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Guaros de Lara vs Centauros Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 101-90
31-24 18-26 27-22 25-18
Position#3
Record8-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#12
Record5-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game74.3
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Bolivariano de Barquisimeto (Barquisimeto)
Other2023
Meetings · Guaros de Lara v Centauros
14 Apr 2023
GUAR101
CENT90
28 Mar 2023
GUAR73
CENT68
11 Jul 2022
GUAR81
CENT87
10 Jul 2022
GUAR83
CENT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Centauros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#19
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 71
A21/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
87-75
87
75
+12
81avg 71
A22/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
69avg 71
H25/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
73-68
73
68
+5
60avg 71
H28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
47avg 71
H29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 71
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 71
H05/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 71
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
85avg 71
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
83-65
83
65
+18
58avg 71
A12/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
18-16
25-18
28-27
19-24
28-20
26-16
14-15
26-11
21-23
18-14
21-24
25-20
19-20
12-16
17-12
21-16
14-23
19-26
9-9
22-14
14-23
28-15
16-13
21-20
17-17
14-23
30-8
11-18
29-14
14-14
26-13
21-21
24-22
24-24
23-33
18-22
21-16
21-16
23-11
155.2Avg total
82.5Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.175.2155.3+4.973%
Season at home (5)76.868.2145.0+8.680%
Season away (6)82.881.0163.8+1.867%
Last 10 (10)82.572.7155.2+9.880%
Last 5 (5)83.471.4154.8+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.882.0150.8-13.220%
vs Similar (13)78.084.4162.4-6.431%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.069.8153.8+14.2100%
This opponent (Centauros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentaurosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCentauros
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#14
W
87-82
87
82
+5
72avg 57
A19/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
64-68
64
68
-4
50avg 57
H24/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
64-56
64
56
+8
48avg 57
H26/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
61avg 57
A28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
81avg 57
H30/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
65-80
65
80
-15
44avg 57
H02/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
71-81
71
81
-10
57avg 57
A06/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
67-63
67
63
+4
55avg 57
A08/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
71avg 57
A09/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
65-83
65
83
-18
26avg 57
H12/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
21-17
20-18
20-20
19-28
19-10
12-9
14-21
15-14
18-17
17-9
14-16
20-25
20-19
16-12
12-17
17-27
21-13
23-21
24-22
14-22
23-14
15-28
13-16
10-31
23-23
19-13
19-14
14-9
16-23
14-11
23-20
15-14
25-20
21-20
18-20
22-18
16-21
16-21
11-23
145.8Avg total
71.5Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.474.3145.6-2.945%
Season at home (5)68.674.0142.6-5.440%
Season away (6)73.774.5148.2-0.850%
Last 10 (10)71.574.3145.8-2.850%
Last 5 (5)69.476.2145.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.678.6149.2-8.020%
vs Similar (20)78.778.1156.8+0.660%
vs Weaker (5)82.873.0155.8+9.8100%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
Guaros de LaraCentauros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frontinos
#19
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A21/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H05/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/04
Superliga
79.7Avg total
41.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.679.2+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.578.4+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.479.9-0.862%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.079.7+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.477.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.840.277.0-3.440%-
vs Similar (13)39.740.880.5-1.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.235.478.7+7.883%-
This opponent (Centauros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentaurosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H26/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H30/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H02/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A06/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A08/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A09/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H12/04
Superliga
76.6Avg total
37.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.977.4-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.937.274.1-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)40.040.480.4-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.276.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.074.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.838.076.8+0.840%-
vs Similar (20)38.040.078.0-2.035%-
vs Weaker (5)40.235.475.6+4.880%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.2
54.5%
50.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.2
33.6%
31.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.011.9
66.1%
65.6%11.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Centaurostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Centauros: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.116.9
42.1%
50.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.8
28.3%
31.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.214.6
65.8%
65.6%14.6
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guaros de Lara
WLWWWLWWWW
Centauros
LWWLLWLWLW
#3
League position
#12
+12.5
Net rating
-1.3
105.8
Offensive rating
96.2
93.3
Defensive rating
97.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
42.2%
43.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.6%
3-point %
28.3%
58.9%
Assist %
48.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 96.2Defence93.3 · 97.6Shooting52.8% · 42.2%3-point %33.6% · 28.3%Ball care15.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds23.8% · 33.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Guaros de Lara   ■ Centauros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Guaros de Lara wins
3
Centauros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/23ACentauros83-65
10/04/23ATrotamundos92-100
08/04/23HTrotamundos80-59
05/04/23HFrontinos82-68
02/04/23ACentauros80-65
29/03/23HBrillantes63-74
28/03/23HCentauros73-68
25/03/23HLlaneros86-72
22/03/23AToros de Aragua87-75
21/03/23AFrontinos99-81
Centauroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/23HGuaros de Lara65-83
09/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia79-74
08/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia67-63
06/04/23AHeroes de Falcon71-81
02/04/23HGuaros de Lara65-80
30/03/23HBrillantes85-83
28/03/23AGuaros de Lara68-73
26/03/23HToros de Aragua64-56
24/03/23HLlaneros64-68
19/03/23ALlaneros87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game80.176.882.8
Allowed / game75.268.281.0
Point differential+4.9+8.6+1.8
Avg total155.3145.0163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%60%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Centauros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL45%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game71.468.673.7
Allowed / game74.374.074.5
Point differential-2.9-5.4-0.8
Avg total145.6142.6148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores119282%81.873.7+8.1
2 Piratas de La Guaira108280%80.971.8+9.1
3 Broncos129375%90.775.8+14.9
4 Cocodrilos118373%73.868.5+5.4
5 Guaros de Lara118373%80.175.2+4.9
6 Brillantes117464%82.677.5+5.2
7 Trotamundos117464%80.679.7+0.9
8 Guaiqueries116555%86.681.6+5.0
9 Heroes de Falcon116555%83.380.4+2.9
10 Panteras116555%76.073.3+2.7
11 Gaiteros del Zulia126650%74.678.7-4.1
12 Centauros115645%71.474.3-2.9
13 Marinos83538%82.189.6-7.5
14 Llaneros114736%78.281.0-2.8
15 Gigantes93633%76.881.7-4.9
16 Frontinos124833%80.788.7-8.0
17 Spartans103730%73.876.8-3.0
18 Cangrejeros92722%77.886.2-8.4
19 Diablos102820%75.586.9-11.4
20 Toros de Aragua121118%71.882.1-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guaros de Lara31182725101
Centauros2426221890
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