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Greece vs Latvia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 104-86
30-17 31-28 21-21 22-20
Position-
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Greece 🏆
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International
Other2025
Meetings · Greece v Latvia
20 Aug 2025
GREE104
LATV86
11 Nov 2022
GREE60
LATV80
27 Nov 2020
GREE66
LATV77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latvia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Jordan
#37
W
92-71
92
71
+21
no box
A26/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
H30/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
67-92
67
92
-25
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Czech Republic
#33
W
72-64
72
64
+8
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 62
A21/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 62
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
85avg 62
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
63-53
63
53
+10
56avg 62
H24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
27-19
20-27
26-11
15-20
17-23
18-11
33-20
20-20
23-19
15-25
9-28
14-19
16-17
12-14
27-23
12-15
20-16
21-19
19-14
16-12
16-27
30-19
12-14
26-16
15-17
10-18
21-22
17-15
23-17
17-18
20-17
27-13
10-27
23-14
17-23
18-18
16-5
14-16
15-14
149.0Avg total
76.2Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.272.8149.0+3.470%
Last 5 (5)75.870.8146.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.481.7158.1-5.343%
vs Similar (14)81.276.6157.8+4.671%
vs Weaker (9)82.373.4155.8+8.989%
LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Brazil
#23
W
104-84
104
84
+20
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
98-63
98
63
+35
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
64-52
64
52
+12
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 78
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 78
A25/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
83-66
83
66
+17
79avg 78
H20/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
89-68
89
68
+21
86avg 78
A23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
23-22
36-21
23-21
16-13
18-23
25-26
20-19
18-26
28-16
21-18
20-22
28-20
21-18
28-9
21-16
23-14
17-23
17-20
22-18
15-10
16-17
14-11
19-14
17-25
25-19
17-13
16-15
16-20
20-21
22-25
27-17
20-17
21-17
22-16
20-16
20-15
19-18
30-18
20-17
156.9Avg total
84.3Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.372.6156.9+11.790%
Last 5 (5)79.268.2147.4+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.0101.0176.0-26.00%
vs Similar (10)84.677.8162.4+6.880%
vs Weaker (19)84.868.3153.2+16.5100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
GreeceLatvia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jordan
#37
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H30/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A01/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H03/09
World Cup
Czech Republic
#33
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H23/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H24/02
EuroBasket
71.6Avg total
36.7Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.476.5+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.136.073.1+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.938.679.5+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)36.734.971.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.470.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.338.774.0-3.429%-
vs Similar (14)41.137.478.5+3.864%-
vs Weaker (9)38.936.475.3+2.467%-
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brazil
#23
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A06/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H25/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
77.7Avg total
40.3Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.336.178.4+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.234.876.0+6.585%-
Last 30 away (17)43.137.180.2+6.065%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.477.7+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.873.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.043.085.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.441.081.4-0.640%-
vs Weaker (19)43.333.276.5+10.295%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.0
47.2%
55.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.3
29.1%
34.4%25.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
75.8%
74.1%15.2
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.217.0
54.5%
55.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.0
38.2%
34.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.314.2
69.7%
74.1%14.2
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 20 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece
WWWLWWLLWW
Latvia
WWWWWWWWLW
+7.4
Net rating
+13.5
99.1
Offensive rating
110.7
91.8
Defensive rating
97.3
45.6%
Effective FG%
55.8%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.1%
3-point %
38.2%
69.7%
Assist %
67.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 110.7Defence91.8 · 97.3Shooting45.6% · 55.8%3-point %29.1% · 38.2%Ball care18.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds32.2% · 28.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Greece   ■ Latvia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Greece wins
3
Latvia wins
DateGameScore
27/02/23Latvia v Greece67-57
11/11/22Greece v Latvia60-80
22/02/21Latvia v Greece94-97 OT
27/11/20Greece v Latvia66-77
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HNetherlands63-53
21/02/25ACzech Republic93-89 OT
24/11/24HGreat Britain77-67
21/11/24AGreat Britain72-73
26/02/24ANetherlands74-72
23/02/24HCzech Republic72-64
03/09/23HMontenegro69-73
01/09/23ALithuania67-92
30/08/23HNew Zealand83-74
26/08/23AJordan92-71
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25ASlovakia89-68
20/02/25HSpain83-66
25/11/24ABelgium85-83
22/11/24HBelgium75-72
25/02/24HSlovakia64-52
22/02/24ASpain79-75
09/09/23HLithuania98-63
07/09/23AItaly87-82
06/09/23AGermany79-81
03/09/23ABrazil104-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Latvia
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece30312122104
Latvia1728212086
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