PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Guangdong vs Shenzhen Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#10
Record4-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game93.9
ChinaCBARound 9· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangdong v Shenzhen
04 Dec 2026
GUAN v SHEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
GUAN110
SHEN105
03 Nov 2024
GUAN123
SHEN88
25 Dec 2023
GUAN120
SHEN93
15 Oct 2022
GUAN90
SHEN91
16 Oct 2021
GUAN106
SHEN83
03 Apr 2021
GUAN114
SHEN95
10 Dec 2020
GUAN132
SHEN104
01 Jan 2020
GUAN132
SHEN104
10 Apr 2019
GUAN119
SHEN112
08 Apr 2019
GUAN141
SHEN118
23 Dec 2018
GUAN102
SHEN87
29 Oct 2017
GUAN114
SHEN96
12 Mar 2017
GUAN98
SHEN88
10 Mar 2017
GUAN130
SHEN113
25 Dec 2016
GUAN107
SHEN100
18 Dec 2015
GUAN87
SHEN93
10 Feb 2015
GUAN114
SHEN97
08 Feb 2015
GUAN112
SHEN89
05 Dec 2014
GUAN109
SHEN86
25 Dec 2013
GUAN95
SHEN83
15 Jan 2013
GUAN107
SHEN97
18 Dec 2011
GUAN128
SHEN104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
96avg 89
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 89
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
95-96
95
96
-1
no box
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
no box
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
L
109-112
109
112
-3
no box
H02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
14-23
29-23
19-16
21-15
14-25
18-21
20-27
23-28
28-14
18-30
26-24
25-24
19-34
19-20
15-18
19-24
24-20
31-17
22-17
21-22
25-25
20-21
20-9
14-28
17-27
22-27
34-17
21-20
24-25
18-18
19-17
27-19
12-21
21-20
16-25
35-27
21-27
25-24
28-34
179.4Avg total
88.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.690.4179.0-1.838%
Season at home (4)93.286.8180.0+6.575%
Season away (4)84.094.0178.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)88.491.0179.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)88.090.6178.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.097.3179.3-15.30%
vs Similar (14)91.892.1183.9-0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.081.6175.6+12.462%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
73avg 92
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 92
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
68-102
68
102
-34
no box
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
62-120
62
120
-58
no box
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
70-103
70
103
-33
no box
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
15-28
26-19
20-15
21-14
29-31
22-36
16-16
19-16
13-29
21-30
15-27
25-31
14-19
29-14
21-17
18-32
11-30
12-29
21-29
19-29
14-31
19-24
18-19
32-27
17-27
24-19
22-10
19-22
26-22
18-16
19-21
24-24
10-21
17-19
20-27
14-25
22-3
15-19
17-21
173.7Avg total
80.9Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.893.9172.6-15.150%
Season at home (3)86.092.0178.0-6.067%
Season away (5)74.495.0169.4-20.640%
Last 10 (10)80.992.8173.7-11.950%
Last 5 (5)82.289.6171.8-7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.893.9172.6-15.150%
vs Similar (10)98.295.7193.9+2.560%
vs Weaker (12)105.892.0197.8+13.8100%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -7.0-7.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
GuangdongShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H02/11
CBA
91.0Avg total
43.3Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.992.0+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.544.492.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)45.745.391.1+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)43.347.791.0-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.291.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.754.793.3-16.00%-
vs Similar (14)45.947.493.2-1.529%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.439.990.3+10.577%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H03/11
CBA
87.1Avg total
39.2Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.048.298.2+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.546.398.8+6.277%-
Last 30 away (17)48.149.697.8-1.559%-
Last 10 (10)39.247.987.1-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.285.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.148.585.6-11.425%-
vs Similar (10)52.850.4103.2+2.470%-
vs Weaker (12)56.346.2102.5+10.292%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.9
57.0%
53.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
35.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.8%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.7
52.1%
53.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
74.8%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
LLWLWWLLLW
Shenzhen
WLWWLLWLLW
#12
League position
#10
+6.1
Net rating
-14.8
102.5
Offensive rating
88.7
96.4
Defensive rating
103.5
56.0%
Effective FG%
51.4%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.5%
3-point %
33.5%
65.4%
Assist %
65.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 88.7Defence96.4 · 103.5Shooting56.0% · 51.4%3-point %36.5% · 33.5%Ball care14.2% · 15.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Guangdong   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Guangdong wins
3
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Shenzhen v Guangdong97-101
07/01/26Guangdong v Shenzhen110-105
06/01/25Shenzhen v Guangdong84-91
03/11/24Guangdong v Shenzhen123-88
03/02/24Shenzhen v Guangdong97-90
25/12/23Guangdong v Shenzhen120-93
31/03/23Shenzhen v Guangdong98-95
15/10/22Guangdong v Shenzhen90-91
28/10/21Shenzhen v Guangdong90-106
16/10/21Guangdong v Shenzhen106-83
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HQingdao109-112
31/10/26AShandong76-85
29/10/26HJiangsu Dragons82-80
26/10/26AShanghai87-99
24/10/26HNingbo Rockets86-77
22/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha96-78
20/10/26ABeijing78-96
18/10/26ANanjing Tongxi95-96
12/05/26ABeijing73-88
09/05/26HBeijing102-99 OT
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HZhejiang Chouzhou93-90 OT
01/11/26ALiaoning71-91
30/10/26AJilin82-81
28/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu95-83
25/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters70-103
22/10/26ABeijing62-120
19/10/26AJiangsu Dragons89-81
16/10/26AShanghai68-102
23/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha88-97
21/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha91-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game88.693.284.0
Allowed / game90.486.894.0
Point differential-1.8+6.5-10.0
Avg total179.0180.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game78.886.074.4
Allowed / game93.992.095.0
Point differential-15.1-6.0-20.6
Avg total172.6178.0169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.