PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Gran Canaria vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 104-106 (OT)
28-27 18-12 21-29 22-21 15-17
Position#14
Record6-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#11
Record9-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H30/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
L
70-99
70
99
-29
H03/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H06/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H08/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A11/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A13/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H17/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H20/01
ACB
Buducnost
#15
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A25/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A27/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
20-22
21-18
21-17
30-23
6-27
14-23
20-26
25-14
19-25
20-16
27-20
15-16
19-11
22-25
11-23
23-16
19-23
9-16
15-28
21-19
20-22
14-16
12-26
19-24
13-20
19-12
13-26
14-18
11-25
37-19
28-20
24-27
14-9
19-25
13-14
20-19
19-17
14-26
22-26
155.7Avg total
73.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.886.6164.3-8.830%
Season at home (11)78.785.8164.5-7.136%
Season away (9)76.687.6164.1-11.022%
Last 10 (10)73.482.3155.7-8.920%
Last 5 (5)73.282.0155.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.086.9161.9-11.918%
vs Similar (11)79.379.7159.0-0.545%
vs Weaker (2)77.074.5151.5+2.550%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A30/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#15
W
111-94
111
94
+17
H03/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H06/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H09/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A11/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A13/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A18/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H27/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
21-18
17-21
23-22
36-22
20-23
26-21
29-28
18-18
21-22
25-11
22-27
16-17
21-19
20-29
28-25
22-23
23-30
23-24
19-16
23-13
13-22
16-21
25-17
21-16
28-26
10-20
16-18
16-26
23-19
25-30
28-26
21-13
13-17
18-20
28-20
22-16
26-16
19-26
27-17
170.7Avg total
86.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.385.6171.9+0.845%
Season at home (10)86.585.9172.4+0.650%
Season away (10)86.285.3171.5+0.940%
Last 10 (10)86.883.9170.7+2.950%
Last 5 (5)83.679.8163.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.787.3171.0-3.733%
vs Similar (15)83.383.7167.0-0.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)93.883.0176.8+10.875%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
Gran CanariaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H30/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H06/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H08/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A11/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H17/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H20/01
ACB
Buducnost
#15
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A25/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/01
ACB
76.4Avg total
36.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.680.6-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.441.181.5-0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)37.342.279.5-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)36.340.176.4-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.075.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.543.182.6-3.641%-
vs Similar (11)38.240.278.4-2.045%-
vs Weaker (2)38.536.575.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A30/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#15
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H03/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H09/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A13/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A18/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/01
Lega A
82.4Avg total
42.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.182.7+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.538.379.8+3.271%-
Last 30 away (16)43.641.685.2+2.062%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.082.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.878.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.338.379.7+3.067%-
vs Similar (15)40.739.880.5+0.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.340.886.2+4.567%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.517.8
46.2%
52.7%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.9
33.1%
37.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.810.5
70.9%
76.7%10.5
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.2
53.3%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.3
36.9%
37.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws25.119.5
77.7%
76.7%19.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
LLWLLLLWLL
Olimpia Milano
WWLLWLLWWL
#14
League position
#11
-12.2
Net rating
+3.6
101.7
Offensive rating
115.1
113.9
Defensive rating
111.5
47.6%
Effective FG%
54.2%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.41
33.1%
3-point %
36.9%
59.6%
Assist %
53.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 115.1Defence113.9 · 111.5Shooting47.6% · 54.2%3-point %33.1% · 36.9%Ball care16.9% · 16.9%Off. rebounds31.4% · 29.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Gran Canaria wins
0
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
06/12/18Olimpia Milano v Gran Canaria86-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/19AJoventut Badalona75-88
25/01/19ABuducnost70-75
20/01/19HMurcia90-82
17/01/19HFenerbahce64-82
13/01/19AValencia67-83
11/01/19ABaskonia66-83
08/01/19HReal Madrid67-75
06/01/19HFuenlabrada91-75
03/01/19HKhimki M.70-99
30/12/18HSan Pablo Burgos74-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/19HVirtus Bologna94-75
24/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas80-70
20/01/19ABrindisi92-101
18/01/19ABaskonia75-80
13/01/19ATrieste77-73
11/01/19ABayern87-93
09/01/19HBarcelona85-90
06/01/19HTrento86-78
03/01/19HBuducnost111-94
30/12/18AAvellino81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayWWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %30%36%22%
Points / game77.878.776.6
Allowed / game86.685.887.6
Point differential-8.8-7.1-11.0
Avg total164.3164.5164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW45%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game86.386.586.2
Allowed / game85.685.985.3
Point differential+0.8+0.6+0.9
Avg total171.9172.4171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2118386%84.075.3+8.7
2 Real Madrid2117481%86.276.3+9.9
3 CSKA Moscow2116576%87.080.7+6.3
4 Anadolu Efes2113862%85.080.5+4.5
5 Barcelona2112957%78.376.6+1.7
6 Olympiacos2112957%79.077.3+1.6
7 Bayern21111052%79.880.5-0.8
8 Baskonia21101148%82.080.5+1.4
9 Olimpia Milano2091145%86.385.6+0.8
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv2191243%80.080.9-1.0
11 Panathinaikos2191243%77.879.4-1.6
12 Khimki M.2181338%76.778.4-1.7
13 Zalgiris Kaunas2181338%77.979.7-1.9
14 Gran Canaria2061430%77.886.6-8.8
15 Buducnost2161529%73.883.8-10.0
16 Darussafaka2131814%74.984.4-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Gran Canaria2818212215104
Olimpia Milano2712292117106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.