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Graz UBSC vs Wels Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-69
23-16 13-25 20-12 16-16
Position#7
Record6-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#5
Record8-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game73.6
AustriaSuperligaRound 13· Raiffeisen Sportpark
Other2023-24
Meetings · Graz UBSC v Wels
09 Mar 2025
GRAZ68
WEL77
31 Oct 2024
GRAZ77
WEL87
28 Apr 2024
GRAZ89
WEL73
23 Apr 2024
GRAZ76
WEL69
07 Apr 2024
GRAZ76
WEL82
21 Dec 2023
GRAZ72
WEL69
27 Nov 2022
GRAZ71
WEL78
01 Nov 2022
GRAZ83
WEL72
08 Jan 2022
GRAZ73
WEL64
30 Oct 2020
GRAZ105
WEL100
08 Apr 2018
GRAZ85
WEL87
17 Dec 2017
GRAZ76
WEL111
26 Feb 2017
GRAZ65
WEL76
30 Oct 2016
GRAZ70
WEL75
13 Feb 2016
GRAZ72
WEL87
10 Oct 2015
GRAZ71
WEL101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Graz UBSC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Graz UBSCAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUBSC
Date
Competition
Oberwart Gunners
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
78avg 74
H01/11
Superliga
Wels
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
51avg 74
A04/11
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
91-88
91
88
+3
90avg 74
H11/11
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
72-74
72
74
-2
71avg 74
A19/11
Superliga
BBC Nord
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
82avg 74
H24/11
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#11
W
94-79
94
79
+15
82avg 74
A01/12
Austria Cup
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
90-59
90
59
+31
86avg 74
A03/12
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
L
75-90
75
90
-15
68avg 74
H08/12
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#2
L
66-85
66
85
-19
56avg 74
A10/12
Austria Cup
St. Polten
#9
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 74
A16/12
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
23-16
24-17
16-14
14-21
22-18
9-20
20-21
23-22
19-17
25-25
24-24
18-22
21-22
17-12
16-18
12-21
17-18
29-26
29-18
22-19
19-24
27-16
26-20
24-16
24-16
18-18
24-9
18-22
21-34
16-22
20-12
26-21
14-22
11-23
15-19
24-24
20-19
14-21
18-6
157.8Avg total
79.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.977.8155.7+0.155%
Season at home (6)81.879.2161.0+2.767%
Season away (5)73.276.2149.4-3.040%
Last 10 (10)79.977.9157.8+2.060%
Last 5 (5)80.276.6156.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.581.1157.5-4.627%
vs Similar (9)78.879.2158.0-0.456%
vs Weaker (9)86.271.8158.0+14.4100%
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelsAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWels
Date
Competition
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
61-81
61
81
-20
48avg 73
A01/11
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
80-65
80
65
+15
84avg 73
H04/11
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
86avg 73
H11/11
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#12
W
102-73
102
73
+29
94avg 73
A18/11
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#4
L
56-76
56
76
-20
42avg 73
A25/11
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
80avg 73
A01/12
Austria Cup
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
78-71
78
71
+7
68avg 73
H03/12
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
87-54
87
54
+33
72avg 73
A08/12
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#3
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
no box
A10/12
Austria Cup
BBC Nord
#11
W
110-74
110
74
+36
116avg 73
H16/12
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
17-21
5-27
22-13
21-14
18-22
20-9
21-20
8-21
36-18
17-14
27-23
23-23
24-9
23-16
32-25
17-19
15-16
16-18
8-23
9-26
27-20
31-19
24-9
17-13
12-20
32-14
17-24
27-12
21-12
20-18
19-12
15-18
20-21
16-16
17-13
25-16
36-8
21-23
28-27
155.6Avg total
83.4Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.373.6152.9+5.867%
Season at home (6)83.270.8154.0+12.383%
Season away (6)75.576.3151.8-0.850%
Last 10 (10)83.472.2155.6+11.280%
Last 5 (5)89.470.2159.6+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.484.4160.8-8.025%
vs Similar (8)70.873.6144.4-2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.473.3158.7+12.185%
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +2.6+2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +2.6+2.6
Graz UBSCWels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Graz UBSCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oberwart Gunners
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/11
Superliga
Wels
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/11
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/11
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/11
Superliga
BBC Nord
#11
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H24/11
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/12
Austria Cup
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A03/12
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H08/12
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A10/12
Austria Cup
St. Polten
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A16/12
Superliga
81.9Avg total
40.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.379.4+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.637.578.1+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.641.180.7-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.881.9-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.343.283.5-2.927%-
vs Similar (9)37.942.180.0-4.244%-
vs Weaker (9)41.332.173.4+9.278%-
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A01/11
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/11
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H11/11
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A18/11
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A25/11
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/12
Austria Cup
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H03/12
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A08/12
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/12
Austria Cup
BBC Nord
#11
W
61-24
61
24
+37
H16/12
Superliga
75.4Avg total
40.5Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.076.4+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.335.075.3+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)36.740.677.3-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.534.975.4+5.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.275.0+8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.242.578.8-6.212%-
vs Similar (8)35.035.670.6-0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.336.878.1+4.554%-
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Graz UBSCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Graz UBSC: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.323.9
54.0%
51.4%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.96.3
35.2%
32.5%18.9
🏀 Free throws15.212.0
78.9%
71.9%12.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wels: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.0
52.1%
51.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.114.8
73.6%
71.9%14.8
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Graz UBSC
WLLWWWLWLW
Wels
WWWWWLWWWL
#7
League position
#5
+1.9
Net rating
+16.9
106.3
Offensive rating
107.9
104.4
Defensive rating
91.0
53.6%
Effective FG%
51.0%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.2%
3-point %
33.0%
47.4%
Assist %
58.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 107.9Defence104.4 · 91.0Shooting53.6% · 51.0%3-point %35.2% · 33.0%Ball care20.1% · 18.1%Off. rebounds30.2% · 33.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Graz UBSC   ■ Wels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Graz UBSC wins
6
Wels wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Wels v Graz UBSC80-65
26/01/23Wels v Graz UBSC78-70
27/11/22Graz UBSC v Wels71-78
01/11/22Graz UBSC v Wels83-72
08/01/22Graz UBSC v Wels73-64
27/11/21Wels v Graz UBSC83-93 OT
29/12/20Wels v Graz UBSC91-85
30/10/20Graz UBSC v Wels105-100
08/04/18Graz UBSC v Wels85-87 OT
04/02/18Wels v Graz UBSC88-66
Graz UBSClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ASt. Polten76-70
10/12/23ATraiskirchen Lions66-85
08/12/23HVienna Basket75-90
03/12/23ASwans Gmunden90-59
01/12/23AOberwart Gunners94-79
24/11/23HBBC Nord87-83
19/11/23ATraiskirchen Lions72-74
11/11/23HKlosterneuburg Dukes91-88
04/11/23AWels65-80
01/11/23HOberwart Gunners83-71
Welslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HBBC Nord110-74
10/12/23AKlosterneuburg Dukes81-78 OT
08/12/23AVienna Timberwolves87-54
03/12/23HKapfenberg Bulls78-71
01/12/23AKapfenberg Bulls91-74
25/11/23AOberwart Gunners56-76
18/11/23AFurstenfeld102-73
11/11/23HSt. Polten88-76
04/11/23HGraz UBSC80-65
01/11/23ASwans Gmunden61-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Graz UBSC
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW55%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game77.981.873.2
Allowed / game77.879.276.2
Point differential+0.1+2.7-3.0
Avg total155.7161.0149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wels
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game79.383.275.5
Allowed / game73.670.876.3
Point differential+5.8+12.3-0.8
Avg total152.9154.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Klosterneuburg Dukes1210283%81.166.8+14.2
2 Traiskirchen Lions1310377%79.568.5+11.0
3 Vienna Basket107370%86.676.5+10.1
4 Wels128467%79.373.6+5.8
5 Swans Gmunden117464%82.873.5+9.3
6 Kapfenberg Bulls127558%87.383.1+4.2
7 St. Polten127558%82.378.3+4.0
8 Graz UBSC116555%77.977.8+0.1
9 Oberwart Gunners125742%73.575.2-1.8
10 Vienna Timberwolves112918%71.284.0-12.8
11 BBC Nord121118%73.092.8-19.8
12 Furstenfeld120120%67.991.8-23.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Graz UBSC2313201672
Wels1625121669
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