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Guangzhou vs Ningbo Rockets Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 11 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#20
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game95.2
ChinaCBARound 25· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangzhou v Ningbo Rockets
11 Jan 2027
GUAN v NING
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
GUAN83
NING84
11 Dec 2024
GUAN106
NING89
14 Jan 2024
GUAN92
NING77
06 Dec 2023
GUAN99
NING80
11 Jan 2023
GUAN105
NING84
29 Oct 2021
GUAN93
NING70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ningbo Rockets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
86-99
86
99
-13
70avg 79
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
93-76
93
76
+17
96avg 79
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
52avg 79
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
35avg 79
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
114-81
114
81
+33
no box
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
86-102
86
102
-16
no box
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
73-117
73
117
-44
no box
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
no box
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
93-113
93
113
-20
no box
H30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-35
22-22
29-16
20-26
20-25
22-12
23-20
28-19
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
20-23
27-29
16-18
17-20
27-11
24-21
22-19
17-28
26-16
31-24
30-22
27-19
27-28
19-24
19-18
21-32
16-32
19-32
18-30
20-23
19-21
23-15
19-27
14-12
23-23
15-31
32-34
23-25
180.2Avg total
87.0Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.297.0188.2-5.850%
Season at home (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
Season away (3)91.0100.0191.0-9.033%
Last 10 (10)87.093.2180.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)91.4100.6192.0-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)84.993.4178.2-8.518%
vs Similar (9)91.689.9181.4+1.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)95.576.0171.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Ningbo Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ningbo RocketsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Jilin
#15
W
84-65
84
65
+19
81avg 77
H20/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
94-78
94
78
+16
94avg 77
H24/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
57-65
57
65
-8
44avg 77
A29/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
76avg 77
H02/05
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
71-95
71
95
-24
no box
H17/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
73-103
73
103
-30
no box
H20/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
L
76-95
76
95
-19
no box
A22/10
CBA
Guangdong
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A24/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H26/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
91-107
91
107
-16
no box
H30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
25-14
21-18
12-20
20-24
23-13
25-15
26-26
13-19
19-19
18-9
7-18
22-15
17-20
21-19
12-18
17-27
15-32
28-15
11-21
14-25
17-27
22-29
20-22
23-22
20-26
16-18
17-29
22-21
25-25
21-20
9-20
29-18
21-23
15-27
11-17
22-26
21-31
22-31
26-19
164.2Avg total
78.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.395.2172.5-17.80%
Season at home (4)77.897.5175.2-19.80%
Season away (2)76.590.5167.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)78.086.2164.2-8.220%
Last 5 (5)78.695.2173.8-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.892.5170.4-14.70%
vs Similar (12)83.178.2161.3+4.858%
vs Weaker (7)84.779.4164.1+5.371%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.9-5.9
GuangzhouNingbo Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H30/10
CBA
89.5Avg total
41.9Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.945.889.7-1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.944.587.4-1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)44.947.392.2-2.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.947.689.5-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.649.292.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)42.748.491.1-5.735%-
vs Similar (9)45.744.690.2+1.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.837.582.2+7.2100%-
This opponent (Ningbo Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ningbo RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#15
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H20/04
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H24/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A29/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H02/05
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
32-59
32
59
-27
H17/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H20/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A22/10
CBA
Guangdong
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A24/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H26/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H30/10
CBA
85.1Avg total
41.1Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.284.4+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.642.084.6+0.662%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.484.2-0.536%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.085.1-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.848.891.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.848.589.4-7.736%-
vs Similar (12)43.237.780.8+5.567%-
vs Weaker (7)43.039.982.9+3.143%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
53.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.5%
74.8%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ningbo Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ningbo Rockets: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.7
47.7%
53.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.5
32.7%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.715.1
72.9%
74.8%15.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWLLWWLLWL
Ningbo Rockets
LLLLLLLLWW
#10
League position
#20
-11.7
Net rating
-9.5
90.5
Offensive rating
90.3
102.2
Defensive rating
99.8
47.4%
Effective FG%
48.2%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.2%
3-point %
32.7%
60.4%
Assist %
63.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 90.3Defence102.2 · 99.8Shooting47.4% · 48.2%3-point %33.2% · 32.7%Ball care14.7% · 14.9%Free throws0.43 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Ningbo Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Guangzhou wins
2
Ningbo Rockets wins
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu93-113
27/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters91-90 OT
25/10/26ABeijing73-117
23/10/26ATianjin86-102
20/10/26ANanjing Tongxi114-81
18/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou90-79
03/05/26AGuangdong80-90
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85
28/04/26AGuangdong93-76
24/04/26HShenzhen86-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HLiaoning91-107
26/10/26HJilin76-85
24/10/26AGuangdong77-86
22/10/26AFujian76-95
20/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu73-103
17/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters71-95
02/05/26HZhejiang Chouzhou81-83 OT
29/04/26AZhejiang Chouzhou57-65
24/04/26HBeijing Royal Fighters94-78
20/04/26HJilin84-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game91.291.391.0
Allowed / game97.094.0100.0
Point differential-5.8-2.7-9.0
Avg total188.2185.3191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Ningbo Rockets
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.377.876.5
Allowed / game95.297.590.5
Point differential-17.8-19.8-14.0
Avg total172.5175.2167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai76186%97.186.3+10.9
3 Liaoning76186%96.687.0+9.6
4 Beijing Royal Fighters75271%99.181.0+18.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian74357%91.788.3+3.4
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
11 Guangdong73443%85.787.3-1.6
12 Shandong73443%91.093.6-2.6
13 Xinjiang73443%86.089.9-3.9
14 Shenzhen73443%76.794.4-17.7
15 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
16 Qingdao72529%88.691.0-2.4
17 Nanjing Tongxi72529%87.497.3-9.9
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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