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Guangdong vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 76-93
25-20 12-22 20-23 19-28
Position#6
Record27-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#13
Record18-24
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game88.5
ChinaCBA· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangdong v Guangzhou
13 Mar 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
17 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
03 May 2026
GUAN90
GUAN80
28 Apr 2026
GUAN76
GUAN93
19 Dec 2025
GUAN97
GUAN94
24 Jan 2025
GUAN111
GUAN82
13 Nov 2024
GUAN88
GUAN68
31 Mar 2024
GUAN124
GUAN97
10 Dec 2022
GUAN101
GUAN94
05 Mar 2022
GUAN98
GUAN89
14 Mar 2021
GUAN110
GUAN104
14 Jul 2020
GUAN121
GUAN99
18 Jan 2019
GUAN131
GUAN106
31 Oct 2017
GUAN105
GUAN94
19 Feb 2017
GUAN117
GUAN96
06 Nov 2015
GUAN127
GUAN100
28 Dec 2014
GUAN122
GUAN109
28 Dec 2013
GUAN87
GUAN88
14 Dec 2012
GUAN94
GUAN102
04 Dec 2011
GUAN116
GUAN92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
101-92
101
92
+9
99avg 89
H31/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
100-80
100
80
+20
106avg 89
H04/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
86-99
86
99
-13
79avg 89
A06/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
102avg 89
A08/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
117-84
117
84
+33
122avg 89
H10/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 89
A12/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
65avg 89
H14/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
83-95
83
95
-12
72avg 89
H18/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
96-106
96
106
-10
89avg 89
A20/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
91-93
91
93
-2
89avg 89
A24/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
35-17
22-20
16-23
28-21
23-25
24-20
25-14
23-28
16-28
27-23
20-20
26-28
24-30
19-24
29-16
31-22
25-19
35-24
26-19
27-22
24-18
24-21
16-24
16-26
23-20
16-13
22-15
26-18
27-25
16-26
14-26
21-26
27-25
21-23
27-32
25-17
26-25
16-20
24-31
186.5Avg total
95.2Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)94.489.2183.6+5.164%
Season at home (21)94.389.5183.9+4.867%
Season away (21)94.489.0183.4+5.562%
Last 10 (10)95.291.3186.5+3.960%
Last 5 (5)87.690.6178.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.3101.3180.7-22.00%
vs Similar (12)93.691.7185.2+1.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)97.783.1180.8+14.567%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 80
A01/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
89-97
89
97
-8
79avg 80
A03/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
75avg 80
H06/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
94-103
94
103
-9
91avg 80
H08/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
95-81
95
81
+14
90avg 80
A11/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
80-67
80
67
+13
73avg 80
H13/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
89-90
89
90
-1
75avg 80
H15/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
97avg 80
A18/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
101-94
101
94
+7
96avg 80
H20/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
86-99
86
99
-13
70avg 80
H24/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
23-22
22-19
15-20
22-32
27-16
18-22
22-27
21-22
21-32
21-18
18-16
14-25
33-34
18-24
29-20
24-23
17-17
25-26
29-15
19-23
20-15
24-12
17-17
22-21
23-25
26-23
18-21
20-9
22-23
26-13
25-30
18-23
25-20
30-29
28-22
15-35
22-22
29-16
20-26
177.9Avg total
89.6Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)87.688.5176.1-0.943%
Season at home (21)89.788.3178.0+1.448%
Season away (21)85.688.8174.3-3.238%
Last 10 (10)89.688.3177.9+1.340%
Last 5 (5)89.885.0174.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)83.893.4177.2-9.67%
vs Similar (12)91.787.9179.6+3.850%
vs Weaker (4)95.081.2176.2+13.8100%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
GuangdongGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H31/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H04/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A06/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A08/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H10/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A12/04
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H18/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A20/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A24/04
CBA
97.3Avg total
50.1Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.645.093.6+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.545.192.6+2.373%-
Last 30 away (15)49.844.994.7+4.960%-
Last 10 (10)50.147.297.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)48.444.492.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.054.089.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (12)48.047.495.4+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)51.941.393.1+10.693%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A01/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A03/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H06/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H08/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H13/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H15/04
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A18/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H20/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H24/04
CBA
90.3Avg total
43.6Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.345.289.5-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.444.890.2+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)43.145.688.8-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)43.646.790.3-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.284.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)43.448.892.1-5.421%-
vs Similar (12)45.843.689.3+2.275%-
vs Weaker (4)43.537.581.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 95.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.125.8
58.5%
54.6%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.1
32.7%
35.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.516.3
69.4%
73.6%16.3
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.0
53.5%
54.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.916.9
80.9%
73.6%16.9
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
LLLWWWWLWW
Guangzhou
LWWLWWLLLL
#6
League position
#13
+4.2
Net rating
+0.6
103.1
Offensive rating
98.1
98.9
Defensive rating
97.5
54.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
12.1%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.7%
3-point %
35.0%
74.8%
Assist %
56.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 98.1Defence98.9 · 97.5Shooting54.9% · 53.1%3-point %32.7% · 35.0%Ball care12.1% · 14.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Guangdong   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Guangdong wins
1
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
23/12/25Guangzhou v Guangdong85-93
19/12/25Guangdong v Guangzhou97-94
24/01/25Guangdong v Guangzhou111-82
16/01/25Guangzhou v Guangdong77-85
13/11/24Guangdong v Guangzhou88-68
31/03/24Guangdong v Guangzhou124-97
03/01/24Guangzhou v Guangdong93-105
17/03/23Guangzhou v Guangdong79-101
10/12/22Guangdong v Guangzhou101-94 OT
13/03/22Guangzhou v Guangdong120-101
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/26AFujian91-93
20/04/26AShanxi Zhongyu96-106
18/04/26HFujian83-95
14/04/26HNingbo Rockets77-74
12/04/26AZhejiang Guangsha91-85
10/04/26HJilin117-84
08/04/26AQingdao110-105 OT
06/04/26AShandong86-99
04/04/26HZhejiang Guangsha100-80
31/03/26HJiangsu Dragons101-92
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/26HShenzhen86-99
20/04/26HFujian101-94
18/04/26AJilin93-75
15/04/26HShanghai89-90
13/04/26HJiangsu Dragons80-67
11/04/26ANanjing Tongxi95-81
08/04/26HBeijing94-103
06/04/26HZhejiang Guangsha81-88
03/04/26ABeijing89-97
01/04/26ABeijing Royal Fighters88-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL64%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game94.494.394.4
Allowed / game89.289.589.0
Point differential+5.1+4.8+5.5
Avg total183.6183.9183.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%24%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %7%10%5%
Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeLWLWL48%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %43%48%38%
Points / game87.689.785.6
Allowed / game88.588.388.8
Point differential-0.9+1.4-3.2
Avg total176.1178.0174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)33% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shanghai4238490%100.183.5+16.6
2 Zhejiang Guangsha4233979%91.782.4+9.4
3 Shenzhen42301271%99.394.2+5.1
4 Beijing42291369%90.582.4+8.1
5 Zhejiang Chouzhou42271564%87.681.6+6.0
6 Guangdong42271564%94.489.2+5.1
7 Qingdao42251760%88.284.9+3.3
8 Shandong42241857%93.290.0+3.1
9 Liaoning42231955%86.384.5+1.7
10 Shanxi Zhongyu42222052%92.890.4+2.4
11 Ningbo Rockets42212150%85.984.4+1.5
12 Guangzhou42182443%87.688.5-0.9
13 Beijing Royal Fighters42182443%89.193.3-4.2
14 Fujian42172540%92.094.4-2.3
15 Jilin42152736%81.990.3-8.5
16 Xinjiang42142833%86.487.8-1.4
17 Nanjing Tongxi42142833%90.695.9-5.3
18 Tianjin42132931%93.396.9-3.6
19 Jiangsu Dragons42123029%81.990.8-8.9
20 Sichuan420420%72.9100.3-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong2512201976
Guangzhou2022232893
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