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Guangzhou vs Beijing Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 82-101
29-17 24-32 15-34 14-18
Position#16
Record4-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game108.2
vs
Beijing 🏆
China
Position#3
Record10-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game91.1
ChinaCBARound 12· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Beijing
24 Mar 2027
GUAN v BEIJ
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
GUAN v BEIJ
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
GUAN94
BEIJ103
14 Mar 2026
GUAN85
BEIJ98
02 Dec 2024
GUAN82
BEIJ101
27 Jan 2024
GUAN98
BEIJ99
01 Apr 2023
GUAN87
BEIJ101
03 Mar 2022
GUAN74
BEIJ108
28 Jan 2021
GUAN102
BEIJ114
18 Jul 2020
GUAN81
BEIJ105
03 Dec 2019
GUAN86
BEIJ109
12 Feb 2019
GUAN97
BEIJ93
30 Jan 2018
GUAN106
BEIJ96
24 Jan 2017
GUAN76
BEIJ86
29 Dec 2015
GUAN88
BEIJ110
23 Nov 2014
GUAN118
BEIJ120
22 Jan 2014
GUAN91
BEIJ101
15 Feb 2013
GUAN112
BEIJ106
23 Dec 2011
GUAN105
BEIJ101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beijing winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Fujian
#18
W
112-101
112
101
+11
114avg 94
A27/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
108-101
108
101
+7
105avg 94
A29/10
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
94-114
94
114
-20
81avg 94
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
76avg 94
A03/11
CBA
Guangdong
#13
L
68-88
68
88
-20
no box
A13/11
CBA Club Cup
Beijing Royal Fighters
#2
L
80-93
80
93
-13
no box
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Jiangsu Dragons
#9
L
91-102
91
102
-11
no box
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#12
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#15
W
108-97
108
97
+11
102avg 94
H27/11
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
140-117
140
117
+23
143avg 94
H30/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
28-18
27-23
27-30
34-24
33-31
18-25
23-21
21-34
16-23
22-27
35-30
22-23
21-23
28-25
15-26
18-33
16-23
23-17
11-15
19-23
15-17
27-23
19-30
21-24
25-20
19-31
26-27
28-15
24-26
18-15
19-13
32-20
22-38
31-21
23-18
38-22
27-28
43-33
32-34
195.5Avg total
97.6Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)101.9108.2210.1-6.336%
Season at home (4)111.5114.0225.5-2.550%
Season away (7)96.4104.9201.3-8.429%
Last 10 (10)97.697.9195.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)101.695.6197.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)92.8103.5196.3-10.721%
vs Similar (12)103.299.3202.5+3.875%
vs Weaker (4)104.088.2192.2+15.8100%
This opponent (Beijing) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeijingChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeijing
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#8
W
105-101
105
101
+4
106avg 93
H25/10
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
86-96
86
96
-10
84avg 93
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
113-97
113
97
+16
105avg 93
H29/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 93
A01/11
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
99-83
99
83
+16
94avg 93
A03/11
CBA
Qingdao
#10
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
A12/11
CBA Club Cup
Liaoning
#17
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
H13/11
CBA Club Cup
Xinjiang
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Nanjing Tongxi
#14
W
91-75
91
75
+16
no box
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Shenzhen
#13
W
106-90
106
90
+16
110avg 93
A29/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-36
27-23
32-23
21-19
20-19
19-16
22-33
25-28
36-28
26-23
25-24
26-22
24-24
19-21
25-24
19-14
31-11
31-24
24-22
13-26
24-22
19-20
15-26
23-8
19-16
26-16
20-21
25-25
30-27
11-19
18-19
20-20
20-18
31-18
14-21
26-18
30-25
23-24
22-26
31-15
180.1Avg total
93.7Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)100.691.1191.7+9.591%
Season at home (6)105.595.8201.3+9.7100%
Season away (5)94.885.4180.2+9.480%
Last 10 (10)93.786.4180.1+7.380%
Last 5 (5)89.480.8170.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.5102.0193.5-10.50%
vs Similar (15)99.596.8196.3+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)99.088.2187.2+10.892%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.4+3.4
GuangzhouBeijing
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#18
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A27/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A29/10
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A03/11
CBA
Guangdong
#13
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A13/11
CBA Club Cup
Beijing Royal Fighters
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Jiangsu Dragons
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#15
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H27/11
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H30/11
CBA
98.5Avg total
49.0Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.650.399.8-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.848.8100.6+2.946%-
Last 30 away (17)47.951.499.2-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)49.049.598.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)50.246.696.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)49.550.199.6-0.636%-
vs Similar (12)49.351.2100.6-1.933%-
vs Weaker (4)50.548.098.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Beijing) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeijingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#8
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H25/10
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H29/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A01/11
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
62-35
62
35
+27
A03/11
CBA
Qingdao
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A12/11
CBA Club Cup
Liaoning
#17
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H13/11
CBA Club Cup
Xinjiang
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Nanjing Tongxi
#14
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Shenzhen
#13
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A29/11
CBA
92.1Avg total
49.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.247.298.4+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.549.8103.3+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)48.944.593.5+4.473%-
Last 10 (10)49.143.092.1+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.087.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.050.098.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (15)50.749.199.9+1.653%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)52.244.596.7+7.877%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 104.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.831.4
54.3%
52.6%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.4
31.2%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.516.7
71.1%
76.3%16.7
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beijingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beijing: 102.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.027.4
54.8%
52.6%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.0
34.5%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.914.5
76.7%
76.3%14.5
They take 81.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WWWLLLLLWW
Beijing
WWLWWWWWLW
#16
League position
#3
-6.1
Net rating
+18.2
110.9
Offensive rating
112.8
117.0
Defensive rating
94.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.3%
40.0%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.2%
3-point %
34.5%
55.5%
Assist %
69.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 112.8Defence117.0 · 94.6Shooting51.9% · 53.6%3-point %31.2% · 34.5%Ball care18.1% · 17.3%Off. rebounds40.0% · 35.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Beijing
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guangzhou wins
9
Beijing wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Beijing v Guangzhou105-90
27/01/24Guangzhou v Beijing98-99 OT
19/12/23Beijing v Guangzhou95-91
01/04/23Guangzhou v Beijing87-101
22/10/22Beijing v Guangzhou66-71 OT
10/03/22Beijing v Guangzhou84-56
03/03/22Guangzhou v Beijing74-108
28/01/21Guangzhou v Beijing102-114
29/12/20Beijing v Guangzhou102-100
18/07/20Guangzhou v Beijing81-105
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HJilin140-117
27/11/24HTianjin108-97
17/11/24ATianjin89-69
16/11/24AJiangsu Dragons91-102
15/11/24HBeijing Royal Fighters80-93
13/11/24AGuangdong68-88
03/11/24ALiaoning86-97
01/11/24AJilin94-114
29/10/24AShenzhen108-101
27/10/24AFujian112-101
Beijinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24AShenzhen106-90
17/11/24ANanjing Tongxi91-75
15/11/24HXinjiang79-85
13/11/24HLiaoning90-78
12/11/24AQingdao81-76
03/11/24AShanghai99-83
01/11/24AJiangsu Dragons87-83
29/10/24HNingbo Rockets113-97
27/10/24AJilin86-96
25/10/24HGuangdong105-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW36%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %36%50%29%
Points / game101.9111.596.4
Allowed / game108.2114.0104.9
Point differential-6.3-2.5-8.4
Avg total210.1225.5201.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Beijing
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%100%80%
Points / game100.6105.594.8
Allowed / game91.195.885.4
Point differential+9.5+9.7+9.4
Avg total191.7201.3180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing1110191%100.691.1+9.5
2 Liaoning1210283%107.895.8+11.9
3 Zhejiang Guangsha119282%105.594.5+11.0
4 Xinjiang119282%110.5100.3+10.3
5 Shanxi Zhongyu129375%116.2108.4+7.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou117464%112.1105.4+6.7
7 Beijing Royal Fighters117464%106.0101.1+4.9
8 Qingdao117464%100.197.1+3.0
9 Shandong117464%104.5102.1+2.4
10 Guangdong126650%106.8102.7+4.2
11 Tianjin126650%102.9105.3-2.4
12 Nanjing Tongxi126650%105.8109.6-3.8
13 Jilin115645%109.6109.4+0.3
14 Guangzhou114736%101.9108.2-6.3
15 Sichuan124833%104.9109.6-4.7
16 Ningbo Rockets124833%105.3113.2-7.8
17 Shenzhen1321115%101.2112.4-11.2
18 Shanghai101910%98.8110.3-11.5
19 Fujian101910%104.0115.9-11.9
20 Jiangsu Dragons120120%93.9105.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2924151482
Beijing17323418101
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