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Beijing vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 92-110
32-33 16-26 20-24 24-27
Position#11
Record24-23
FormWLWWL
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game99.7
Beijing
China
vs
Guangdong 🏆
China
Position#4
Record33-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game109.9
Allowed / game104.6
ChinaCBARound 48· Cadillac Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Beijing v Guangdong
26 Dec 2026
BEIJ v GUAN
upcoming
20 Oct 2026
BEIJ96
GUAN78
12 May 2026
BEIJ88
GUAN73
06 May 2026
BEIJ102
GUAN94
01 Jan 2026
BEIJ105
GUAN74
25 Oct 2024
BEIJ105
GUAN101
27 Mar 2024
BEIJ92
GUAN110
09 Dec 2023
BEIJ110
GUAN114
30 Dec 2022
BEIJ84
GUAN102
14 Nov 2021
BEIJ80
GUAN92
05 Apr 2021
BEIJ83
GUAN90
03 Nov 2020
BEIJ107
GUAN111
06 Aug 2020
BEIJ90
GUAN86
01 Dec 2019
BEIJ78
GUAN93
21 Oct 2018
BEIJ84
GUAN87
13 Dec 2017
BEIJ95
GUAN90
02 Dec 2016
BEIJ101
GUAN105
09 Dec 2015
BEIJ106
GUAN104
03 Mar 2015
BEIJ107
GUAN105
25 Feb 2015
BEIJ114
GUAN108
01 Nov 2014
BEIJ103
GUAN89
11 Mar 2014
BEIJ101
GUAN109
04 Mar 2014
BEIJ90
GUAN87
29 Nov 2013
BEIJ92
GUAN94
03 Feb 2013
BEIJ93
GUAN82
30 Mar 2012
BEIJ124
GUAN121
28 Mar 2012
BEIJ107
GUAN98
21 Mar 2012
BEIJ108
GUAN101
04 Jan 2012
BEIJ99
GUAN112
25 Nov 2011
BEIJ104
GUAN92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beijing winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeijingChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeijing
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
113-89
113
89
+24
109avg 93
A03/02
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
85-113
85
113
-28
75avg 93
A05/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
118-75
118
75
+43
125avg 93
H07/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
92-90
92
90
+2
84avg 93
A09/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
97-89
97
89
+8
98avg 93
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
96-82
96
82
+14
90avg 93
H15/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
93-95
93
95
-2
83avg 93
H17/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
118-102
118
102
+16
116avg 93
H20/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
106-93
106
93
+13
97avg 93
A22/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
91-94
91
94
-3
90avg 93
A24/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
26-17
29-34
28-23
21-33
32-28
20-30
12-22
32-27
28-17
23-15
35-16
20-20
19-21
24-17
29-32
29-17
28-22
16-32
24-18
27-11
26-19
21-22
22-30
25-21
25-24
22-23
21-27
33-24
34-26
28-26
23-26
29-20
28-20
24-37
25-16
25-22
23-19
25-25
18-28
193.1Avg total
100.9Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)100.699.7200.3+0.951%
Season at home (23)102.597.8200.3+4.761%
Season away (24)98.8101.5200.3-2.842%
Last 10 (10)100.992.2193.1+8.770%
Last 5 (5)100.893.2194.0+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)87.7105.4193.1-17.70%
vs Similar (17)101.6100.0201.6+1.653%
vs Weaker (6)104.389.5193.8+14.883%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
L
90-97
90
97
-7
77avg 102
A03/02
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
122-126
122
126
-4
118avg 102
H05/02
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
134-131 OT
134
131
+3
no box
H07/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
121-113
121
113
+8
112avg 102
H09/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
120-116
120
116
+4
119avg 102
A13/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
119-94
119
94
+25
115avg 102
H15/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
104-92
104
92
+12
104avg 102
A17/03
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
127-101
127
101
+26
131avg 102
H20/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 102
H22/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
121-107
121
107
+14
122avg 102
A24/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
22-24
18-26
25-24
33-37
36-21
25-34
28-34
31-38
37-27
24-26
28-29
32-30
38-32
28-18
23-33
36-42
28-32
28-23
28-19
33-29
32-22
29-27
25-16
35-32
29-12
17-17
23-31
39-23
32-32
24-24
32-22
20-17
24-22
23-28
27-20
32-31
31-26
30-29
28-21
221.6Avg total
115.2Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)109.9104.6214.5+5.370%
Season at home (24)114.0104.1218.1+10.075%
Season away (23)105.6105.1210.7+0.565%
Last 10 (10)115.2106.4221.6+8.880%
Last 5 (5)113.096.2209.2+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)104.7104.9209.6-0.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)114.2105.0219.1+9.281%
This opponent (Beijing) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
BeijingGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeijingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A03/02
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A05/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H07/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H15/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H17/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H20/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A22/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A24/03
CBA
96.3Avg total
54.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.747.699.4+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.748.1100.7+4.660%-
Last 30 away (15)50.847.298.0+3.660%-
Last 10 (10)54.042.396.3+11.780%-
Last 5 (5)55.041.296.2+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)48.351.099.3-2.743%-
vs Similar (17)52.048.1100.1+3.959%-
vs Weaker (6)55.042.397.3+12.783%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A03/02
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H05/02
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H07/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H09/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A13/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H15/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
64-44
64
44
+20
A17/03
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H20/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H22/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A24/03
CBA
117.7Avg total
62.5Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.653.6111.2+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.353.9113.3+5.478%-
Last 30 away (12)55.153.0108.1+2.142%-
Last 10 (10)62.555.2117.7+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)61.449.2110.6+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)52.756.1108.8-3.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)59.852.5112.2+7.376%-
This opponent (Beijing) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beijingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beijing: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.725.2
54.0%
52.7%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.3
35.6%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.314.8
72.9%
76.0%14.8
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 107.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.030.3
61.8%
52.7%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.4
36.0%
34.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.018.6
77.5%
76.0%18.6
They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beijing
LWWLWWWWLW
Guangdong
WWWWWWWWLL
#11
League position
#4
+10.3
Net rating
+11.1
113.5
Offensive rating
120.5
103.2
Defensive rating
109.4
53.8%
Effective FG%
59.1%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
12.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.6%
3-point %
36.0%
63.3%
Assist %
59.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 120.5Defence103.2 · 109.4Shooting53.8% · 59.1%3-point %35.6% · 36.0%Ball care12.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.5% · 33.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Beijing   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Beijing wins
9
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
19/01/24Guangdong v Beijing104-87
13/12/23Guangdong v Beijing106-95
09/12/23Beijing v Guangdong110-114
30/12/22Beijing v Guangdong84-102
07/12/22Guangdong v Beijing91-74
14/11/21Beijing v Guangdong80-92
06/11/21Guangdong v Beijing67-91
18/04/21Guangdong v Beijing104-103
05/04/21Beijing v Guangdong83-90
24/03/21Guangdong v Beijing94-89
Beijinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24AXinjiang91-94
22/03/24ABeijing Royal Fighters106-93
20/03/24HShanghai118-102
17/03/24HBeijing Royal Fighters93-95
15/03/24HSichuan96-82
12/03/24AJilin97-89
09/03/24AQingdao92-90
07/03/24HSichuan118-75
05/02/24ALiaoning85-113
03/02/24AJiangsu Dragons113-89
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24ABeijing Royal Fighters121-107
22/03/24HJiangsu Dragons94-87
20/03/24HShandong127-101
17/03/24ASichuan104-92
15/03/24HLiaoning119-94
13/03/24AFujian120-116
09/03/24HJilin121-113
07/03/24HBeijing Royal Fighters134-131 OT
05/02/24HZhejiang Chouzhou122-126
03/02/24AShenzhen90-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beijing
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL51%
HomeWWWLW61%
AwayLWWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472324
Win %51%61%42%
Points / game100.6102.598.8
Allowed / game99.797.8101.5
Point differential+0.9+4.7-2.8
Avg total200.3200.3200.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %13%4%21%
Guangdong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472423
Win %70%75%65%
Points / game109.9114.0105.6
Allowed / game104.6104.1105.1
Point differential+5.3+10.0+0.5
Avg total214.5218.1210.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)50% (4)100% (7)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning4839981%103.593.9+9.6
2 Xinjiang48381079%105.696.4+9.2
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou48371177%108.598.7+9.8
4 Guangdong47331470%109.9104.6+5.3
5 Zhejiang Guangsha48321667%104.497.1+7.3
6 Shanghai48301862%106.3103.1+3.2
7 Qingdao48282058%102.8100.0+2.8
8 Shenzhen48282058%105.2103.0+2.2
9 Beijing Royal Fighters48272156%106.0104.0+2.0
10 Guangzhou48262254%102.699.1+3.5
11 Beijing47242351%100.699.7+0.9
12 Shanxi Zhongyu48242450%110.6111.3-0.8
13 Nanjing Tongxi47222547%103.2105.7-2.4
14 Tianjin48212744%106.7109.1-2.4
15 Shandong48192940%103.2105.0-1.8
16 Jilin47173036%103.1106.6-3.5
17 Fujian48173135%103.4107.0-3.6
18 Jiangsu Dragons4864212%92.5103.7-11.2
19 Ningbo Rockets4864212%92.9107.1-14.2
20 Sichuan484448%95.3111.4-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Beijing3216202492
Guangdong33262427110
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