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Trieste vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 73-77
13-23 22-13 21-16 17-25
Position#10
Record7-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#1
Record13-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game80.2
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Trieste v Olimpia Milano
14 Mar 2027
TRI v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
TRI86
MIL82
29 Sep 2024
TRI84
MIL78
05 Feb 2023
TRI59
MIL65
19 Dec 2021
TRI71
MIL68
11 Oct 2020
TRI65
MIL87
26 Jan 2020
TRI67
MIL85
13 Jan 2019
TRI73
MIL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
96-79
96
79
+17
128avg 125
H04/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
77-103
77
103
-26
102avg 125
A12/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
no box
H17/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
102-82
102
82
+20
182avg 125
H25/11
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
132avg 125
A09/12
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
110-64
110
64
+46
143avg 125
H16/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
no box
A23/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
83-75
83
75
+8
160avg 125
A26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
97avg 125
H30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
97-102
97
102
-5
125avg 125
A06/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
21-14
23-15
21-29
21-22
16-24
16-25
24-32
15-23
22-15
23-12
25-24
24-21
26-24
39-15
13-22
18-19
21-21
22-21
17-26
33-21
21-11
30-20
26-12
25-12
19-23
14-15
26-21
12-11
31-20
14-20
26-24
27-16
10-31
17-26
17-19
20-24
19-27
24-25
34-26
171.2Avg total
88.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.883.6169.4+2.150%
Season at home (7)91.781.3173.0+10.471%
Season away (7)79.986.0165.9-6.129%
Last 10 (10)88.382.9171.2+5.460%
Last 5 (5)89.080.8169.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.779.7145.3-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.784.3169.0+0.429%
vs Weaker (20)83.975.4159.3+8.585%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
103avg 117
H19/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
86-83
86
83
+3
114avg 117
A21/12
Euroleague
Varese
#7
W
72-67
72
67
+5
94avg 117
H23/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
no box
H25/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
92-94
92
94
-2
118avg 117
A27/12
Euroleague
Avellino
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
109avg 117
A30/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#15
W
111-94
111
94
+17
141avg 117
H03/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
H06/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
111avg 117
H09/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
87-93
87
93
-6
111avg 117
A11/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
24-26
17-17
21-22
21-23
26-17
17-16
22-27
17-12
20-16
14-21
21-18
28-22
18-18
17-16
24-19
24-21
24-25
27-29
17-19
20-24
21-18
17-21
23-22
36-22
20-23
26-21
29-28
18-18
21-22
25-11
22-27
16-17
21-19
20-29
28-25
22-23
23-30
23-24
19-16
170.4Avg total
86.5Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.680.2171.8+11.493%
Season at home (7)90.177.9168.0+12.3100%
Season away (7)93.082.6175.6+10.486%
Last 10 (10)86.583.9170.4+2.650%
Last 5 (5)90.088.0178.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.088.2172.2-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.684.8170.4+0.857%
vs Weaker (12)94.681.8176.4+12.883%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
TriesteOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H04/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A12/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H25/11
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A09/12
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H16/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A23/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A06/01
Lega A
83.2Avg total
43.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.480.3+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.339.381.6+3.050%-
Last 30 away (14)39.339.578.8-0.243%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.083.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.282.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.044.380.3-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.642.684.1-1.029%-
vs Weaker (20)41.437.578.9+3.960%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H19/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/12
Euroleague
Varese
#7
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H23/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A27/12
Euroleague
Avellino
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A30/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#15
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H03/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H09/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/01
Euroleague
84.7Avg total
43.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.184.4+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.740.583.3+2.267%-
Last 30 away (15)43.841.785.5+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.184.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.286.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.539.082.5+4.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.141.182.2-0.157%-
vs Weaker (12)45.841.887.5+4.067%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.6
54.2%
51.0%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.8
38.6%
35.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.213.4
73.6%
72.3%13.4
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.8
54.5%
51.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.2
35.8%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.518.5
82.2%
72.3%18.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLWWWLWWLW
Olimpia Milano
LLWWLLWWWL
#10
League position
#1
+7.2
Net rating
+3.8
111.2
Offensive rating
116.6
104.0
Defensive rating
112.8
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.2%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.6%
3-point %
35.8%
55.9%
Assist %
59.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 116.6Defence104.0 · 112.8Shooting55.6% · 54.2%3-point %38.6% · 35.8%Ball care17.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds27.8% · 29.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Trieste   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
0
Olimpia Milano wins
No previous meetings.
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19ASassari97-102
30/12/18HBrindisi71-92
26/12/18AVenezia83-75
23/12/18AReggiana84-71
16/12/18HAvellino110-64
09/12/18ACremona78-87
25/11/18HCantu102-82
17/11/18HTrento85-74
12/11/18APesaro77-103
04/11/18HPistoia96-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/19ABayern87-93
09/01/19HBarcelona85-90
06/01/19HTrento86-78
03/01/19HBuducnost111-94
30/12/18AAvellino81-85
27/12/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv92-94
25/12/18HBrescia87-75
23/12/18HVarese72-67
21/12/18APanathinaikos86-83
19/12/18HBayern78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game85.891.779.9
Allowed / game83.681.386.0
Point differential+2.1+10.4-6.1
Avg total169.4173.0165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game91.690.193.0
Allowed / game80.277.982.6
Point differential+11.4+12.3+10.4
Avg total171.8168.0175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1413193%91.680.2+11.4
2 Avellino1511473%83.481.7+1.7
3 Venezia1510567%81.270.7+10.5
4 Varese149564%77.772.7+5.0
5 Cremona149564%88.283.8+4.4
6 Sassari158753%89.783.8+5.9
7 Brindisi158753%78.376.3+2.1
8 Trieste147750%85.883.6+2.1
9 Virtus Bologna147750%81.182.8-1.6
10 Brescia156940%78.079.7-1.7
11 Trento156940%76.381.0-4.7
12 Reggiana145936%79.681.6-1.9
13 Cantu1551033%82.989.2-6.3
14 Pesaro1551033%82.392.8-10.5
15 Torino1541127%81.787.1-5.4
16 Pistoia1541127%78.387.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1322211773
Olimpia Milano2313162577
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