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Granada vs Palencia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 01 May 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#3
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game73.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 33· Palacio de Deportes
Other2026-27
Meetings · Granada v Palencia
01 May 2027
GRA v PAL
upcoming
09 Dec 2023
GRA109
PAL85
12 Mar 2022
GRA93
PAL57
27 Mar 2021
GRA77
PAL59
15 Dec 2019
GRA73
PAL68
03 May 2019
GRA73
PAL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Granada win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
96-109
96
109
-13
89avg 82
H23/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
105-110
105
110
-5
101avg 82
A29/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
76-82
76
82
-6
66avg 82
H26/09
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
W
77-67
77
67
+10
67avg 82
A03/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
91-88
91
88
+3
81avg 82
H10/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A17/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
76avg 82
A25/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
71-66
71
66
+5
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
56-72
56
72
-16
no box
A06/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
23-27
22-29
23-25
33-20
23-31
21-27
28-32
17-24
18-16
26-17
15-25
17-10
19-29
22-12
19-16
19-25
25-22
26-22
21-19
15-30
18-18
16-19
32-22
23-11
18-20
19-28
13-14
17-14
23-14
16-22
15-16
7-13
18-16
12-22
19-21
32-22
12-19
23-27
21-20
169.9Avg total
83.4Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.180.8159.9-1.650%
Season at home (4)83.884.2168.0-0.550%
Season away (4)74.577.2151.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)83.486.5169.9-3.140%
Last 5 (5)77.881.8159.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)83.895.4179.2-11.710%
vs Similar (7)82.778.9161.6+3.986%
vs Weaker (2)83.585.0168.5-1.550%
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
76-51
76
51
+25
68avg 78
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
70avg 78
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
W
95-69
95
69
+26
105avg 78
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
70-67
70
67
+3
63avg 78
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
85avg 78
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
62avg 78
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
78avg 78
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
72-56
72
56
+16
no box
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
15-12
22-12
13-18
16-20
24-18
21-28
20-26
25-20
27-14
23-23
20-12
14-12
19-19
16-15
21-21
17-19
27-18
14-17
33-22
22-21
26-14
12-27
17-24
13-25
22-20
25-16
24-19
19-17
19-14
24-21
23-21
13-7
16-18
22-12
21-19
27-20
16-19
26-14
17-24
154.4Avg total
81.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.573.0155.5+9.588%
Season at home (4)79.269.8149.0+9.5100%
Season away (4)85.876.2162.0+9.575%
Last 10 (10)81.772.7154.4+9.080%
Last 5 (5)80.874.4155.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.081.0134.0-28.00%
vs Similar (4)85.584.5170.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.869.6153.4+14.292%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
GranadaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H23/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A29/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H26/09
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H10/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A17/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A25/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H31/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A06/11
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H14/11
Primera FEB
81.4Avg total
40.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.782.4-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.381.2+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)38.545.183.5-6.627%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.981.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.472.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.044.784.7-4.738%-
vs Similar (7)38.736.675.3+2.157%-
vs Weaker (2)39.543.583.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H29/05
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/06
Primera FEB
Albacete
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A26/09
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A18/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A31/10
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H06/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A14/11
Primera FEB
73.9Avg total
40.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.934.575.4+6.487%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.134.176.2+8.186%-
Last 30 away (16)39.834.874.6+5.088%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.673.9+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.037.060.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (4)43.235.078.2+8.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.234.375.5+7.088%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.7
57.0%
53.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.0
34.6%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.519.6
80.0%
74.2%19.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
53.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
74.2%19.2
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Granada
LLWWLWWLLL
Palencia
WWWWLWWWLW
#8
League position
#3
-4.9
Net rating
+6.0
104.5
Offensive rating
110.8
109.3
Defensive rating
104.8
54.9%
Effective FG%
50.3%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
11.7%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.41
34.6%
3-point %
35.4%
55.6%
Assist %
58.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 110.8Defence109.3 · 104.8Shooting54.9% · 50.3%3-point %34.6% · 35.4%Ball care11.7% · 0.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Granada   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Granada wins
1
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
06/11/26Palencia v Granada72-56
20/04/24Palencia v Granada83-91
09/12/23Granada v Palencia109-85
12/03/22Granada v Palencia93-57
05/11/21Palencia v Granada80-83
30/04/21Palencia v Granada71-72
27/03/21Granada v Palencia77-59
15/12/19Granada v Palencia73-68
03/05/19Granada v Palencia73-60
11/01/19Palencia v Granada76-79
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HEstudiantes97-101 OT
06/11/26APalencia56-72
31/10/26HFuenlabrada71-66
25/10/26ACaja 8784-81 OT
17/10/26AZamora81-89
10/10/26HTizona Burgos91-88
03/10/26AOviedo77-67
26/09/26HGipuzkoa76-82
29/05/26ASan Pablo Burgos105-110
23/05/26HTenerife96-109
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AZamora86-77
06/11/26HGranada72-56
31/10/26AEstela85-73
24/10/26HOurense84-80
18/10/26AEstudiantes77-86
09/10/26HHestia Menorca91-76
02/10/26HCordoba70-67
26/09/26AAlbacete95-69
06/06/26ALeyma Coruna81-92
29/05/26HFuenlabrada76-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Granada
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.183.874.5
Allowed / game80.884.277.2
Point differential-1.6-0.5-2.8
Avg total159.9168.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %25%25%25%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game82.579.285.8
Allowed / game73.069.876.2
Point differential+9.5+9.5+9.5
Avg total155.5149.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
11 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
12 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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