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Guangzhou vs Jilin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 140-117
38-22 27-28 43-33 32-34
Position#16
Record3-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game98.1
Allowed / game107.3
vs
Position#14
Record5-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game108.9
Allowed / game106.3
ChinaCBARound 11· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Jilin
30 Mar 2027
GUAN v JILI
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
GUAN87
JILI74
31 Mar 2025
GUAN102
JILI103
30 Nov 2024
GUAN140
JILI117
24 Dec 2023
GUAN129
JILI122
27 Oct 2022
GUAN112
JILI116
12 Nov 2021
GUAN107
JILI104
30 Mar 2021
GUAN95
JILI120
13 Nov 2020
GUAN94
JILI101
31 Dec 2019
GUAN93
JILI101
13 Mar 2019
GUAN136
JILI108
21 Nov 2018
GUAN129
JILI109
07 Feb 2018
GUAN124
JILI96
01 Nov 2016
GUAN76
JILI80
08 Nov 2015
GUAN109
JILI115
25 Nov 2014
GUAN116
JILI109
08 Jan 2014
GUAN109
JILI114
26 Dec 2012
GUAN111
JILI99
30 Nov 2011
GUAN99
JILI103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jilin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
110-122
110
122
-12
104avg 93
H25/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
112-101
112
101
+11
114avg 93
A27/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
108-101
108
101
+7
105avg 93
A29/10
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
94-114
94
114
-20
81avg 93
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
76avg 93
A03/11
CBA
Guangdong
#13
L
68-88
68
88
-20
no box
A13/11
CBA Club Cup
Beijing Royal Fighters
#2
L
80-93
80
93
-13
no box
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Jiangsu Dragons
#9
L
91-102
91
102
-11
no box
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#12
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#15
W
108-97
108
97
+11
102avg 93
H27/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
27-27
31-35
24-28
30-30
28-18
27-23
27-30
34-24
33-31
18-25
23-21
21-34
16-23
22-27
35-30
22-23
21-23
28-25
15-26
18-33
16-23
23-17
11-15
19-23
15-17
27-23
19-30
21-24
25-20
19-31
26-27
28-15
24-26
18-15
19-13
32-20
22-38
31-21
23-18
193.0Avg total
94.6Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)98.1107.3205.4-9.230%
Season at home (3)102.0113.0215.0-11.033%
Season away (7)96.4104.9201.3-8.429%
Last 10 (10)94.698.4193.0-3.840%
Last 5 (5)87.289.8177.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)92.8103.5196.3-10.721%
vs Similar ◀ (11)99.897.7197.5+2.173%
vs Weaker (5)106.290.6196.8+15.6100%
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
130-119
130
119
+11
131avg 97
H22/10
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
69avg 97
H24/10
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
96-86
96
86
+10
84avg 97
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
L
119-133
119
133
-14
125avg 97
A29/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
114-94
114
94
+20
112avg 97
H01/11
CBA
Tianjin
#15
L
102-108
102
108
-6
94avg 97
H03/11
CBA
Sichuan
#18
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
H12/11
CBA Club Cup
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#7
L
68-98
68
98
-30
no box
A13/11
CBA Club Cup
Zhejiang Guangsha
#3
L
68-84
68
84
-16
no box
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Shandong
#6
L
79-108
79
108
-29
no box
H17/11
CBA Club Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-25
30-36
30-36
37-22
19-29
22-21
22-23
22-19
19-20
16-19
33-22
28-25
32-41
24-22
34-37
29-33
34-21
23-16
27-22
30-35
25-18
29-25
24-35
24-30
20-29
14-20
23-13
22-30
18-22
16-21
17-25
17-30
23-19
14-22
15-23
16-20
14-30
16-28
29-29
20-21
195.4Avg total
94.0Scored
101.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)108.9106.3215.2+2.650%
Season at home (8)107.9103.6211.5+4.250%
Season away (2)113.0117.0230.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)94.0101.4195.4-7.430%
Last 5 (5)79.298.0177.2-18.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)96.3107.6203.8-11.317%
vs Similar ◀ (9)111.0107.0218.0+4.067%
vs Weaker (3)102.784.3187.0+18.3100%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
GuangzhouJilin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H25/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A27/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A29/10
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A03/11
CBA
Guangdong
#13
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A13/11
CBA Club Cup
Beijing Royal Fighters
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Jiangsu Dragons
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#15
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H27/11
CBA
98.4Avg total
48.0Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.550.5100.0-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (12)50.748.899.4+1.942%-
Last 30 away (18)48.751.7100.4-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)48.050.498.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.047.891.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)49.550.199.6-0.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)47.951.499.3-3.527%-
vs Weaker (5)53.049.8102.8+3.260%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H22/10
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H24/10
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#18
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A29/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H01/11
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H03/11
CBA
Sichuan
#18
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H12/11
CBA Club Cup
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A13/11
CBA Club Cup
Zhejiang Guangsha
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Shandong
#6
L
30-58
30
58
-28
H17/11
CBA Club Cup
92.5Avg total
44.1Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.053.2103.2-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.350.7101.0-0.459%-
Last 30 away (13)49.556.5106.1-7.023%-
Last 10 (10)44.148.492.5-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.846.884.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)47.556.5104.0-9.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)54.251.1105.3+3.167%-
vs Weaker (3)52.040.092.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 95.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.429.4
52.1%
52.6%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.0
27.7%
35.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.215.4
69.4%
76.3%15.4
They take 81.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 110.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.528.2
53.7%
52.6%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.6
35.2%
35.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws23.219.5
84.1%
76.3%19.5
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WWLLLLLWWL
Jilin
LLLLLWLWLW
#16
League position
#14
-15.8
Net rating
+3.3
102.4
Offensive rating
114.7
118.3
Defensive rating
111.4
48.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
18.5%
Turnover %
12.7%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.7%
3-point %
35.2%
53.8%
Assist %
57.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 114.7Defence118.3 · 111.4Shooting48.8% · 53.3%3-point %27.7% · 35.2%Ball care18.5% · 12.7%Off. rebounds38.3% · 26.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Jilin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Guangzhou wins
4
Jilin wins
DateGameScore
01/11/24Jilin v Guangzhou114-94
14/03/24Jilin v Guangzhou100-115
24/12/23Guangzhou v Jilin129-122
05/04/23Jilin v Guangzhou87-104
27/10/22Guangzhou v Jilin112-116 OT
12/11/21Guangzhou v Jilin107-104
31/10/21Jilin v Guangzhou94-95
10/04/21Jilin v Guangzhou85-103
30/03/21Guangzhou v Jilin95-120
13/11/20Guangzhou v Jilin94-101
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24HTianjin108-97
17/11/24ATianjin89-69
16/11/24AJiangsu Dragons91-102
15/11/24HBeijing Royal Fighters80-93
13/11/24AGuangdong68-88
03/11/24ALiaoning86-97
01/11/24AJilin94-114
29/10/24AShenzhen108-101
27/10/24AFujian112-101
25/10/24HNanjing Tongxi110-122
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HShandong79-108
16/11/24AZhejiang Guangsha68-84
13/11/24AZhejiang Chouzhou68-98
12/11/24HSichuan79-92
03/11/24HTianjin102-108
01/11/24HGuangzhou114-94
29/10/24AFujian119-133
27/10/24HBeijing96-86
24/10/24HQingdao85-92
22/10/24HShanxi Zhongyu130-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW30%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %30%33%29%
Points / game98.1102.096.4
Allowed / game107.3113.0104.9
Point differential-9.2-11.0-8.4
Avg total205.4215.0201.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jilin
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game108.9107.9113.0
Allowed / game106.3103.6117.0
Point differential+2.6+4.2-4.0
Avg total215.2211.5230.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing1110191%100.691.1+9.5
2 Liaoning119282%108.596.1+12.4
3 Zhejiang Guangsha119282%105.594.5+11.0
4 Xinjiang119282%110.5100.3+10.3
5 Shanxi Zhongyu118373%114.1107.7+6.4
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou117464%112.1105.4+6.7
7 Qingdao117464%100.197.1+3.0
8 Beijing Royal Fighters106460%104.9101.2+3.7
9 Shandong106460%103.8103.1+0.7
10 Guangdong116555%108.0102.5+5.5
11 Nanjing Tongxi116555%106.3108.9-2.6
12 Jilin105550%108.9106.3+2.6
13 Tianjin115645%103.5107.7-4.2
14 Ningbo Rockets114736%104.4110.7-6.4
15 Guangzhou103730%98.1107.3-9.2
16 Sichuan113827%105.0111.0-6.0
17 Shenzhen1221017%101.8113.4-11.6
18 Fujian91811%105.3116.4-11.1
19 Shanghai101910%98.8110.3-11.5
20 Jiangsu Dragons110110%95.3106.6-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou38274332140
Jilin22283334117
← all games of the day
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