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Wels vs Graz UBSC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 80-65
21-14 18-22 20-9 21-20
Position#5
Record2-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game78.8
Wels 🏆
Austria
vs
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game78.0
AustriaSuperligaRound 6· Raiffeisen Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Wels v Graz UBSC
04 Apr 2025
WEL80
GRAZ78
26 Dec 2024
WEL88
GRAZ67
25 Apr 2024
WEL90
GRAZ68
20 Apr 2024
WEL81
GRAZ82
16 Mar 2024
WEL78
GRAZ69
04 Nov 2023
WEL80
GRAZ65
26 Jan 2023
WEL78
GRAZ70
27 Nov 2021
WEL83
GRAZ93
29 Dec 2020
WEL91
GRAZ85
04 Feb 2018
WEL88
GRAZ66
21 Oct 2017
WEL84
GRAZ57
17 Apr 2017
WEL84
GRAZ65
26 Dec 2016
WEL82
GRAZ56
28 Mar 2016
WEL103
GRAZ75
28 Nov 2015
WEL74
GRAZ97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Graz UBSC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelsAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWels
Date
Competition
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
84-92 OT
84
92
-8
no box
H08/05
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A11/05
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
H14/05
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
A18/05
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
59avg 64
H01/10
Superliga
BBC Nord
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
65avg 64
A07/10
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
83-65
83
65
+18
78avg 64
H14/10
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
L
61-92
61
92
-31
53avg 64
A22/10
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#23
W
88-63
88
63
+25
84avg 64
A28/10
Austria Cup
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
61-81
61
81
-20
48avg 64
A01/11
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
18-24
14-15
22-14
21-24
12-20
18-18
20-19
17-23
24-21
18-17
22-19
15-19
14-27
26-22
26-32
17-17
15-14
16-24
12-19
19-35
22-18
24-20
21-9
18-22
25-12
19-19
21-12
16-25
16-23
14-20
15-24
19-15
25-22
19-6
25-20
17-20
17-21
5-27
22-13
156.6Avg total
75.6Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.278.8149.0-8.640%
Season at home (2)71.569.5141.0+2.050%
Season away (3)69.385.0154.3-15.733%
Last 10 (10)75.681.0156.6-5.440%
Last 5 (5)75.876.6152.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.486.5161.8-11.118%
vs Similar (9)74.270.7144.9+3.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.682.0166.6+2.667%
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graz UBSCAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUBSC
Date
Competition
BBC Nord
#12
W
101-80
101
80
+21
no box
H10/04
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
96-87
96
87
+9
no box
A15/04
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#1
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
A22/04
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#1
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
H25/04
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#1
L
74-93
74
93
-19
no box
A27/04
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
77avg 75
H08/10
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
63-98
63
98
-35
53avg 75
A14/10
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#12
W
76-55
76
55
+21
71avg 75
H22/10
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#22
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 75
H28/10
Austria Cup
Oberwart Gunners
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
78avg 75
H01/11
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
23-20
21-19
28-25
23-24
25-23
26-22
22-18
18-23
21-22
18-21
25-23
21-23
15-20
15-19
16-13
14-23
25-21
12-22
23-27
18-25
17-18
23-23
21-22
11-28
16-25
19-18
17-27
12-16
17-10
30-9
17-20
24-22
23-14
24-22
27-19
20-24
23-16
24-17
16-14
163.2Avg total
81.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.278.0153.2-2.850%
Season at home (3)79.371.3150.7+8.067%
Season away (1)63.098.0161.0-35.00%
Last 10 (10)81.981.3163.2+0.650%
Last 5 (5)79.877.8157.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.085.3160.3-10.314%
vs Similar (12)77.079.5156.5-2.542%
vs Weaker (10)84.172.2156.3+11.990%
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
WelsGraz UBSC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H08/05
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A11/05
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H14/05
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A18/05
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H01/10
Superliga
BBC Nord
#11
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A07/10
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/10
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A22/10
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#23
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A28/10
Austria Cup
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A01/11
Superliga
79.8Avg total
37.1Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.978.1-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.937.976.9+1.036%-
Last 30 away (16)37.641.679.2-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)37.142.779.8-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.681.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.842.778.5-6.99%-
vs Similar (9)38.135.173.2+3.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.641.682.1-1.033%-
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graz UBSCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BBC Nord
#12
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/04
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A15/04
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/04
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H25/04
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A27/04
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H08/10
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A14/10
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#12
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H22/10
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#22
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H28/10
Austria Cup
Oberwart Gunners
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/11
Superliga
80.8Avg total
39.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.778.4+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.135.377.4+6.967%-
Last 30 away (15)37.142.279.3-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.380.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.675.8-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.042.980.9-4.929%-
vs Similar (12)38.241.279.3-3.042%-
vs Weaker (10)41.833.275.0+8.680%-
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wels: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.0
45.9%
51.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.28.3
27.6%
32.5%25.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.8%
71.9%14.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Graz UBSCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Graz UBSC: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.826.4
56.4%
51.4%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.44.8
27.6%
32.5%14.4
🏀 Free throws16.412.2
74.4%
71.9%12.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wels
LWLWWLLWLL
Graz UBSC
WWWLLLLLWW
#5
League position
#7
-4.9
Net rating
+4.2
96.8
Offensive rating
104.1
101.7
Defensive rating
99.9
43.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
21.9%
Turnover %
20.5%
39.4%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.6%
3-point %
27.6%
75.3%
Assist %
54.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 104.1Defence101.7 · 99.9Shooting43.8% · 52.3%3-point %27.6% · 27.6%Ball care21.9% · 20.5%Off. rebounds39.4% · 32.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Wels   ■ Graz UBSC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Wels wins
4
Graz UBSC wins
DateGameScore
26/01/23Wels v Graz UBSC78-70
27/11/22Graz UBSC v Wels71-78
01/11/22Graz UBSC v Wels83-72
08/01/22Graz UBSC v Wels73-64
27/11/21Wels v Graz UBSC83-93 OT
29/12/20Wels v Graz UBSC91-85
30/10/20Graz UBSC v Wels105-100
08/04/18Graz UBSC v Wels85-87 OT
04/02/18Wels v Graz UBSC88-66
17/12/17Graz UBSC v Wels76-111
Welslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23ASwans Gmunden61-81
28/10/23AVienna Timberwolves88-63
22/10/23AVienna Basket61-92
14/10/23HTraiskirchen Lions83-65
07/10/23ABBC Nord86-82
01/10/23HKlosterneuburg Dukes60-74
18/05/23ASwans Gmunden81-100
14/05/23HSwans Gmunden81-80
11/05/23ASwans Gmunden71-81
08/05/23HSwans Gmunden84-92 OT
Graz UBSClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HOberwart Gunners83-71
28/10/23HFurstenfeld98-77
22/10/23HFurstenfeld76-55
14/10/23AKapfenberg Bulls63-98
08/10/23HSt. Polten79-88
27/04/23AVienna Basket74-93
25/04/23HVienna Basket67-75
22/04/23AVienna Basket82-89
15/04/23AKapfenberg Bulls96-87
10/04/23HBBC Nord101-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wels
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game70.271.569.3
Allowed / game78.869.585.0
Point differential-8.6+2.0-15.7
Avg total149.0141.0154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Graz UBSC
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game75.279.363.0
Allowed / game78.071.398.0
Point differential-2.8+8.0-35.0
Avg total153.2150.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Klosterneuburg Dukes550100%81.259.2+22.0
2 St. Polten65183%88.078.2+9.8
3 Kapfenberg Bulls54180%94.079.0+15.0
4 Swans Gmunden43175%82.565.8+16.8
5 Traiskirchen Lions53260%83.063.8+19.2
6 Oberwart Gunners53260%74.077.0-3.0
7 Vienna Basket42250%81.874.8+7.0
8 Graz UBSC42250%75.278.0-2.8
9 Wels52340%70.278.8-8.6
10 Vienna Timberwolves5050%67.682.2-14.6
11 Furstenfeld5050%59.287.2-28.0
12 BBC Nord5050%63.694.2-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wels2118202180
Graz UBSC142292065
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