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Guangdong vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 120-93
28-22 32-16 31-26 29-29
Position#4
Record15-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game109.2
Allowed / game104.2
vs
Position#8
Record13-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game99.5
ChinaCBARound 21· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangdong v Shenzhen
04 Dec 2026
GUAN v SHEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
GUAN110
SHEN105
03 Nov 2024
GUAN123
SHEN88
25 Dec 2023
GUAN120
SHEN93
15 Oct 2022
GUAN90
SHEN91
16 Oct 2021
GUAN106
SHEN83
03 Apr 2021
GUAN114
SHEN95
10 Dec 2020
GUAN132
SHEN104
01 Jan 2020
GUAN132
SHEN104
10 Apr 2019
GUAN119
SHEN112
08 Apr 2019
GUAN141
SHEN118
23 Dec 2018
GUAN102
SHEN87
29 Oct 2017
GUAN114
SHEN96
12 Mar 2017
GUAN98
SHEN88
10 Mar 2017
GUAN130
SHEN113
25 Dec 2016
GUAN107
SHEN100
18 Dec 2015
GUAN87
SHEN93
10 Feb 2015
GUAN114
SHEN97
08 Feb 2015
GUAN112
SHEN89
05 Dec 2014
GUAN109
SHEN86
25 Dec 2013
GUAN95
SHEN83
15 Jan 2013
GUAN107
SHEN97
18 Dec 2011
GUAN128
SHEN104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
121-94
121
94
+27
124avg 101
H02/12
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
122-115
122
115
+7
125avg 101
H04/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
107-106
107
106
+1
88avg 101
A06/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
114-110
114
110
+4
110avg 101
A09/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
116-111
116
111
+5
115avg 101
A11/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
106-95
106
95
+11
107avg 101
H13/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
88-110
88
110
-22
78avg 101
A15/12
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
115-104
115
104
+11
92avg 101
A17/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
127-92
127
92
+35
132avg 101
H19/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
115-122
115
122
-7
71avg 101
A22/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-28
29-27
26-20
28-19
34-26
39-23
32-37
17-29
26-23
30-29
23-34
28-20
30-35
31-28
28-16
25-31
22-16
30-30
33-43
31-22
22-25
32-21
20-24
32-25
18-24
23-33
22-24
25-29
39-24
29-17
25-36
22-27
46-26
25-27
26-18
30-21
17-29
33-24
34-35
31-34
219.0Avg total
113.1Scored
105.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)109.2104.2213.4+4.975%
Season at home (7)112.998.3211.1+14.686%
Season away (13)107.2107.5214.6-0.369%
Last 10 (10)113.1105.9219.0+7.280%
Last 5 (5)110.2104.6214.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)100.5105.2205.8-4.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)107.6100.3207.8+7.377%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
W
129-112
129
112
+17
133avg 100
H01/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
115-108
115
108
+7
103avg 100
A03/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
113-93
113
93
+20
111avg 100
H05/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
104-84
104
84
+20
99avg 100
H09/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
103-106 OT
103
106
-3
no box
A11/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
114-127
114
127
-13
101avg 100
A14/12
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
110-96
110
96
+14
108avg 100
H16/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
103-89
103
89
+14
98avg 100
H18/12
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
109-101
109
101
+8
113avg 100
A21/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
108-103
108
103
+5
116avg 100
A23/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-31
35-27
32-24
23-30
18-29
28-25
29-31
40-23
22-25
34-22
35-31
22-15
24-16
28-24
28-17
24-27
36-25
12-28
22-15
20-22
19-27
26-32
29-31
40-37
27-19
33-17
27-27
23-33
27-16
27-27
22-30
27-16
25-27
28-25
29-34
27-15
21-25
33-24
31-26
23-28
212.7Avg total
110.8Scored
101.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)104.599.5203.9+5.065%
Season at home (9)108.198.4206.6+9.778%
Season away (11)101.5100.3201.7+1.255%
Last 10 (10)110.8101.9212.7+8.980%
Last 5 (5)108.8103.2212.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)94.795.1189.8-0.430%
vs Similar (11)104.9100.5205.5+4.464%
vs Weaker (9)108.298.3206.6+9.989%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
GuangdongShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H02/12
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
73-49
73
49
+24
H04/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A06/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A09/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H13/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A15/12
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
68-41
68
41
+27
A17/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H19/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A22/12
CBA
110.8Avg total
59.3Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.350.3105.6+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.549.3107.8+9.285%-
Last 30 away (17)52.951.1103.9+1.859%-
Last 10 (10)59.351.5110.8+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)56.850.0106.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)51.553.8105.2-2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)55.949.8105.7+6.273%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H01/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A03/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H05/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H09/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A11/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A14/12
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H16/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H18/12
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A21/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A23/12
CBA
103.3Avg total
54.2Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.350.8100.2-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.548.3100.8+4.271%-
Last 30 away (16)46.653.199.6-6.512%-
Last 10 (10)54.249.1103.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)53.247.8101.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)46.350.196.4-3.820%-
vs Similar (11)49.350.699.9-1.436%-
vs Weaker (9)52.851.9104.7+0.967%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 111.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.028.8
56.5%
52.7%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.7
39.1%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws29.122.2
76.3%
76.0%22.2
They take 78.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 108.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.727.5
55.3%
52.7%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.511.5
40.4%
34.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws27.119.2
70.8%
76.0%19.2
They take 78.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
LWWLWWWWWW
Shenzhen
WWWWLLWWWW
#4
League position
#8
+7.5
Net rating
+8.7
119.6
Offensive rating
114.1
112.1
Defensive rating
105.4
57.2%
Effective FG%
57.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
11.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.1%
3-point %
40.4%
54.2%
Assist %
63.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.6 · 114.1Defence112.1 · 105.4Shooting57.2% · 57.2%3-point %39.1% · 40.4%Ball care11.8% · 16.6%Off. rebounds27.2% · 28.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Guangdong   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Guangdong wins
2
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
31/03/23Shenzhen v Guangdong98-95
15/10/22Guangdong v Shenzhen90-91
28/10/21Shenzhen v Guangdong90-106
16/10/21Guangdong v Shenzhen106-83
03/04/21Guangdong v Shenzhen114-95
17/03/21Shenzhen v Guangdong98-109
10/12/20Guangdong v Shenzhen132-104
20/10/20Shenzhen v Guangdong126-134
22/06/20Shenzhen v Guangdong104-139
01/01/20Guangdong v Shenzhen132-104
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23AShanghai115-122
19/12/23HNanjing Tongxi127-92
17/12/23ASichuan115-104
15/12/23AXinjiang88-110
13/12/23HBeijing106-95
11/12/23ATianjin116-111
09/12/23ABeijing114-110
06/12/23ABeijing Royal Fighters107-106
04/12/23HFujian122-115
02/12/23HSichuan121-94
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23ANingbo Rockets108-103
21/12/23AFujian109-101
18/12/23HTianjin103-89
16/12/23HShandong110-96
14/12/23AShanxi Zhongyu114-127
11/12/23AZhejiang Chouzhou103-106 OT
09/12/23HQingdao104-84
05/12/23HJilin113-93
03/12/23AGuangzhou115-108
01/12/23HFujian129-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20713
Win %75%86%69%
Points / game109.2112.9107.2
Allowed / game104.298.3107.5
Point differential+4.9+14.6-0.3
Avg total213.4211.1214.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)-100% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %65%78%55%
Points / game104.5108.1101.5
Allowed / game99.598.4100.3
Point differential+5.0+9.7+1.2
Avg total203.9206.6201.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%67%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %10%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning2018290%103.591.2+12.3
2 Zhejiang Chouzhou2118386%108.696.3+12.3
3 Xinjiang2118386%104.195.1+9.0
4 Zhejiang Guangsha2015575%104.595.2+9.3
5 Guangdong2015575%109.2104.2+4.9
6 Shenzhen2013765%104.599.5+5.0
7 Qingdao2011955%101.0101.6-0.6
8 Guangzhou21111052%102.399.5+2.8
9 Beijing21111052%102.2101.2+1.0
10 Shanghai20101050%103.5103.7-0.2
11 Shanxi Zhongyu20101050%109.7111.3-1.6
12 Beijing Royal Fighters2091145%105.3104.5+0.8
13 Tianjin2081240%101.7107.0-5.2
14 Shandong2181338%101.1103.0-1.9
15 Fujian2071335%106.0110.2-4.2
16 Nanjing Tongxi2171433%100.0104.8-4.8
17 Jilin2161529%101.1106.2-5.1
18 Ningbo Rockets2041620%93.6103.3-9.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons1831517%93.4102.8-9.4
20 Sichuan211205%99.0114.4-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong28323129120
Shenzhen2216262993
← all games of the day
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