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Gran Canaria vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 93-65
29-17 20-21 23-12 21-15
Position#6
Record9-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#11
Record3-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game73.2
EuropeEurocupRound 10· Gran Canaria Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
W
88-77
88
77
+11
83avg 80
H01/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#8
W
88-76
88
76
+12
87avg 80
A05/11
ACB
Turk Telekom
#15
W
82-69
82
69
+13
79avg 80
A08/11
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
89-75
89
75
+14
77avg 80
H12/11
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 80
H15/11
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
101-94
101
94
+7
97avg 80
A18/11
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
92-70
92
70
+22
85avg 80
A21/11
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
L
82-94 OT
82
94
-12
no box
H26/11
ACB
Buducnost
#13
W
97-70
97
70
+27
98avg 80
H29/11
Eurocup
Palencia
#18
W
100-73
100
73
+27
94avg 80
H03/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
17-16
29-29
21-17
18-8
25-22
18-22
27-24
15-24
28-18
17-11
22-16
29-14
16-17
25-23
19-21
23-16
22-11
23-20
13-30
27-23
20-19
28-31
26-21
32-20
13-23
15-11
32-16
16-16
13-29
18-13
27-16
28-23
21-21
26-10
22-16
22-13
24-23
32-19
22-18
167.5Avg total
90.0Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.373.3162.7+16.0100%
Season at home (5)92.276.4168.6+15.8100%
Season away (4)85.869.5155.2+16.2100%
Last 10 (10)90.077.5167.5+12.590%
Last 5 (5)94.480.2174.6+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.889.8167.6-12.020%
vs Similar (8)81.683.6165.2-2.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.478.9166.4+8.582%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
49avg 65
H01/11
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
83avg 65
A04/11
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
W
65-63
65
63
+2
57avg 65
A08/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
58avg 65
H12/11
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
65-72
65
72
-7
54avg 65
A14/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
64avg 65
A18/11
Basket League
Ulm
#9
L
88-99 OT
88
99
-11
67avg 65
H22/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 65
H25/11
Basket League
Trento
#16
L
67-69
67
69
-2
54avg 65
A29/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
79avg 65
A03/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
11-13
13-17
13-12
24-18
26-17
14-23
24-20
11-20
23-19
17-17
14-7
15-14
18-18
11-23
21-20
8-25
26-12
15-16
16-19
22-30
12-24
25-14
17-14
21-19
21-22
17-14
22-26
22-19
6-20
17-24
28-14
17-17
15-15
11-21
24-16
27-15
17-19
28-19
17-31
149.5Avg total
73.5Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.273.2143.4-3.033%
Season at home (4)70.277.0147.2-6.825%
Season away (5)70.270.2140.4+0.040%
Last 10 (10)73.576.0149.5-2.530%
Last 5 (5)78.682.2160.8-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.479.9148.3-11.50%
vs Similar (13)78.376.1154.4+2.262%
vs Weaker (6)81.571.7153.2+9.867%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
Gran CanariaAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H01/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A05/11
ACB
Turk Telekom
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A08/11
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H12/11
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H15/11
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A18/11
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A21/11
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H26/11
ACB
Buducnost
#13
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H29/11
Eurocup
Palencia
#18
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/12
ACB
80.1Avg total
43.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.582.6+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.638.582.1+5.265%-
Last 30 away (13)39.943.283.2-3.354%-
Last 10 (10)43.037.180.1+5.990%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.085.2+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.845.083.8-6.220%-
vs Similar (8)41.839.481.1+2.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.139.882.9+3.476%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H01/11
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/11
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/11
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A18/11
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H25/11
Basket League
Trento
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A29/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A03/12
Basket League
73.9Avg total
36.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.575.0-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.836.673.4+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)36.340.176.4-3.825%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.573.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.076.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.339.773.0-6.430%-
vs Similar (13)37.538.175.6-0.546%-
vs Weaker (6)41.837.379.2+4.550%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.7
57.8%
54.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.4
37.7%
35.5%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
74.5%14.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.3
49.7%
54.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.9
31.7%
35.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.413.2
71.7%
74.5%13.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
WWLWWWWWWW
Aris
WLLLLLLWWL
#6
League position
#11
+20.0
Net rating
-4.0
121.7
Offensive rating
99.0
101.7
Defensive rating
102.9
57.3%
Effective FG%
48.9%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
20.4%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.7%
3-point %
31.7%
69.5%
Assist %
44.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence121.7 · 99.0Defence101.7 · 102.9Shooting57.3% · 48.9%3-point %37.7% · 31.7%Ball care13.3% · 20.4%Off. rebounds28.9% · 28.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Gran Canaria wins
0
Aris wins
DateGameScore
04/10/23Aris v Gran Canaria66-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HPalencia100-73
29/11/23HBuducnost97-70
26/11/23HTenerife82-94 OT
21/11/23ACluj-Napoca92-70
18/11/23ABasket Zaragoza101-94
15/11/23HSlask Wroclaw81-77
12/11/23HGranada89-75
08/11/23ATurk Telekom82-69
05/11/23ABaskonia88-76
01/11/23HLietkabelis88-77
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23AMaroussi89-84
29/11/23ATrento67-69
25/11/23HPromitheas73-77
22/11/23HUlm88-99 OT
18/11/23APAOK76-82
14/11/23AJL Bourg65-72
12/11/23HPanathinaikos65-75
08/11/23ABuducnost65-63
04/11/23AKolossos Rhodes88-78
01/11/23HCluj-Napoca59-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.392.285.8
Allowed / game73.376.469.5
Point differential+16.0+15.8+16.2
Avg total162.7168.6155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%60%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game70.270.270.2
Allowed / game73.277.070.2
Point differential-3.0-6.8+0.0
Avg total143.4147.2140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria990100%89.373.3+16.0
2 Paris109190%97.480.8+16.6
3 JL Bourg108280%83.077.0+6.0
4 London Lions108280%93.488.3+5.1
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv97278%95.786.9+8.8
6 Cluj-Napoca107370%84.679.6+5.0
7 Ulm107370%88.784.9+3.8
8 Besiktas106460%78.474.6+3.8
9 Joventut Badalona105550%86.285.1+1.1
10 Prometey105550%85.486.5-1.1
11 BC Wolves94544%84.991.6-6.7
12 Venezia104640%82.781.7+1.0
13 Lietkabelis104640%85.288.6-3.4
14 Buducnost104640%78.482.3-3.9
15 Trento104640%80.185.7-5.6
16 Aris93633%70.273.2-3.0
17 Turk Telekom102820%77.884.2-6.4
18 Slask Wroclaw101910%76.283.4-7.2
19 Hamburg101910%78.396.9-18.6
20 Cedevita Olimpija100100%80.990.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gran Canaria2920232193
Aris1721121565
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