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.831.865.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.539.071.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (7)30.333.764.0-3.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)34.930.165.0+4.860%-
This opponent (Graffenstaden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Graffenstaden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Graffenstaden W: 65.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.5 points a game
56%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.118.2
44.3%
45.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.15.3
31.0%
29.7%15.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.4
72.8%
72.1%13.4
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Montbrison Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montbrison W: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.5 points a game
56%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.818.2
46.9%
45.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.5
33.3%
29.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.514.5
82.9%
72.1%14.5
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Graffenstaden W
LLLLLLWWWL
Montbrison W
LWWLWWWLLW
#12
League position
#3
-13.5
Net rating
+14.7
75.4
Offensive rating
87.1
88.9
Defensive rating
72.3
44.9%
Effective FG%
48.0%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.1%
21.6%
Turnover %
21.7%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
48.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.0%
3-point %
33.3%
78.7%
Assist %
73.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence75.4 · 87.1Defence88.9 · 72.3Shooting44.9% · 48.0%3-point %31.0% · 33.3%Ball care21.6% · 21.7%Off. rebounds26.8% · 48.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Graffenstaden W   ■ Montbrison W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Graffenstaden W wins
5
Montbrison W wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Montbrison W v Graffenstaden W73-49
17/02/24Graffenstaden W v Montbrison W67-70
04/11/23Montbrison W v Graffenstaden W73-51
18/03/23Graffenstaden W v Montbrison W67-52
10/12/22Montbrison W v Graffenstaden W69-65
12/03/22Graffenstaden W v Montbrison W74-62
27/11/21Montbrison W v Graffenstaden W59-47
Graffenstaden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26ALe Havre W82-84 OT
07/03/26HChampagne W62-66
28/02/26AMonaco W63-80
21/02/26HUnion Hainaut W68-69
14/02/26ANice W71-77
07/02/26HTronche Meylan W45-73
31/01/26HRouen W67-65
24/01/26AAulnoye AS W80-76
17/01/26HCentre Federal BB W90-61
10/01/26AFeytiat W47-88
Montbrison Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HFeytiat W53-62
07/03/26ACentre Federal BB W98-75
28/02/26HAulnoye AS W66-50
21/02/26AMondeville W51-56
14/02/26HPays Voironnais W89-61
07/02/26ARouen W81-57
31/01/26ALe Havre W93-63
24/01/26HChampagne W52-61
17/01/26AMonaco W72-78
10/01/26HUnion Hainaut W81-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Graffenstaden W
Ligue 2 Women 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWWLLL45%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%45%25%
Points / game68.771.366.4
Allowed / game74.772.676.6
Point differential-6.0-1.4-10.2
Avg total143.4143.9143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Montbrison W
Ligue 2 Women 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeWLWWL83%
AwayLWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %70%83%55%
Points / game69.969.570.3
Allowed / game60.056.863.6
Point differential+9.8+12.8+6.6
Avg total129.9126.2133.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tronche Meylan W2418675%74.563.6+11.0
2 Montbrison W2316770%69.960.0+9.8
3 Pays Voironnais W2316770%71.664.0+7.6
4 Monaco W2315865%76.771.0+5.6
5 Feytiat W2314961%70.567.0+3.5
6 Champagne W24141058%65.561.7+3.8
7 Mondeville W24131154%69.865.8+4.0
8 Union Hainaut W23121152%68.065.3+2.7
9 Aulnoye AS W23121152%73.976.6-2.7
10 Rouen W23101343%68.171.0-2.9
11 Nice W2381535%67.172.0-4.9
12 Graffenstaden W2381535%68.774.7-6.0
13 Centre Federal BB W2442017%61.976.9-15.0
14 Le Havre W2332013%63.780.3-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Graffenstaden W151914191279
Montbrison W14201617875
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