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Aris vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 65-75
15-14 18-18 11-23 21-20
Position#8
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game64.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 6· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Aris v Panathinaikos
01 Nov 2026
ARI101
PAO91
01 Feb 2026
ARI102
PAO95
17 Mar 2025
ARI73
PAO83
02 Jun 2024
ARI65
PAO80
13 May 2024
ARI68
PAO80
12 Nov 2023
ARI65
PAO75
09 Oct 2022
ARI69
PAO65
24 May 2022
ARI65
PAO85
03 Oct 2021
ARI81
PAO71
17 Jan 2021
ARI75
PAO93
15 Feb 2020
ARI81
PAO88
13 Oct 2018
ARI70
PAO84
10 Dec 2017
ARI70
PAO88
21 Nov 2016
ARI59
PAO71
28 Apr 2015
ARI56
PAO72
24 Nov 2013
ARI59
PAO75
15 Oct 2012
ARI56
PAO71
21 Apr 2012
ARI65
PAO88
14 Jan 2012
ARI68
PAO72
18 Mar 2011
ARI69
PAO75
09 Feb 2011
ARI74
PAO70
08 Nov 2009
ARI62
PAO70
13 May 2009
ARI53
PAO66
21 Mar 2009
ARI69
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 67
H08/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
L
74-84
74
84
-10
57avg 67
A10/10
Eurocup
Apollon Patras
#17
W
77-70
77
70
+7
71avg 67
A14/10
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#15
W
68-66
68
66
+2
57avg 67
H18/10
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
W
69-61
69
61
+8
58avg 67
H22/10
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
80-63
80
63
+17
70avg 67
A25/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
75-64
75
64
+11
69avg 67
H29/10
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
49avg 67
H01/11
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
83avg 67
A04/11
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
W
65-63
65
63
+2
57avg 67
A08/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
23-17
13-24
18-17
20-23
16-20
23-18
15-23
23-13
20-22
20-15
14-20
23-20
11-18
21-16
13-12
15-15
14-24
21-11
19-11
22-16
21-26
18-10
19-11
22-15
9-9
21-20
23-20
22-19
11-13
13-17
13-12
24-18
26-17
14-23
24-20
11-20
23-19
17-17
14-7
141.8Avg total
72.7Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.270.8147.0+5.480%
Season at home (3)72.068.7140.7+3.367%
Season away (2)82.574.0156.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)72.769.1141.8+3.670%
Last 5 (5)73.465.8139.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.083.9153.9-13.90%
vs Similar (12)75.371.9147.2+3.467%
vs Weaker (9)84.272.1156.3+12.178%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 74
H12/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
66-64
66
64
+2
61avg 74
A14/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
57avg 74
A17/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
73avg 74
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
111-75
111
75
+36
113avg 74
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
95-81
95
81
+14
88avg 74
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
66-54
66
54
+12
57avg 74
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 74
A03/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
112-60
112
60
+52
112avg 74
H06/11
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-85
99
85
+14
102avg 74
A10/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
14-19
17-18
24-23
11-13
13-23
22-19
20-9
9-27
19-16
17-24
24-16
15-20
9-19
25-18
23-15
31-20
25-25
30-9
25-21
24-22
24-21
22-23
25-15
11-12
17-19
17-12
21-11
20-21
13-24
14-26
25-9
33-12
29-15
27-15
23-18
27-26
33-21
22-23
17-15
158.8Avg total
84.9Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.464.8152.2+22.6100%
Season at home (3)101.768.7170.3+33.0100%
Season away (2)66.059.0125.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.973.9158.8+11.070%
Last 5 (5)88.872.0160.8+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.372.3131.7-13.017%
vs Similar (5)73.878.6152.4-4.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.871.8159.6+15.979%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +7.5+7.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +7.5+7.5
ArisPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A10/10
Eurocup
Apollon Patras
#17
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A14/10
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H18/10
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H22/10
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A25/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H29/10
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H01/11
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/11
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/11
Eurocup
74.1Avg total
37.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.438.074.4-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.336.074.3+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)34.539.974.5-5.420%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.774.1+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.472.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)32.841.874.5-9.025%-
vs Similar (12)36.536.973.4-0.442%-
vs Weaker (9)41.035.976.9+5.156%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#15
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A14/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A17/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A03/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
62-27
62
27
+35
H06/11
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A10/11
Euroleague
78.6Avg total
40.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.576.5+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.137.781.8+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)33.937.371.2-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.678.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.684.8+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.339.368.7-10.017%-
vs Similar (5)34.840.875.6-6.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.236.179.2+7.168%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.3
50.3%
52.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.0
28.6%
33.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.614.1
75.8%
71.5%14.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.5
54.5%
52.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.1
38.3%
33.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.7%
71.5%14.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WWLWWWWWLL
Panathinaikos
WWLWWWLLWW
#8
League position
#2
+4.8
Net rating
+14.6
101.3
Offensive rating
115.9
96.5
Defensive rating
101.3
47.3%
Effective FG%
55.7%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.6%
3-point %
38.3%
50.2%
Assist %
57.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 115.9Defence96.5 · 101.3Shooting47.3% · 55.7%3-point %28.6% · 38.3%Ball care18.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds30.5% · 31.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Aris   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aris wins
8
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
15/01/23Panathinaikos v Aris96-79
09/10/22Aris v Panathinaikos69-65
24/05/22Aris v Panathinaikos65-85
22/05/22Panathinaikos v Aris109-79
30/01/22Panathinaikos v Aris103-83
03/10/21Aris v Panathinaikos81-71
28/02/21Panathinaikos v Aris94-72
17/01/21Aris v Panathinaikos75-93
15/02/20Aris v Panathinaikos81-88
26/10/19Panathinaikos v Aris108-86
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23ABuducnost65-63
04/11/23AKolossos Rhodes88-78
01/11/23HCluj-Napoca59-61
29/10/23HAEK Athens75-64
25/10/23ASlask Wroclaw80-63
22/10/23HAS Karditsas69-61
18/10/23HTurk Telekom68-66
14/10/23AApollon Patras77-70
10/10/23ALietkabelis74-84
08/10/23HOlympiacos72-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23AAlba Berlin99-85
06/11/23HApollon Patras112-60
03/11/23ABarcelona72-80
30/10/23AOlympiacos66-54
27/10/23HBaskonia95-81
23/10/23HLavrio111-75
20/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-86 OT
17/10/23AFenerbahce69-83
14/10/23APeristeri66-64
12/10/23HBayern78-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game76.272.082.5
Allowed / game70.868.774.0
Point differential+5.4+3.3+8.5
Avg total147.0140.7156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.4101.766.0
Allowed / game64.868.759.0
Point differential+22.6+33.0+7.0
Avg total152.2170.3125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos550100%87.464.8+22.6
2 LCC W550100%86.866.4+20.4
3 Olympiacos65183%80.867.7+13.2
4 Aris54180%76.270.8+5.4
5 Kibirkstis Vilnius W43175%96.574.0+22.5
6 Promitheas64267%89.881.3+8.5
7 Lavrio53260%82.291.2-9.0
8 Klaipedos Neptunas W42250%77.265.8+11.5
9 PAOK63350%72.575.2-2.7
10 Aistes LSU Kaunas W42250%59.071.2-12.2
11 AEK Athens52340%86.282.0+4.2
12 Peristeri52340%80.076.8+3.2
13 Kolossos Rhodes52340%80.886.2-5.4
14 Maroussi51420%81.292.8-11.6
15 Apollon Patras61517%65.885.7-19.8
16 AS Karditsas5050%76.685.0-8.4
17 Siauliai W3030%67.084.3-17.3
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1518112165
Panathinaikos1418232075
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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