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Olimpia Milano vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 111-94
36-22 20-23 26-21 29-28
Position#11
Record7-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#15
Record3-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game84.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#14
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
A09/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A13/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
A16/12
Lega A
Bayern
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H19/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A21/12
Euroleague
Varese
#7
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H23/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H25/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
92-94
92
94
-2
A27/12
Euroleague
Avellino
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
18-28
23-23
23-23
18-18
26-18
20-16
37-22
21-15
19-25
18-27
27-25
21-18
24-23
23-22
23-28
16-15
24-26
17-17
21-22
21-23
26-17
17-16
22-27
17-12
20-16
14-21
21-18
28-22
18-18
17-16
24-19
24-21
24-25
27-29
17-19
20-24
21-18
17-21
23-22
172.5Avg total
87.5Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.985.7171.6+0.347%
Season at home (7)84.186.4170.6-2.343%
Season away (8)87.585.0172.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)87.585.0172.5+2.550%
Last 5 (5)83.680.8164.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.088.2172.2-4.225%
vs Similar (12)85.583.7169.2+1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.780.3173.0+12.485%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
70-92
70
92
-22
A30/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H06/12
Euroleague
Mega Bemax
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H10/12
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#14
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A14/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A16/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
68-106
68
106
-38
A18/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
65-89
65
89
-24
H20/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A24/12
ABA League
Bayern
#12
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A28/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A30/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
17-19
14-32
19-16
14-15
17-18
15-13
21-18
21-31
20-20
30-18
20-16
20-26
14-30
23-26
28-13
18-15
16-17
23-26
20-25
20-29
21-20
12-32
15-25
20-26
20-14
15-27
10-22
5-18
14-16
24-18
21-17
21-14
28-24
21-27
18-28
11-23
29-23
23-17
9-23
160.9Avg total
74.7Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.584.3156.8-11.720%
Season at home (8)73.879.1152.9-5.438%
Season away (7)71.190.1161.3-19.00%
Last 10 (10)74.786.2160.9-11.520%
Last 5 (5)71.488.6160.0-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.485.1158.5-11.724%
vs Similar (4)70.275.0145.2-4.825%
vs Weaker (9)83.974.6158.4+9.378%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
Olimpia MilanoBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#14
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A16/12
Lega A
Bayern
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H19/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/12
Euroleague
Varese
#7
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H23/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/12
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A27/12
Euroleague
Avellino
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A30/12
Lega A
83.0Avg total
42.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.082.8+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.240.482.6+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)43.439.683.1+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.283.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.283.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.539.082.5+4.575%-
vs Similar (12)41.140.681.7+0.558%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.940.585.4+4.569%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A30/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H06/12
Euroleague
Mega Bemax
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H10/12
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#14
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A14/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A16/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H20/12
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
19-34
19
34
-15
A24/12
ABA League
Bayern
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A28/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A30/12
ABA League
78.9Avg total
36.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.077.5-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.776.3+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)38.440.378.7-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)36.642.378.9-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.479.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.742.178.8-5.418%-
vs Similar (4)36.236.272.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker (9)42.834.377.1+8.478%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.6
52.5%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.1
34.7%
37.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.717.1
78.8%
76.7%17.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.8
52.9%
52.7%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.1
32.7%
37.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.313.0
75.1%
76.7%13.0
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLWWWLWLWL
Buducnost
LLLLLLLWWL
#11
League position
#15
+2.3
Net rating
-16.4
113.1
Offensive rating
103.4
110.8
Defensive rating
119.7
52.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.7%
3-point %
32.7%
59.6%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 103.4Defence110.8 · 119.7Shooting52.4% · 51.5%3-point %34.7% · 32.7%Ball care15.8% · 15.3%Off. rebounds29.5% · 20.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Olimpia Milano wins
0
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
12/10/18Buducnost v Olimpia Milano71-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/18AAvellino81-85
27/12/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv92-94
25/12/18HBrescia87-75
23/12/18HVarese72-67
21/12/18APanathinaikos86-83
19/12/18HBayern78-80
16/12/18ASassari107-106 OT
13/12/18AFenerbahce85-92
09/12/18ACantu101-74
06/12/18HGran Canaria86-94
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/18ACrvena zvezda72-86
28/12/18ABayern88-93
24/12/18AKK Krka Novo mesto64-69
20/12/18HFenerbahce65-89
18/12/18AAnadolu Efes68-106
16/12/18ACibona77-83
14/12/18AGran Canaria85-95
10/12/18HMega Bemax91-85
06/12/18HBarcelona67-64
30/11/18AOlympiacos70-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%43%50%
Points / game85.984.187.5
Allowed / game85.786.485.0
Point differential+0.3-2.3+2.5
Avg total171.6170.6172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buducnost
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeLWWWL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%38%0%
Points / game72.573.871.1
Allowed / game84.379.190.1
Point differential-11.7-5.4-19.0
Avg total156.8152.9161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1514193%83.674.7+8.9
2 Real Madrid1512380%87.576.0+11.5
3 CSKA Moscow1511473%88.582.9+5.6
4 Anadolu Efes1610662%86.582.1+4.4
5 Olympiacos159660%80.677.0+3.6
6 Barcelona158753%76.276.8-0.6
7 Bayern168850%80.281.5-1.2
8 Zalgiris Kaunas157847%81.480.7+0.7
9 Olimpia Milano157847%85.985.7+0.3
10 Baskonia157847%80.880.7+0.1
11 Panathinaikos157847%79.580.1-0.7
12 Gran Canaria156940%81.287.9-6.7
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1551033%78.080.1-2.1
14 Khimki M.1551033%77.780.8-3.1
15 Buducnost1531220%72.584.3-11.7
16 Darussafaka1521313%75.985.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano36202629111
Buducnost2223212894
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