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Graz UBSC vs Wels Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 89-73
26-13 25-19 14-19 24-22
Position#7
Record21-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#5
Record21-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game73.3
AustriaSuperligaSuperliga - Quarter-finals· Raiffeisen Sportpark
Other2023-24
Meetings · Graz UBSC v Wels
09 Mar 2025
GRAZ68
WEL77
31 Oct 2024
GRAZ77
WEL87
28 Apr 2024
GRAZ89
WEL73
23 Apr 2024
GRAZ76
WEL69
07 Apr 2024
GRAZ76
WEL82
21 Dec 2023
GRAZ72
WEL69
27 Nov 2022
GRAZ71
WEL78
01 Nov 2022
GRAZ83
WEL72
08 Jan 2022
GRAZ73
WEL64
30 Oct 2020
GRAZ105
WEL100
08 Apr 2018
GRAZ85
WEL87
17 Dec 2017
GRAZ76
WEL111
26 Feb 2017
GRAZ65
WEL76
30 Oct 2016
GRAZ70
WEL75
13 Feb 2016
GRAZ72
WEL87
10 Oct 2015
GRAZ71
WEL101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Graz UBSC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Graz UBSCAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUBSC
Date
Competition
Wels
#5
L
69-78
69
78
-9
61avg 71
A16/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
87-72
87
72
+15
77avg 71
H22/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
63-77
63
77
-14
50avg 71
A24/03
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
103-92
103
92
+11
99avg 71
H30/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
80-84
80
84
-4
72avg 71
A01/04
Superliga
Wels
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
60avg 71
H07/04
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
65-93
65
93
-28
51avg 71
A13/04
Superliga
Wels
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
73avg 71
A20/04
Superliga
Wels
#5
W
76-69
76
69
+7
72avg 71
H23/04
Superliga
Wels
#5
L
68-90
68
90
-22
57avg 71
A25/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
15-20
26-17
13-17
21-22
30-16
17-12
19-22
15-30
15-10
19-12
14-25
30-18
31-21
19-26
23-27
21-20
12-21
18-18
29-25
17-20
26-14
13-23
20-25
15-21
17-20
19-30
14-22
20-17
17-20
18-20
27-24
13-14
24-12
22-17
17-26
14-19
24-26
10-25
20-20
158.7Avg total
76.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)78.978.2157.1+0.760%
Season at home (17)82.878.8161.5+4.071%
Season away (18)75.277.6152.8-2.450%
Last 10 (10)76.981.8158.7-4.940%
Last 5 (5)73.483.0156.4-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.880.3157.2-3.550%
vs Similar (5)83.677.8161.4+5.880%
vs Weaker (5)87.470.0157.4+17.4100%
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelsAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWels
Date
Competition
Graz UBSC
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
68avg 74
H16/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
80-69
80
69
+11
74avg 74
H21/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
71-75 OT
71
75
-4
no box
A24/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
58avg 74
A29/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
81-80
81
80
+1
79avg 74
H01/04
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 74
A07/04
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
60avg 74
H13/04
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
L
81-82
81
82
-1
74avg 74
H20/04
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
L
69-76
69
76
-7
62avg 74
A23/04
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
90-68
90
68
+22
81avg 74
H25/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
20-15
17-26
17-13
30-15
19-21
11-20
20-13
9-13
18-15
13-20
20-12
18-17
19-16
17-16
12-19
26-29
18-21
15-16
22-14
20-17
14-26
23-13
25-20
23-22
13-28
17-22
23-15
17-20
20-17
20-18
24-27
14-13
12-24
17-22
26-17
19-14
26-24
25-10
20-20
152.4Avg total
77.4Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)79.173.3152.3+5.860%
Season at home (18)83.073.2156.2+9.872%
Season away (17)74.973.4148.2+1.547%
Last 10 (10)77.475.0152.4+2.450%
Last 5 (5)79.677.8157.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.074.2150.2+1.875%
vs Similar (12)73.272.2145.4+1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.172.3158.4+13.971%
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +3.9+3.9
Graz UBSCWels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Graz UBSCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wels
#5
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H22/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A24/03
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H30/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A01/04
Superliga
Wels
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/04
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A13/04
Superliga
Wels
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A20/04
Superliga
Wels
#5
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H23/04
Superliga
Wels
#5
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A25/04
Superliga
77.7Avg total
39.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.478.5-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.138.479.5+2.762%-
Last 30 away (17)37.540.277.8-2.735%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.577.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.674.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.040.478.3-2.435%-
vs Similar (5)43.039.882.8+3.260%-
vs Weaker (5)39.435.474.8+4.080%-
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Graz UBSC
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H16/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H21/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A24/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H01/04
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/04
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H13/04
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/04
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A23/04
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H25/04
Superliga
76.1Avg total
37.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.034.572.5+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.835.376.1+5.557%-
Last 30 away (16)35.633.869.4+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.276.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.076.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.538.574.0-3.025%-
vs Similar (12)35.733.669.2+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.834.174.9+6.764%-
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Graz UBSCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Graz UBSC: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.4
51.4%
51.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.86.5
34.6%
32.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.412.4
67.4%
71.9%12.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wels: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.0
54.0%
51.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.8
33.3%
32.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.613.4
76.1%
71.9%13.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Graz UBSC
LWWLLLWLWL
Wels
WLLLWWLLWW
#7
League position
#5
-6.1
Net rating
+4.6
103.1
Offensive rating
106.4
109.2
Defensive rating
101.7
51.5%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
21.4%
Turnover %
19.3%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.6%
3-point %
33.3%
40.8%
Assist %
59.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 106.4Defence109.2 · 101.7Shooting51.5% · 52.3%3-point %34.6% · 33.3%Ball care21.4% · 19.3%Off. rebounds34.6% · 29.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Graz UBSC   ■ Wels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Graz UBSC wins
6
Wels wins
DateGameScore
25/04/24Wels v Graz UBSC90-68
23/04/24Graz UBSC v Wels76-69
20/04/24Wels v Graz UBSC81-82
07/04/24Graz UBSC v Wels76-82
16/03/24Wels v Graz UBSC78-69
21/12/23Graz UBSC v Wels72-69
04/11/23Wels v Graz UBSC80-65
26/01/23Wels v Graz UBSC78-70
27/11/22Graz UBSC v Wels71-78
01/11/22Graz UBSC v Wels83-72
Graz UBSClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/24AWels68-90
23/04/24HWels76-69
20/04/24AWels82-81
13/04/24ATraiskirchen Lions65-93
07/04/24HWels76-82
01/04/24AKlosterneuburg Dukes80-84
30/03/24HSt. Polten103-92
24/03/24ASwans Gmunden63-77
22/03/24HTraiskirchen Lions87-72
16/03/24AWels69-78
Welslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/24HGraz UBSC90-68
23/04/24AGraz UBSC69-76
20/04/24HGraz UBSC81-82
13/04/24HSt. Polten76-87
07/04/24AGraz UBSC82-76
01/04/24HSwans Gmunden81-80
29/03/24AKlosterneuburg Dukes66-68
24/03/24ATraiskirchen Lions71-75 OT
21/03/24HKlosterneuburg Dukes80-69
16/03/24HGraz UBSC78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Graz UBSC
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL60%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game78.982.875.2
Allowed / game78.278.877.6
Point differential+0.7+4.0-2.4
Avg total157.1161.5152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%35%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)80% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Wels
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeWWLLW72%
AwayWLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %60%72%47%
Points / game79.183.074.9
Allowed / game73.373.273.4
Point differential+5.8+9.8+1.5
Avg total152.3156.2148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Klosterneuburg Dukes3529683%82.572.3+10.1
2 Traiskirchen Lions36241267%76.269.8+6.4
3 Swans Gmunden35231266%83.073.4+9.6
4 Wels35211460%79.173.3+5.8
5 Graz UBSC35211460%78.978.2+0.7
6 Oberwart Gunners36211558%78.973.0+5.9
7 Kapfenberg Bulls35201557%85.981.8+4.1
8 Vienna Basket31171455%83.278.2+5.0
9 St. Polten36152142%78.479.9-1.6
10 Vienna Timberwolves3282425%70.882.7-11.9
11 BBC Nord3242812%75.692.9-17.4
12 Furstenfeld322306%71.792.5-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Graz UBSC2625142489
Wels1319192273
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