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Guangdong vs Tianjin Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 11 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game95.5
ChinaCBARound 35· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangdong v Tianjin
11 Mar 2027
GUAN v TIAN
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
GUAN98
TIAN89
01 Jan 2025
GUAN110
TIAN103
16 Nov 2024
GUAN89
TIAN103
30 Jan 2024
GUAN117
TIAN133
01 Nov 2023
GUAN105
TIAN112
04 Jan 2023
GUAN102
TIAN91
23 Oct 2022
GUAN99
TIAN83
01 Apr 2022
GUAN124
TIAN101
21 Jan 2022
GUAN118
TIAN91
23 Dec 2020
GUAN110
TIAN87
26 Jun 2020
GUAN132
TIAN79
20 Dec 2019
GUAN121
TIAN101
14 Nov 2018
GUAN118
TIAN103
05 Dec 2017
GUAN99
TIAN91
30 Nov 2016
GUAN114
TIAN103
13 Dec 2015
GUAN131
TIAN108
28 Nov 2014
GUAN127
TIAN74
10 Jan 2014
GUAN116
TIAN70
28 Dec 2012
GUAN107
TIAN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tianjin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
96avg 88
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 88
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
95-96
95
96
-1
no box
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
no box
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
L
109-112
109
112
-3
no box
H02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
14-23
29-23
19-16
21-15
14-25
18-21
20-27
23-28
28-14
18-30
26-24
25-24
19-34
19-20
15-18
19-24
24-20
31-17
22-17
21-22
25-25
20-21
20-9
14-28
17-27
22-27
34-17
21-20
24-25
18-18
19-17
27-19
12-21
21-20
16-25
35-27
21-27
25-24
28-34
179.4Avg total
88.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.690.4179.0-1.838%
Season at home (4)93.286.8180.0+6.575%
Season away (4)84.094.0178.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)88.491.0179.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)88.090.6178.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.097.3179.3-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.892.1183.9-0.350%
vs Weaker (13)94.081.6175.6+12.462%
This opponent (Tianjin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TianjinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTianjin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
84-96
84
96
-12
79avg 90
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
93-103
93
103
-10
92avg 90
A24/04
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
85-97
85
97
-12
no box
A17/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
L
92-107
92
107
-15
no box
A20/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
102-86
102
86
+16
no box
H23/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
93-105
93
105
-12
no box
A25/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
L
90-94
90
94
-4
no box
A27/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
92-95
92
95
-3
no box
H30/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
88-99
88
99
-11
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
17-29
27-17
17-22
34-22
11-33
28-29
20-19
22-28
26-25
15-25
22-19
29-26
25-28
16-21
22-32
28-27
24-19
18-19
32-21
25-31
19-22
25-20
24-32
22-17
12-39
28-21
28-17
25-13
27-16
21-32
19-34
23-27
25-18
21-14
26-22
18-29
23-19
23-22
24-29
187.7Avg total
91.4Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.195.5187.6-3.425%
Season at home (4)94.290.2184.5+4.050%
Season away (4)90.0100.8190.8-10.80%
Last 10 (10)91.496.3187.7-4.920%
Last 5 (5)91.694.8186.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)92.6100.1192.8-7.524%
vs Similar ◀ (9)95.199.6194.7-4.422%
vs Weaker (4)97.887.0184.8+10.875%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
GuangdongTianjin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H02/11
CBA
91.0Avg total
43.3Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.992.0+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.544.492.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)45.745.391.1+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)43.347.791.0-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.291.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.754.793.3-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.947.493.2-1.529%-
vs Weaker (13)50.439.990.3+10.577%-
This opponent (Tianjin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TianjinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A24/04
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A17/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A20/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H23/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A25/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A27/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H30/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H03/11
CBA
95.4Avg total
45.8Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.649.495.9-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.346.494.7+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)45.151.997.0-6.919%-
Last 10 (10)45.849.695.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.846.290.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)45.150.595.6-5.424%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)48.049.897.8-1.833%-
vs Weaker (4)49.543.593.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.9
57.0%
53.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
35.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.8%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tianjintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tianjin: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.0
54.2%
53.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.7
34.7%
35.0%35.1
🏀 Free throws23.417.7
75.6%
74.8%17.7
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
LLWLWWLLLW
Tianjin
LWLLLWLLLL
#12
League position
#16
+6.1
Net rating
-4.9
102.5
Offensive rating
100.8
96.4
Defensive rating
105.7
56.0%
Effective FG%
53.2%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
14.2%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.5%
3-point %
34.7%
65.4%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 100.8Defence96.4 · 105.7Shooting56.0% · 53.2%3-point %36.5% · 34.7%Ball care14.2% · 12.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Guangdong   ■ Tianjin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Guangdong wins
4
Tianjin wins
DateGameScore
26/01/26Guangdong v Tianjin98-89
30/12/25Tianjin v Guangdong74-98
08/01/25Tianjin v Guangdong111-120
01/01/25Guangdong v Tianjin110-103
16/11/24Guangdong v Tianjin89-103
06/04/24Tianjin v Guangdong113-112 OT
30/01/24Guangdong v Tianjin117-133
11/12/23Tianjin v Guangdong111-116
01/11/23Guangdong v Tianjin105-112
04/01/23Guangdong v Tianjin102-91
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HQingdao109-112
31/10/26AShandong76-85
29/10/26HJiangsu Dragons82-80
26/10/26AShanghai87-99
24/10/26HNingbo Rockets86-77
22/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha96-78
20/10/26ABeijing78-96
18/10/26ANanjing Tongxi95-96
12/05/26ABeijing73-88
09/05/26HBeijing102-99 OT
Tianjinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HZhejiang Guangsha88-99
01/11/26HNingbo Rockets95-81
30/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha92-95
27/10/26AQingdao90-94
25/10/26AShandong93-105
23/10/26HGuangzhou102-86
20/10/26AXinjiang92-107
17/10/26ASichuan85-97
24/04/26AZhejiang Guangsha93-103
20/04/26AZhejiang Chouzhou84-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game88.693.284.0
Allowed / game90.486.894.0
Point differential-1.8+6.5-10.0
Avg total179.0180.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tianjin
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game92.194.290.0
Allowed / game95.590.2100.8
Point differential-3.4+4.0-10.8
Avg total187.6184.5190.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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