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JL Bourg vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 72-65
25-8 12-26 16-15 19-16
Position#2
Record4-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#11
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game69.8
EuropeEurocupRound 7· Ekinox
European cup2023
Meetings · JL Bourg v Aris
30 Oct 2024
JBO88
ARI91
14 Nov 2023
JBO72
ARI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

JL Bourg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JL BourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Trento
#16
W
79-72
79
72
+7
76avg 81
A10/10
Eurocup
Monaco
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
76avg 81
A15/10
LNB
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
92-88
92
88
+4
90avg 81
H17/10
Eurocup
Limoges
#10
W
77-67
77
67
+10
83avg 81
H21/10
LNB
Gran Canaria
#6
L
76-84
76
84
-8
65avg 81
A25/10
Eurocup
Dijon
#9
W
84-66
84
66
+18
80avg 81
A28/10
LNB
Buducnost
#13
W
78-73
78
73
+5
68avg 81
H01/11
Eurocup
Roanne
#17
L
81-84
81
84
-3
95avg 81
H04/11
LNB
Lietkabelis
#17
L
96-100
96
100
-4
88avg 81
A07/11
Eurocup
Saint Quentin
#7
L
61-92
61
92
-31
51avg 81
A11/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
21-15
18-21
17-13
16-18
13-13
19-21
19-26
31-22
24-16
11-18
26-32
26-18
17-18
13-17
21-14
21-26
20-30
15-13
20-15
29-13
24-22
13-14
18-17
17-21
21-22
21-13
19-17
18-26
26-23
19-20
18-15
14-30
25-17
22-25
35-28
12-25
11-21
18-18
20-28
159.5Avg total
79.1Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.281.8167.0+3.367%
Season at home (3)86.778.3165.0+8.3100%
Season away (3)83.785.3169.0-1.733%
Last 10 (10)79.180.4159.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)80.083.0163.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.892.8175.5-10.00%
vs Similar (9)80.884.2165.0-3.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.278.0163.2+7.271%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
L
74-84
74
84
-10
57avg 67
A10/10
Eurocup
Apollon Patras
#17
W
77-70
77
70
+7
71avg 67
A14/10
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#15
W
68-66
68
66
+2
57avg 67
H18/10
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
W
69-61
69
61
+8
58avg 67
H22/10
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
80-63
80
63
+17
70avg 67
A25/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
75-64
75
64
+11
69avg 67
H29/10
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
49avg 67
H01/11
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
83avg 67
A04/11
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
W
65-63
65
63
+2
57avg 67
A08/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
58avg 67
H12/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
16-20
23-18
15-23
23-13
20-22
20-15
14-20
23-20
11-18
21-16
13-12
15-15
14-24
21-11
19-11
22-16
21-26
18-10
19-11
22-15
9-9
21-20
23-20
22-19
11-13
13-17
13-12
24-18
26-17
14-23
24-20
11-20
23-19
17-17
14-7
15-14
18-18
11-23
21-20
140.5Avg total
72.0Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.769.8138.5-1.250%
Season at home (3)64.369.7134.0-5.333%
Season away (3)73.070.0143.0+3.067%
Last 10 (10)72.068.5140.5+3.570%
Last 5 (5)70.468.2138.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.482.9152.3-13.40%
vs Similar (12)75.371.9147.2+3.467%
vs Weaker (8)84.172.6156.8+11.575%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
JL BourgAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/10
Eurocup
Monaco
#1
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A15/10
LNB
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H17/10
Eurocup
Limoges
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/10
LNB
Gran Canaria
#6
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A25/10
Eurocup
Dijon
#9
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A28/10
LNB
Buducnost
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H01/11
Eurocup
Roanne
#17
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H04/11
LNB
Lietkabelis
#17
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A07/11
Eurocup
Saint Quentin
#7
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A11/11
LNB
82.8Avg total
40.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.883.9+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.039.784.7+5.369%-
Last 30 away (17)39.843.583.3-3.635%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.982.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.083.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.248.590.8-6.225%-
vs Similar (9)40.743.083.7-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.839.682.4+3.165%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A10/10
Eurocup
Apollon Patras
#17
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A14/10
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H18/10
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H22/10
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A25/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H29/10
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H01/11
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/11
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/11
Basket League
72.5Avg total
36.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.074.1-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.636.173.7+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)34.539.974.5-5.420%-
Last 10 (10)36.635.972.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.468.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.840.773.4-7.933%-
vs Similar (12)36.536.973.4-0.442%-
vs Weaker (8)40.636.577.1+4.150%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.9
50.9%
54.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.8
38.3%
35.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.613.7
69.9%
74.5%13.7
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
54.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.8
28.0%
35.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
74.9%
74.5%14.0
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
JL Bourg
LLLWWLWWLW
Aris
LWWLWWWWWL
#2
League position
#11
-2.5
Net rating
+4.7
103.8
Offensive rating
100.5
106.4
Defensive rating
95.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
47.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.7%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.3%
3-point %
28.0%
67.5%
Assist %
49.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 100.5Defence106.4 · 95.8Shooting53.4% · 47.3%3-point %38.3% · 28.0%Ball care19.2% · 18.7%Off. rebounds23.7% · 30.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ JL Bourg   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
JL Bourg wins
0
Aris wins
No previous meetings.
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ASaint Quentin61-92
07/11/23ALietkabelis96-100
04/11/23HRoanne81-84
01/11/23HBuducnost78-73
28/10/23ADijon84-66
25/10/23AGran Canaria76-84
21/10/23HLimoges77-67
17/10/23HCluj-Napoca92-88
15/10/23AMonaco67-78
10/10/23ATrento79-72
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HPanathinaikos65-75
08/11/23ABuducnost65-63
04/11/23AKolossos Rhodes88-78
01/11/23HCluj-Napoca59-61
29/10/23HAEK Athens75-64
25/10/23ASlask Wroclaw80-63
22/10/23HAS Karditsas69-61
18/10/23HTurk Telekom68-66
14/10/23AApollon Patras77-70
10/10/23ALietkabelis74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

JL Bourg
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game85.286.783.7
Allowed / game81.878.385.3
Point differential+3.3+8.3-1.7
Avg total167.0165.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game68.764.373.0
Allowed / game69.869.770.0
Point differential-1.2-5.3+3.0
Avg total138.5134.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris660100%101.281.7+19.5
2 Gran Canaria660100%89.073.8+15.2
3 Besiktas65183%80.072.3+7.7
4 Cluj-Napoca65183%79.073.0+6.0
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv64267%97.088.0+9.0
6 London Lions64267%92.388.3+4.0
7 JL Bourg64267%85.281.8+3.3
8 Ulm64267%89.287.0+2.2
9 BC Wolves53260%87.489.8-2.4
10 Joventut Badalona63350%84.281.7+2.5
11 Aris63350%68.769.8-1.2
12 Trento63350%82.284.8-2.7
13 Lietkabelis73443%83.687.4-3.9
14 Prometey73443%84.688.7-4.1
15 Buducnost62433%77.777.5+0.2
16 Venezia62433%77.879.8-2.0
17 Turk Telekom71614%77.984.6-6.7
18 Cedevita Olimpija6060%79.088.7-9.7
19 Slask Wroclaw6060%78.589.2-10.7
20 Hamburg6060%77.7101.8-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
JL Bourg2512161972
Aris826151665
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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