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Guaros de Lara vs Centauros Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 73-68
25-20 19-20 12-16 17-12
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#12
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game70.0
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Bolivariano de Barquisimeto (Barquisimeto)
Other2023
Meetings · Guaros de Lara v Centauros
14 Apr 2023
GUAR101
CENT90
28 Mar 2023
GUAR73
CENT68
11 Jul 2022
GUAR81
CENT87
10 Jul 2022
GUAR83
CENT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Centauros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#19
W
75-61
75
61
+14
no box
H26/08
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
79-106
79
106
-27
no box
A01/09
Superliga
Brillantes
#7
L
60-89
60
89
-29
no box
A03/09
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#15
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
A04/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
H10/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
no box
H11/09
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
56-100
56
100
-44
47avg 73
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 73
A21/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
87-75
87
75
+12
81avg 73
A22/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
69avg 73
H25/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-10
17-18
21-17
13-16
22-20
17-40
23-23
17-23
14-20
17-17
11-29
18-23
21-23
27-21
21-23
23-12
18-22
17-9
23-20
23-26
16-24
33-22
24-23
16-27
15-22
14-27
19-21
8-30
28-20
18-16
25-18
28-27
19-24
28-20
26-16
14-15
26-11
21-23
18-14
21-24
164.0Avg total
80.4Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.082.0164.0+0.075%
Season at home (1)86.072.0158.0+14.0100%
Season away (3)80.785.3166.0-4.767%
Last 10 (10)80.483.6164.0-3.260%
Last 5 (5)83.484.8168.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.682.7155.2-10.122%
vs Similar (11)77.585.8163.3-8.427%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.272.6160.8+15.6100%
This opponent (Centauros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentaurosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCentauros
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#1
L
96-99
96
99
-3
no box
A06/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
W
65-63
65
63
+2
no box
A07/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
no box
H09/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
W
96-72
96
72
+24
no box
H10/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H11/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
no box
A14/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 58
A18/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
87-82
87
82
+5
72avg 58
A19/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
64-68
64
68
-4
50avg 58
H24/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
64-56
64
56
+8
48avg 58
H26/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
25-29
18-25
34-29
15-19
18-11
12-23
20-10
14-19
18-16
18-16
16-28
28-17
25-21
18-24
25-10
14-23
20-26
22-17
22-19
22-18
18-22
11-24
15-24
17-16
24-15
15-20
14-23
26-27
21-17
20-18
20-20
19-28
19-10
12-9
14-21
15-14
18-17
17-9
14-16
151.8Avg total
75.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.270.0141.2+1.250%
Season at home (2)64.062.0126.0+2.050%
Season away (2)78.578.0156.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)75.276.6151.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)70.273.6143.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)70.074.0144.0-4.00%
vs Similar (20)79.978.6158.5+1.360%
vs Weaker (9)84.073.2157.2+10.8100%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
Guaros de LaraCentauros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#19
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H26/08
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A01/09
Superliga
Brillantes
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/09
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A04/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H10/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H11/09
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A21/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/03
Superliga
82.1Avg total
41.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.179.6+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.537.180.6+6.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.639.178.7+0.669%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.982.1+0.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.885.4+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.937.976.8+1.056%-
vs Similar (11)39.140.779.8-1.655%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.335.581.8+10.890%-
This opponent (Centauros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentaurosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A06/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A07/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H09/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H10/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H11/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A14/10
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A18/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H26/03
Superliga
77.6Avg total
39.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.878.1+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.937.875.7+0.150%-
Last 30 away (12)41.440.281.6+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.177.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.876.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)41.031.072.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (20)39.140.079.1-0.840%-
vs Weaker (9)39.437.076.4+2.467%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.5 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.8
59.5%
50.8%45.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.8
29.5%
31.3%23.2
🏀 Free throws17.012.2
72.1%
65.6%12.2
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Centaurostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Centauros: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.0
45.8%
50.8%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.88.0
26.0%
31.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.016.8
72.8%
65.6%16.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guaros de Lara
WWWLLWWLLW
Centauros
WLWLLLWLWL
#3
League position
#12
-0.6
Net rating
+2.0
101.9
Offensive rating
95.2
102.5
Defensive rating
93.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
42.5%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.6%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.5%
3-point %
26.0%
61.5%
Assist %
56.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 95.2Defence102.5 · 93.2Shooting53.3% · 42.5%3-point %29.5% · 26.0%Ball care17.8% · 17.6%Off. rebounds20.4% · 27.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Guaros de Lara   ■ Centauros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guaros de Lara wins
3
Centauros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/23HLlaneros86-72
22/03/23AToros de Aragua87-75
21/03/23AFrontinos99-81
19/03/23ABroncos56-100
11/09/22HHeroes de Falcon89-96
10/09/22HHeroes de Falcon81-77
04/09/22AGaiteros del Zulia92-79
03/09/22ABrillantes60-89
01/09/22AHeroes de Falcon79-106
26/08/22HToros de Aragua75-61
Centauroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23HToros de Aragua64-56
24/03/23HLlaneros64-68
19/03/23ALlaneros87-82
18/03/23ATrotamundos70-74
14/10/22ATrotamundos66-88
11/10/22HTrotamundos78-85
10/10/22HTrotamundos96-72
09/10/22HTrotamundos66-79
07/10/22ATrotamundos65-63
06/10/22ATrotamundos96-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game82.086.080.7
Allowed / game82.072.085.3
Point differential+0.0+14.0-4.7
Avg total164.0158.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Centauros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game71.264.078.5
Allowed / game70.062.078.0
Point differential+1.2+2.0+0.5
Avg total141.2126.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cocodrilos440100%76.861.0+15.8
2 Piratas de La Guaira440100%81.869.2+12.5
3 Guaiqueries43175%93.280.5+12.8
4 Brillantes43175%89.080.5+8.5
5 Gladiadores43175%85.877.8+8.0
6 Guaros de Lara43175%82.082.0+0.0
7 Broncos53260%89.273.0+16.2
8 Heroes de Falcon53260%87.481.8+5.6
9 Trotamundos53260%77.477.8-0.4
10 Gaiteros del Zulia53260%76.882.0-5.2
11 Centauros42250%71.270.0+1.2
12 Panteras52340%72.470.4+2.0
13 Marinos31233%75.785.0-9.3
14 Llaneros41325%74.079.0-5.0
15 Toros de Aragua41325%71.278.5-7.2
16 Gigantes41325%77.585.2-7.8
17 Diablos41325%68.084.0-16.0
18 Cangrejeros51420%76.887.4-10.6
19 Spartans3030%63.773.7-10.0
20 Frontinos4040%74.592.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guaros de Lara2519121773
Centauros2020161268
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