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Aris vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-99 (OT)
21-19 21-22 17-14 22-26 7-18
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Ulm 🏆
Position#9
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game84.1
EuropeEurocupRound 8· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#15
W
68-66
68
66
+2
57avg 66
H18/10
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
W
69-61
69
61
+8
58avg 66
H22/10
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
80-63
80
63
+17
70avg 66
A25/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
75-64
75
64
+11
69avg 66
H29/10
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
49avg 66
H01/11
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
83avg 66
A04/11
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
W
65-63
65
63
+2
57avg 66
A08/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
58avg 66
H12/11
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
65-72
65
72
-7
54avg 66
A14/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
64avg 66
A18/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
11-18
21-16
13-12
15-15
14-24
21-11
19-11
22-16
21-26
18-10
19-11
22-15
9-9
21-20
23-20
22-19
11-13
13-17
13-12
24-18
26-17
14-23
24-20
11-20
23-19
17-17
14-7
15-14
18-18
11-23
21-20
8-25
26-12
15-16
16-19
22-30
12-24
25-14
17-14
139.5Avg total
71.0Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.170.1138.3-2.043%
Season at home (3)64.369.7134.0-5.333%
Season away (4)71.070.5141.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)71.068.5139.5+2.560%
Last 5 (5)71.874.0145.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.081.8150.8-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.472.7148.1+2.762%
vs Weaker (6)81.571.7153.2+9.867%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
95avg 81
H17/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
94avg 81
A21/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 81
A25/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
70-99
70
99
-29
62avg 81
H28/10
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
108avg 81
H01/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
105-87
105
87
+18
109avg 81
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 81
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
no box
A11/11
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 81
H14/11
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 81
A19/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
26-25
18-18
28-14
30-12
24-25
17-19
23-22
16-21
29-12
24-25
22-20
20-14
15-25
21-26
14-34
25-22
24-24
15-31
30-17
31-22
27-18
21-26
26-21
14-26
10-25
24-13
27-22
23-16
24-25
21-28
19-18
23-19
14-18
22-11
25-19
25-19
20-22
19-15
24-27
176.1Avg total
91.2Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.484.1172.6+4.371%
Season at home (4)92.878.5171.2+14.2100%
Season away (3)82.791.7174.3-9.033%
Last 10 (10)91.284.9176.1+6.380%
Last 5 (5)90.083.4173.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.684.4169.0+0.260%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.982.6170.5+5.385%
vs Weaker (7)106.091.6197.6+14.4100%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
ArisUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H18/10
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H22/10
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A25/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H29/10
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H01/11
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/11
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/11
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A18/11
Basket League
72.7Avg total
35.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.938.874.6-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.936.173.0+0.757%-
Last 30 away (16)35.041.176.1-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.272.7-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.476.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.940.373.2-7.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.338.274.5-1.938%-
vs Weaker (6)41.837.379.2+4.550%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H17/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#10
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#15
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A25/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/10
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H01/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H05/11
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
24-51
24
51
-27
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A11/11
BBL
Buducnost
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/11
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A19/11
BBL
85.4Avg total
44.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.142.387.5+2.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.942.390.2+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.342.484.7-0.167%-
Last 10 (10)44.740.785.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.084.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.143.486.5-0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.240.683.8+2.669%-
vs Weaker (7)51.644.095.6+7.6100%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.0
50.8%
54.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.8
28.3%
35.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.213.8
75.8%
74.5%13.8
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.0
55.4%
54.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.9
38.9%
35.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.213.3
73.1%
74.5%13.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLLWWLWWWW
Ulm
WWWLWWLWWW
#11
League position
#9
+3.5
Net rating
+8.2
98.6
Offensive rating
114.0
95.1
Defensive rating
105.9
47.5%
Effective FG%
56.7%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
19.9%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.3%
3-point %
38.9%
50.4%
Assist %
68.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 114.0Defence95.1 · 105.9Shooting47.5% · 56.7%3-point %28.3% · 38.9%Ball care19.9% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.5% · 29.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Aris   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
0
Ulm wins
No previous meetings.
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23APAOK76-82
14/11/23AJL Bourg65-72
12/11/23HPanathinaikos65-75
08/11/23ABuducnost65-63
04/11/23AKolossos Rhodes88-78
01/11/23HCluj-Napoca59-61
29/10/23HAEK Athens75-64
25/10/23ASlask Wroclaw80-63
22/10/23HAS Karditsas69-61
18/10/23HTurk Telekom68-66
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23AWurzburg88-83
14/11/23HBuducnost84-67
11/11/23AOldenburg98-94 OT
08/11/23ACluj-Napoca75-86
05/11/23HBonn105-87
01/11/23HSlask Wroclaw108-103 OT
28/10/23HLudwigsburg70-99
25/10/23ATurk Telekom91-78
21/10/23AHamburg94-78
17/10/23HLietkabelis99-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game68.164.371.0
Allowed / game70.169.770.5
Point differential-2.0-5.3+0.5
Avg total138.3134.0141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game88.492.882.7
Allowed / game84.178.591.7
Point differential+4.3+14.2-9.0
Avg total172.6171.2174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria880100%88.473.8+14.6
2 Paris87188%96.481.5+14.9
3 Cluj-Napoca86275%80.273.8+6.5
4 Besiktas86275%78.572.5+6.0
5 JL Bourg86275%83.677.9+5.8
6 Ulm75271%88.484.1+4.3
7 London Lions75271%91.087.1+3.9
8 Hapoel Tel-Aviv64267%97.088.0+9.0
9 BC Wolves74357%85.487.6-2.1
10 Prometey84450%85.187.9-2.8
11 Lietkabelis84450%82.585.4-2.9
12 Joventut Badalona73443%85.684.4+1.1
13 Aris73443%68.170.1-2.0
14 Venezia83538%80.280.6-0.4
15 Buducnost83538%78.980.6-1.8
16 Trento83538%81.188.1-7.0
17 Turk Telekom81712%76.584.8-8.2
18 Hamburg81712%77.997.2-19.4
19 Cedevita Olimpija7070%79.688.3-8.7
20 Slask Wroclaw8080%77.486.4-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Aris21211722788
Ulm192214261899
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