Guangdong vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 11:35

Final 119-112

31-19 30-29 40-35 18-29

Position#1

Record46-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game120.3

Allowed / game103.4

Guangdong 🏆

Shenzhen

Position#5

Record36-16

FormLWWWL

Points / game112.3

Allowed / game107.4

CBACBA - Semi-finals

Other2018-19

Meetings · Guangdong v Shenzhen

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Shenzhen winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guangdong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nanjing Tongxi

#19

114-79

114

+35

H28/02

CBA

Jilin

#11

132-111

132

111

+21

A03/03

CBA

Zhejiang Guangsha

114-108

114

108

A05/03

CBA

Zhejiang Chouzhou

#12

113-91

113

+22

H07/03

CBA

Liaoning

107-94

107

+13

H10/03

CBA

Shenzhen

128-114

128

114

+14

A13/03

CBA

Jiangsu Dragons

137-108

137

108

+29

H25/03

CBA

Jiangsu Dragons

141-99

141

+42

H27/03

CBA

Jiangsu Dragons

135-108

135

108

+27

A30/03

CBA

Shenzhen

141-118

141

118

+23

H08/04

CBA

29-13

31-28

31-17

23-21

26-33

35-24

39-26

32-28

35-29

25-36

26-21

28-22

29-21

24-18

29-22

31-30

27-28

28-17

36-24

16-25

25-17

37-42

34-27

32-28

31-20

36-30

41-29

29-29

35-20

39-21

46-21

21-37

30-17

36-23

32-35

37-33

45-23

32-28

34-29

30-38

229.2Avg total

126.2Scored

103.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (50)	120.3	103.4	223.7	+16.9	92%
Season at home (26)	123.5	103.2	226.7	+20.3	96%
Season away (24)	116.9	103.6	220.5	+13.3	88%
Last 10 (10)	126.2	103.0	229.2	+23.2	100%
Last 5 (5)	136.4	109.4	245.8	+27.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	121.6	103.1	224.8	+18.5	90%

This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Shenzhen

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zhejiang Chouzhou

#12

124-111

124

111

+13

H05/03

CBA

Shanghai

#13

98-89

A07/03

CBA

Zhejiang Guangsha

101-83

101

+18

A09/03

CBA

Guangdong

114-128

114

128

-14

H13/03

CBA

Beijing

96-106

106

-10

H25/03

CBA

Beijing

88-104

104

-16

H27/03

CBA

Beijing

116-110 OT

116

110

A30/03

CBA

Beijing

94-83

+11

A01/04

CBA

Beijing

118-107

118

107

+11

H04/04

CBA

Guangdong

118-141

118

141

-23

A08/04

CBA

32-21

27-34

39-25

26-31

25-27

25-18

29-25

19-19

25-20

30-27

23-18

17-25

42-37

27-34

28-32

20-32

33-18

23-25

20-31

22-24

27-29

22-24

17-27

23-29

32-27

27-22

20-24

19-14

19-21

29-25

27-23

24-18

26-40

38-23

30-26

23-45

28-32

29-34

38-30

212.9Avg total

106.7Scored

106.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (52)	112.3	107.4	219.7	+5.0	69%
Season at home (26)	112.8	108.1	221.0	+4.7	62%
Season away (26)	111.8	106.7	218.5	+5.2	77%
Last 10 (10)	106.7	106.2	212.9	+0.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	106.8	109.0	215.8	-2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	107.8	118.8	226.6	-11.0	20%
vs Similar (16)	107.2	105.2	212.4	+2.0	62%
vs Weaker (9)	116.8	103.2	220.0	+13.6	100%

This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GuangdongShenzhen

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.4	23.7	54.1	+6.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	32.1	23.1	55.1	+9.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.6	24.4	53.0	+4.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.2	22.1	53.3	+9.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	19.4	52.6	+13.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	30.4	23.7	54.1	+6.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	25.3	49.8	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.4	25.2	49.5	-0.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	24.5	25.5	49.9	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	25.5	48.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	26.0	48.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	23.2	29.8	53.0	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar (16)	24.4	23.7	48.1	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	25.1	25.8	50.9	-0.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.8	24.7	56.5	+7.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	32.1	23.2	55.2	+8.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	31.6	26.4	57.9	+5.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.3	26.7	59.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	28.8	64.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	31.8	24.7	56.5	+7.2	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.2	27.8	56.0	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	29.7	28.3	58.0	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	27.1	27.4	54.5	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.9	28.3	57.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	29.8	56.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	30.0	29.6	59.6	+0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	27.2	28.4	55.6	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	29.1	25.7	54.8	+3.4	67%	-

GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nanjing Tongxi

#19

60-41

+19

H28/02

CBA

Jilin

#11

61-57

A03/03

CBA

Zhejiang Guangsha

60-65

-5

A05/03

CBA

Zhejiang Chouzhou

#12

53-39

+14

H07/03

CBA

Liaoning

55-45

+10

H10/03

CBA

Shenzhen

62-59

A13/03

CBA

Jiangsu Dragons

67-50

+17

H25/03

CBA

Jiangsu Dragons

74-41

+33

H27/03

CBA

Jiangsu Dragons

66-40

+26

A30/03

CBA

Shenzhen

77-51

+26

H08/04

CBA

112.3Avg total

63.5Scored

48.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	62.3	48.4	110.6	+13.9	90%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	64.1	46.2	110.4	+17.9	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	60.1	50.8	110.9	+9.4	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	63.5	48.8	112.3	+14.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	69.2	48.2	117.4	+21.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	62.3	48.4	110.6	+13.9	90%	-

This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zhejiang Chouzhou

#12

59-55

H05/03

CBA

Shanghai

#13

50-45

A07/03

CBA

Zhejiang Guangsha

55-47

A09/03

CBA

Guangdong

59-62

-3

H13/03

CBA

Beijing

53-50

H25/03

CBA

Beijing

49-53

-4

H27/03

CBA

Beijing

55-56

-1

A30/03

CBA

Beijing

38-35

A01/04

CBA

Beijing

50-58

-8

H04/04

CBA

Guangdong

51-77

-26

A08/04

CBA

105.7Avg total

51.9Scored

53.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	52.7	53.1	105.8	-0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	54.1	53.5	107.5	+0.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	51.6	52.8	104.4	-1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.9	53.8	105.7	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	55.8	104.4	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	53.2	59.4	112.6	-6.2	20%	-
vs Similar (16)	51.6	52.1	103.7	-0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	54.2	51.4	105.7	+2.8	78%	-

This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.7	27.2	59.0	+4.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	32.8	26.0	58.8	+6.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	30.6	28.6	59.2	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	25.1	59.9	+9.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	28.2	65.6	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	31.7	27.2	59.0	+4.5	63%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.7	27.9	55.6	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	29.4	28.5	57.8	+0.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	26.5	27.4	53.9	-0.9	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.6	25.5	54.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.0	25.6	54.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	23.0	32.4	55.4	-9.4	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	28.8	27.0	55.8	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	28.4	26.9	55.3	+1.6	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.6	27.5	55.2	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.1	27.6	53.7	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	29.4	27.4	56.9	+2.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.9	29.1	57.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.8	33.0	62.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	27.6	27.5	55.2	+0.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.9	25.5	54.4	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	28.9	25.4	54.3	+3.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	28.8	25.6	54.5	+3.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	26.1	50.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	26.0	52.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	31.6	27.0	58.6	+4.6	60%	-
vs Similar (16)	25.9	25.6	51.5	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	32.7	24.6	57.2	+8.1	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	59.4	54.8	114.1	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	58.8	53.6	112.4	+5.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	60.0	56.1	116.1	+3.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	62.7	54.2	116.9	+8.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	67.2	61.2	128.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	59.4	54.8	114.1	+4.6	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	56.6	53.4	110.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	58.3	53.8	112.2	+4.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	55.3	53.1	108.4	+2.2	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.4	51.6	105.0	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.4	51.6	107.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	54.6	59.4	114.0	-4.8	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	54.7	52.6	107.3	+2.1	69%	-
vs Weaker (9)	61.1	51.4	112.6	+9.7	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Guangdong wins

Shenzhen wins

Date	Game	Score
08/04/19	Guangdong v Shenzhen	141-118
13/03/19	Shenzhen v Guangdong	114-128
23/12/18	Guangdong v Shenzhen	102-87
24/12/17	Shenzhen v Guangdong	111-126
29/10/17	Guangdong v Shenzhen	114-96
19/03/17	Shenzhen v Guangdong	90-103
17/03/17	Shenzhen v Guangdong	81-90
15/03/17	Shenzhen v Guangdong	109-90
12/03/17	Guangdong v Shenzhen	98-88
10/03/17	Guangdong v Shenzhen	130-113

Guangdonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/19	H	Shenzhen	141-118
30/03/19	A	Jiangsu Dragons	135-108
27/03/19	H	Jiangsu Dragons	141-99
25/03/19	H	Jiangsu Dragons	137-108
13/03/19	A	Shenzhen	128-114
10/03/19	H	Liaoning	107-94
07/03/19	H	Zhejiang Chouzhou	113-91
05/03/19	A	Zhejiang Guangsha	114-108
03/03/19	A	Jilin	132-111
28/02/19	H	Nanjing Tongxi	114-79

Shenzhenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/19	A	Guangdong	118-141
04/04/19	H	Beijing	118-107
01/04/19	A	Beijing	94-83
30/03/19	A	Beijing	116-110 OT
27/03/19	H	Beijing	88-104
25/03/19	H	Beijing	96-106
13/03/19	H	Guangdong	114-128
09/03/19	A	Zhejiang Guangsha	101-83
07/03/19	A	Shanghai	98-89
05/03/19	H	Zhejiang Chouzhou	124-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong

CBA 2018-19

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	92%
Home	WWWWW	96%
Away	LWWWW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	50	26	24
Win %	92%	96%	88%
Points / game	120.3	123.5	116.9
Allowed / game	103.4	103.2	103.6
Point differential	+16.9	+20.3	+13.3
Avg total	223.7	226.7	220.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	72%	88%	54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (1)	60% (5)
Overtime %	2%	4%	0%

Shenzhen

CBA 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	69%
Home	WLLLW	62%
Away	WWWWL	77%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	52	26	26
Win %	69%	62%	77%
Points / game	112.3	112.8	111.8
Allowed / game	107.4	108.1	106.7
Point differential	+5.0	+4.7	+5.2
Avg total	219.7	221.0	218.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	50%	46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	6%	4%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Guangdong	50	46	4	92%	120.3	103.4	+16.9
2	Liaoning	50	41	9	82%	112.8	102.6	+10.2
3	Xinjiang	51	37	14	73%	115.3	107.4	+7.9
4	Shenzhen	52	36	16	69%	112.3	107.4	+5.0
5	Beijing	53	35	18	66%	101.4	96.1	+5.3
6	Zhejiang Guangsha	53	34	19	64%	110.3	104.3	+6.0
7	Fujian	51	29	22	57%	112.0	109.2	+2.9
8	Shandong	48	26	22	54%	104.1	103.9	+0.2
9	Jiangsu Dragons	51	26	25	51%	103.9	105.9	-2.0
10	Guangzhou	46	23	23	50%	108.3	107.5	+0.8
11	Jilin	48	24	24	50%	110.9	110.5	+0.5
12	Zhejiang Chouzhou	49	24	25	49%	107.7	106.4	+1.3
13	Shanghai	48	23	25	48%	107.7	107.4	+0.2
14	Shanxi Zhongyu	46	16	30	35%	106.2	111.3	-5.1
15	Qingdao	46	13	33	28%	107.7	114.2	-6.5
16	Tianjin	46	12	34	26%	106.3	115.7	-9.3
17	Bayi Rockets	46	11	35	24%	93.6	102.5	-8.9
18	Sichuan	46	11	35	24%	100.5	109.4	-9.0
19	Nanjing Tongxi	46	11	35	24%	98.4	108.2	-9.8
20	Beijing Dragons	46	8	38	17%	106.0	118.2	-12.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Guangdong	31	30	40	18	119
Shenzhen	19	29	35	29	112

← all games of the day

Guangdong vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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