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Granada vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 109-85
26-20 29-17 35-27 19-21
Position#17
Record3-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game87.8
Granada 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#18
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game85.1
SpainACBRound 13· Palacio de Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Granada v Palencia
01 May 2027
GRA v PAL
upcoming
09 Dec 2023
GRA109
PAL85
12 Mar 2022
GRA93
PAL57
27 Mar 2021
GRA77
PAL59
15 Dec 2019
GRA73
PAL68
03 May 2019
GRA73
PAL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Granada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
L
91-102
91
102
-11
89avg 67
H01/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
81-90
81
90
-9
60avg 67
H08/10
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
93-94
93
94
-1
84avg 67
A14/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
77avg 67
H22/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
84-90
84
90
-6
71avg 67
A29/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 67
H05/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
67avg 67
A12/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
91-88
91
88
+3
90avg 67
H19/11
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
94-77
94
77
+17
87avg 67
A25/11
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
57avg 67
A03/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
19-28
27-23
22-35
13-20
20-25
23-17
25-28
23-21
20-25
25-23
25-25
26-21
14-11
19-16
19-22
14-24
18-21
22-24
30-21
13-25
21-15
31-22
11-21
14-29
17-16
23-25
21-19
28-20
21-23
19-17
23-28
24-15
19-25
29-24
22-13
15-11
16-24
23-19
15-26
169.5Avg total
83.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.487.8172.2-3.325%
Season at home (6)86.389.5175.8-3.233%
Season away (6)82.586.0168.5-3.517%
Last 10 (10)83.286.3169.5-3.130%
Last 5 (5)81.083.4164.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)76.785.9162.7-9.222%
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.885.7173.5+2.250%
vs Weaker (1)83.071.0154.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
62avg 63
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 63
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
91-92
91
92
-1
86avg 63
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
74-59
74
59
+15
80avg 63
H21/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
46avg 63
A29/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 63
H04/11
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
66-76
66
76
-10
58avg 63
H11/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
66avg 63
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 63
H25/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
73-100
73
100
-27
63avg 63
A03/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
19-23
23-21
11-23
17-14
12-21
19-25
21-15
22-16
27-34
22-20
20-22
12-17
24-8
24-20
14-14
11-30
14-22
18-15
25-24
23-23
17-15
21-24
15-18
20-21
18-19
18-19
10-17
16-30
19-19
18-19
18-24
20-25
27-31
17-26
13-19
13-22
23-24
19-32
18-22
159.2Avg total
73.9Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.885.1158.9-11.28%
Season at home (6)74.279.2153.3-5.017%
Season away (6)73.591.0164.5-17.50%
Last 10 (10)73.985.3159.2-11.410%
Last 5 (5)72.689.8162.4-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.186.6160.7-12.510%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.884.8163.6-6.020%
vs Weaker (15)84.572.1156.5+12.480%
This opponent (Granada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
GranadaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H08/10
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A14/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A29/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H05/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A12/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H19/11
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A25/11
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A03/12
ACB
79.3Avg total
37.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.541.778.1-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.537.474.9+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)35.445.981.3-10.513%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.579.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.678.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)34.342.076.3-7.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.741.884.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker (1)49.032.081.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H21/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A29/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/11
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H11/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/12
ACB
80.9Avg total
37.5Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.577.8+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.835.175.8+5.771%-
Last 30 away (13)37.343.080.3-5.731%-
Last 10 (10)37.543.480.9-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.885.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.244.280.4-8.010%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.639.877.4-2.260%-
vs Weaker (15)41.934.376.1+7.680%-
This opponent (Granada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.9
56.1%
53.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.7
34.6%
34.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.113.3
77.8%
75.6%13.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.8
53.3%
53.0%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.6
32.3%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.813.7
69.2%
75.6%13.7
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Granada
LWWLLLWLLL
Palencia
LLLLLLWLLL
#17
League position
#18
-4.1
Net rating
-15.8
109.2
Offensive rating
101.4
113.3
Defensive rating
117.2
54.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
19.7%
Turnover %
20.5%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.6%
3-point %
32.3%
54.7%
Assist %
55.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 101.4Defence113.3 · 117.2Shooting54.3% · 51.1%3-point %34.6% · 32.3%Ball care19.7% · 20.5%Off. rebounds30.7% · 28.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Granada   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Granada wins
0
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
12/03/22Granada v Palencia93-57
05/11/21Palencia v Granada80-83
30/04/21Palencia v Granada71-72
27/03/21Granada v Palencia77-59
15/12/19Granada v Palencia73-68
03/05/19Granada v Palencia73-60
11/01/19Palencia v Granada76-79
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23ABarcelona69-80
25/11/23AObradoiro CAB94-77
19/11/23HMoraBanc Andorra91-88
12/11/23AGran Canaria75-89
05/11/23HReal Madrid76-83
29/10/23AManresa84-90
22/10/23HBasket Zaragoza78-70
14/10/23ABilbao93-94
08/10/23HBaskonia81-90
01/10/23HBasquet Girona91-102
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23AGran Canaria73-100
25/11/23HValencia77-101
18/11/23ATenerife71-92
11/11/23HMurcia66-76
04/11/23HBasquet Girona76-80
29/10/23AReal Madrid68-91
21/10/23HBreogan74-59
15/10/23AManresa91-92
07/10/23HJoventut Badalona69-75
01/10/23AMoraBanc Andorra74-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Granada
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL25%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game84.486.382.5
Allowed / game87.889.586.0
Point differential-3.3-3.2-3.5
Avg total172.2175.8168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game73.874.273.5
Allowed / game85.179.291.0
Point differential-11.2-5.0-17.5
Avg total158.9153.3164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1211192%91.078.3+12.7
2 Unicaja129375%87.878.6+9.2
3 Barcelona129375%86.078.0+8.0
4 Murcia128467%85.878.9+6.8
5 Valencia128467%80.777.5+3.2
6 Gran Canaria127558%83.484.0-0.6
7 Basquet Girona127558%84.286.1-1.9
8 Tenerife126650%82.882.2+0.6
9 Baskonia126650%83.684.2-0.7
10 Manresa126650%84.585.3-0.8
11 Joventut Badalona126650%81.287.9-6.7
12 Obradoiro CAB125742%81.883.0-1.2
13 Bilbao125742%78.781.6-2.9
14 Basket Zaragoza124833%81.683.2-1.6
15 MoraBanc Andorra124833%82.384.5-2.2
16 Granada123925%84.487.8-3.3
17 Breogan123925%72.880.1-7.3
18 Palencia121118%73.885.1-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Granada26293519109
Palencia2017272185
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