PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Avellino vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-81
24-20 18-21 21-17 22-23
Position#9
Record8-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#1
Record12-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game80.0
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Avellino v Olimpia Milano
24 May 2019
AVE v MIL
upcoming
22 May 2019
AVE v MIL
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
AVE85
MIL81
25 Mar 2018
AVE75
MIL82
30 Jan 2017
AVE80
MIL68
25 Sep 2016
AVE72
MIL90
21 Feb 2016
AVE76
MIL82
19 Oct 2015
AVE60
MIL83
03 Nov 2014
AVE73
MIL69
01 May 2014
AVE92
MIL94
15 Oct 2012
AVE80
MIL58
22 Apr 2012
AVE77
MIL90
03 Apr 2011
AVE76
MIL84
13 Dec 2009
AVE66
MIL73
22 Nov 2008
AVE68
MIL61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#31
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A14/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A18/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H21/11
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
49-79
49
79
-30
H25/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
71-92
71
92
-21
H12/12
Champions League
Trieste
#10
L
64-110
64
110
-46
A16/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H19/12
Champions League
Sassari
#4
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H23/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
96-79
96
79
+17
A26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
22-19
26-16
14-19
34-12
17-10
22-23
18-30
22-18
19-28
26-19
7-23
14-20
11-23
6-16
18-20
25-25
21-24
24-16
12-16
16-24
14-19
24-30
17-19
21-33
11-21
20-30
12-26
22-11
21-17
21-28
18-20
24-22
23-18
20-18
19-20
23-30
19-16
24-14
30-19
160.4Avg total
77.2Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.583.2167.7+1.367%
Season at home (6)85.881.2167.0+4.767%
Season away (6)83.285.2168.3-2.067%
Last 10 (10)77.283.2160.4-6.060%
Last 5 (5)79.887.0166.8-7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.386.1166.4-5.943%
vs Similar (18)80.381.2161.6-0.950%
vs Weaker (5)89.477.6167.0+11.8100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A29/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
A09/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A13/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
A16/12
Lega A
Bayern
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H19/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A21/12
Euroleague
Varese
#7
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H23/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H25/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
92-94
92
94
-2
A27/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
8-22
27-20
20-23
22-20
18-28
23-23
23-23
18-18
26-18
20-16
37-22
21-15
19-25
18-27
27-25
21-18
24-23
23-22
23-28
16-15
24-26
17-17
21-22
21-23
26-17
17-16
22-27
17-12
20-16
14-21
21-18
28-22
18-18
17-16
24-19
24-21
24-25
27-29
17-19
172.0Avg total
87.2Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.980.0172.9+12.9100%
Season at home (6)90.877.8168.7+13.0100%
Season away (6)95.082.2177.2+12.8100%
Last 10 (10)87.284.8172.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)83.079.8162.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.088.2172.2-4.225%
vs Similar (12)85.583.7169.2+1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.879.2173.1+14.692%
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
AvellinoOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#31
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
51-22
51
22
+29
A18/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H21/11
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H25/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H12/12
Champions League
Trieste
#10
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H19/12
Champions League
Sassari
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H23/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A26/12
Lega A
80.4Avg total
39.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.581.8+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.242.285.4+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.677.6+0.336%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.080.4-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.281.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.742.482.1-2.743%-
vs Similar (18)40.641.381.8-0.739%-
vs Weaker (5)45.835.281.0+10.660%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A29/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A16/12
Lega A
Bayern
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H19/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/12
Euroleague
Varese
#7
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H23/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A27/12
Euroleague
81.8Avg total
41.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.782.8+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.240.482.6+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)43.939.182.9+4.875%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.081.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.082.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.539.082.5+4.575%-
vs Similar (12)41.140.681.7+0.558%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.539.885.2+5.777%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.2
49.5%
51.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.1
36.5%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.912.2
72.2%
72.3%12.2
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.5
52.4%
51.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.7%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.316.7
78.4%
72.3%16.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WWWLLWLLWW
Olimpia Milano
LWWWLWLWLL
#9
League position
#1
+0.1
Net rating
+3.5
105.0
Offensive rating
112.6
104.9
Defensive rating
109.1
51.5%
Effective FG%
52.9%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.0%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.5%
3-point %
35.7%
63.4%
Assist %
59.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 112.6Defence104.9 · 109.1Shooting51.5% · 52.9%3-point %36.5% · 35.7%Ball care14.8% · 16.0%Off. rebounds23.2% · 28.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Avellino   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Avellino wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/18ATorino96-79
23/12/18HSassari86-78
19/12/18HLudwigsburg82-76
16/12/18ATrieste64-110
12/12/18HNizhny Novgorod71-92
09/12/18HPesaro82-81
25/11/18HVenezia49-79
21/11/18HVentspils74-88
18/11/18AReggiana91-75
14/11/18ALe Mans77-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv92-94
25/12/18HBrescia87-75
23/12/18HVarese72-67
21/12/18APanathinaikos86-83
19/12/18HBayern78-80
16/12/18ASassari107-106 OT
13/12/18AFenerbahce85-92
09/12/18ACantu101-74
06/12/18HGran Canaria86-94
29/11/18AZalgiris Kaunas78-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game84.585.883.2
Allowed / game83.281.285.2
Point differential+1.3+4.7-2.0
Avg total167.7167.0168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.990.895.0
Allowed / game80.077.882.2
Point differential+12.9+13.0+12.8
Avg total172.9168.7177.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano12120100%92.980.0+12.9
2 Venezia129375%83.070.0+13.0
3 Cremona128467%89.084.0+5.0
4 Varese128467%77.172.4+4.7
5 Avellino128467%84.583.2+1.3
6 Trieste127558%86.181.4+4.7
7 Brindisi126650%78.077.2+0.8
8 Virtus Bologna126650%81.984.0-2.1
9 Sassari125742%87.683.4+4.2
10 Brescia125742%78.978.6+0.3
11 Trento125742%76.782.1-5.4
12 Torino124833%78.783.2-4.5
13 Pesaro124833%82.390.7-8.3
14 Cantu134931%80.888.1-7.3
15 Reggiana123925%77.183.5-6.4
16 Pistoia1331023%78.890.1-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2418212285
Olimpia Milano2021172381
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.