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Palencia vs Granada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 83-91
14-21 20-26 21-19 28-25
Position#18
Record5-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Granada 🏆
Spain
Position#17
Record8-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game87.0
SpainACBRound 30· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Palencia v Granada
06 Nov 2026
PAL72
GRA56
20 Apr 2024
PAL83
GRA91
05 Nov 2021
PAL80
GRA83
30 Apr 2021
PAL71
GRA72
12 Apr 2020
PAL v GRA
upcoming
11 Jan 2019
PAL76
GRA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Granada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
94-102
94
102
-8
89avg 70
A28/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
77-89
77
89
-12
50avg 70
A03/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
83avg 70
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
93-111
93
111
-18
87avg 70
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
65avg 70
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
96-103
96
103
-7
84avg 70
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 70
H24/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 70
H30/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
L
65-73
65
73
-8
44avg 70
A06/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 70
A13/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
27-23
25-18
26-32
24-19
16-19
17-25
20-26
20-20
25-12
21-11
16-15
25-25
31-28
20-27
17-31
18-8
22-20
22-23
15-19
17-30
25-16
23-31
31-26
13-17
17-26
26-23
22-20
17-29
15-11
22-19
14-30
16-16
19-17
12-15
18-25
11-19
19-20
29-22
18-29
167.8Avg total
80.7Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.186.9165.0-8.817%
Season at home (14)76.379.9156.2-3.629%
Season away (15)79.793.4173.1-13.77%
Last 10 (10)80.787.1167.8-6.420%
Last 5 (5)76.888.2165.0-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)78.086.8164.8-8.817%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.386.7168.0-5.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Granada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
L
61-80
61
80
-19
48avg 70
A28/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
93-94
93
94
-1
87avg 70
H04/02
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
78-91
78
91
-13
56avg 70
A11/02
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
83-89
83
89
-6
79avg 70
A02/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 70
H10/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
88-104
88
104
-16
79avg 70
A16/03
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
62-90
62
90
-28
46avg 70
H23/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 70
H31/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
62-88
62
88
-26
46avg 70
A07/04
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
72avg 70
H14/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
17-19
9-26
20-18
22-25
27-20
20-22
24-27
12-24
20-22
18-28
28-17
17-19
21-28
17-21
28-21
17-15
27-18
16-22
27-24
21-27
23-25
16-25
28-27
15-18
14-20
17-30
16-22
28-14
19-20
17-22
22-27
17-21
15-14
14-20
16-33
16-23
23-8
25-30
17-27
166.7Avg total
78.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.787.0167.7-6.428%
Season at home (15)82.886.9169.7-4.140%
Season away (14)78.487.1165.5-8.814%
Last 10 (10)78.188.6166.7-10.520%
Last 5 (5)75.890.6166.4-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.787.9165.7-10.216%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.083.2168.2+1.855%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
PalenciaGranada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A28/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A03/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H10/02
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A03/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H10/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A17/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H24/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H30/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A06/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/04
ACB
79.7Avg total
39.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.879.9-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.738.075.7-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)38.445.684.0-7.227%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.479.7-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.840.274.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)38.041.879.8-3.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.342.080.3-3.750%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Granada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H04/02
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A11/02
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A02/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A16/03
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H23/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A07/04
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H14/04
ACB
78.3Avg total
38.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.678.8-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.838.177.9+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)36.643.479.9-6.821%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.778.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.076.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)35.441.476.8-5.926%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.239.282.4+4.064%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.3
51.8%
53.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.7
35.8%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.713.0
73.4%
75.6%13.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.3
53.6%
53.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.6
72.7%
75.6%13.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
LLLLLWLWLL
Granada
LLWLLWLLLL
#18
League position
#17
-9.2
Net rating
-13.8
107.5
Offensive rating
103.9
116.6
Defensive rating
117.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
16.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.8%
3-point %
29.8%
59.7%
Assist %
56.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 103.9Defence116.6 · 117.7Shooting52.5% · 50.0%3-point %35.8% · 29.8%Ball care16.7% · 19.1%Off. rebounds26.7% · 32.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Palencia   ■ Granada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Palencia wins
8
Granada wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Granada v Palencia109-85
12/03/22Granada v Palencia93-57
05/11/21Palencia v Granada80-83
30/04/21Palencia v Granada71-72
27/03/21Granada v Palencia77-59
15/12/19Granada v Palencia73-68
03/05/19Granada v Palencia73-60
11/01/19Palencia v Granada76-79
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24AMurcia77-90
06/04/24ABreogan65-73
30/03/24HTenerife68-89
24/03/24HReal Madrid78-86
17/03/24ABasket Zaragoza96-103
10/03/24HMoraBanc Andorra77-70
03/03/24AValencia93-111
10/02/24HGran Canaria82-58
03/02/24AJoventut Badalona77-89
28/01/24ABarcelona94-102
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HValencia81-88
07/04/24AMoraBanc Andorra62-88
31/03/24HJoventut Badalona86-83
23/03/24HUnicaja62-90
16/03/24ABaskonia88-104
10/03/24HBilbao87-79
02/03/24ATenerife83-89
11/02/24AMurcia78-91
04/02/24HManresa93-94
28/01/24ABasquet Girona61-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLWWLL29%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %17%29%7%
Points / game78.176.379.7
Allowed / game86.979.993.4
Point differential-8.8-3.6-13.7
Avg total165.0156.2173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Granada
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL28%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %28%40%14%
Points / game80.782.878.4
Allowed / game87.086.987.1
Point differential-6.4-4.1-8.8
Avg total167.7169.7165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja2924583%88.176.5+11.6
2 Real Madrid2924583%87.978.9+9.0
3 Barcelona2920969%87.580.2+7.3
4 Tenerife29191066%84.880.1+4.7
5 Murcia29191066%84.279.7+4.6
6 Gran Canaria30191163%84.381.2+3.0
7 Valencia29181162%83.181.0+2.1
8 Manresa30171357%84.384.1+0.2
9 Baskonia29161355%87.287.4-0.1
10 Joventut Badalona29141548%81.385.7-4.3
11 Bilbao29131645%79.681.4-1.9
12 Basket Zaragoza29111838%82.685.8-3.2
13 MoraBanc Andorra30111937%83.284.4-1.2
14 Basquet Girona29101934%80.185.9-5.8
15 Granada2982128%80.787.0-6.4
16 Breogan3082227%73.779.2-5.5
17 Obradoiro CAB2972224%80.685.6-5.0
18 Palencia2952417%78.186.9-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia1420212883
Granada2126192591
← all games of the day
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