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Guangdong vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 110-105
16-24 33-26 39-34 22-21
Position#6
Record9-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#3
Record6-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game91.3
ChinaCBA· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Guangdong v Shenzhen
04 Dec 2026
GUAN v SHEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
GUAN110
SHEN105
03 Nov 2024
GUAN123
SHEN88
25 Dec 2023
GUAN120
SHEN93
15 Oct 2022
GUAN90
SHEN91
16 Oct 2021
GUAN106
SHEN83
03 Apr 2021
GUAN114
SHEN95
10 Dec 2020
GUAN132
SHEN104
01 Jan 2020
GUAN132
SHEN104
10 Apr 2019
GUAN119
SHEN112
08 Apr 2019
GUAN141
SHEN118
23 Dec 2018
GUAN102
SHEN87
29 Oct 2017
GUAN114
SHEN96
12 Mar 2017
GUAN98
SHEN88
10 Mar 2017
GUAN130
SHEN113
25 Dec 2016
GUAN107
SHEN100
18 Dec 2015
GUAN87
SHEN93
10 Feb 2015
GUAN114
SHEN97
08 Feb 2015
GUAN112
SHEN89
05 Dec 2014
GUAN109
SHEN86
25 Dec 2013
GUAN95
SHEN83
15 Jan 2013
GUAN107
SHEN97
18 Dec 2011
GUAN128
SHEN104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
101-98
101
98
+3
96avg 98
A16/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
97-94
97
94
+3
95avg 98
H19/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
89-80
89
80
+9
81avg 98
H21/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
93-85
93
85
+8
80avg 98
A23/12
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
94-88
94
88
+6
90avg 98
H26/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
95-89
95
89
+6
92avg 98
A28/12
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
98-74
98
74
+24
97avg 98
A30/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
74-105
74
105
-31
63avg 98
A01/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
84avg 98
A03/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
no box
H05/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
33-25
20-20
24-26
26-25
29-22
22-23
20-24
27-24
25-20
21-22
16-14
33-23
19-27
22-18
19-17
31-23
30-23
14-25
19-17
25-22
31-25
24-15
15-27
33-21
27-12
23-23
15-18
14-28
17-29
28-26
15-22
23-21
23-25
25-23
22-20
27-19
16-19
21-20
14-20
181.1Avg total
92.1Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)93.590.2183.6+3.382%
Season at home (5)94.890.4185.2+4.480%
Season away (6)92.390.0182.3+2.383%
Last 10 (10)92.189.0181.1+3.180%
Last 5 (5)89.489.0178.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.092.0181.0-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (17)99.7101.1200.8-1.453%
vs Weaker (11)102.788.3191.0+14.591%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Jilin
#15
W
99-81
99
81
+18
94avg 94
H16/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 94
A18/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
88-104
88
104
-16
82avg 94
A20/12
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
95-92
95
92
+3
85avg 94
A22/12
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
96-87
96
87
+9
97avg 94
H24/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
80-110
80
110
-30
72avg 94
A27/12
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
93-90
93
90
+3
88avg 94
H29/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
L
101-105
101
105
-4
92avg 94
H31/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
92-82
92
82
+10
91avg 94
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 94
A05/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
31-19
22-24
23-17
26-23
16-23
14-21
16-14
27-17
8-33
26-28
27-26
19-24
31-33
31-18
14-17
34-23
21-20
24-20
17-24
19-26
21-31
16-28
24-25
27-31
25-17
22-23
19-19
29-26
24-27
26-27
22-25
23-17
32-23
20-26
17-16
22-20
31-24
12-23
27-16
182.3Avg total
90.8Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.591.3180.8-1.755%
Season at home (6)93.089.0182.0+4.067%
Season away (5)85.494.0179.4-8.640%
Last 10 (10)90.891.5182.3-0.760%
Last 5 (5)91.694.0185.6-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)101.5108.4209.8-6.927%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.692.4181.0-3.956%
vs Weaker (10)106.199.0205.1+7.170%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
GuangdongShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A16/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H19/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H21/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A23/12
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H26/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A28/12
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
60-33
60
33
+27
A30/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A01/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A03/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H05/01
CBA
97.3Avg total
51.3Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.349.2102.5+4.177%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.645.8100.4+8.8100%-
Last 30 away (16)52.252.1104.3+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)51.346.097.3+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.291.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.549.594.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.352.2105.5+1.171%-
vs Weaker (11)54.944.599.4+10.591%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#15
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H16/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A20/12
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A22/12
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H24/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A27/12
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H29/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H03/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A05/01
CBA
96.7Avg total
48.9Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.253.6106.8-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.251.1106.3+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)51.256.0107.2-4.827%-
Last 10 (10)48.947.896.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)50.648.499.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)53.659.2112.8-5.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)47.648.195.7-0.644%-
vs Weaker (10)57.852.3110.1+5.560%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.324.6
54.3%
54.6%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.2
32.9%
35.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.6
75.8%
73.6%16.6
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.1
51.8%
54.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.0
37.8%
35.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.115.6
73.9%
73.6%15.6
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
LWLWWWWWWW
Shenzhen
WWLWLWWLLW
#6
League position
#3
+1.1
Net rating
-0.8
99.3
Offensive rating
99.5
98.2
Defensive rating
100.3
52.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.9%
3-point %
37.8%
61.8%
Assist %
67.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 99.5Defence98.2 · 100.3Shooting52.4% · 53.9%3-point %32.9% · 37.8%Ball care14.0% · 13.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Guangdong   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Guangdong wins
3
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
06/01/25Shenzhen v Guangdong84-91
03/11/24Guangdong v Shenzhen123-88
03/02/24Shenzhen v Guangdong97-90
25/12/23Guangdong v Shenzhen120-93
31/03/23Shenzhen v Guangdong98-95
15/10/22Guangdong v Shenzhen90-91
28/10/21Shenzhen v Guangdong90-106
16/10/21Guangdong v Shenzhen106-83
03/04/21Guangdong v Shenzhen114-95
17/03/21Shenzhen v Guangdong98-109
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/26HZhejiang Chouzhou87-88 OT
03/01/26ABeijing Royal Fighters93-89
01/01/26ABeijing74-105
30/12/25ATianjin98-74
28/12/25AShanxi Zhongyu95-89
26/12/25HShandong94-88
23/12/25AGuangzhou93-85
21/12/25HQingdao89-80
19/12/25HGuangzhou97-94
16/12/25AZhejiang Chouzhou101-98
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/26AQingdao92-83
03/01/26HZhejiang Chouzhou92-82
31/12/25HBeijing Royal Fighters101-105
29/12/25HLiaoning93-90
27/12/25AZhejiang Guangsha80-110
24/12/25HSichuan96-87
22/12/25AShandong95-92
20/12/25ABeijing88-104
18/12/25ANingbo Rockets72-81
16/12/25HJilin99-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%80%83%
Points / game93.594.892.3
Allowed / game90.290.490.0
Point differential+3.3+4.4+2.3
Avg total183.6185.2182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %18%40%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game89.593.085.4
Allowed / game91.389.094.0
Point differential-1.7+4.0-8.6
Avg total180.8182.0179.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing119282%93.477.5+15.8
2 Shanghai119282%93.479.5+13.8
3 Zhejiang Guangsha119282%90.879.5+11.4
4 Guangdong119282%93.590.2+3.3
5 Qingdao118373%90.082.5+7.5
6 Shandong106460%95.191.0+4.1
7 Guangzhou106460%86.185.9+0.2
8 Shanxi Zhongyu116555%89.085.1+3.9
9 Ningbo Rockets116555%90.186.5+3.5
10 Liaoning116555%82.383.1-0.8
11 Shenzhen116555%89.591.3-1.7
12 Zhejiang Chouzhou115645%87.688.6-1.0
13 Jilin115645%82.986.7-3.8
14 Fujian114736%90.292.5-2.3
15 Nanjing Tongxi114736%88.090.8-2.8
16 Xinjiang114736%89.293.9-4.7
17 Beijing Royal Fighters114736%89.094.5-5.5
18 Tianjin112918%88.594.3-5.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons111109%79.190.0-10.9
20 Sichuan110110%72.095.6-23.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong16333922110
Shenzhen24263421105
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