Guaros de Lara vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 22:15

Final 73-78

16-23 15-14 22-16 20-25

Position#3

Record3-0

FormLWWWW

Points / game91.7

Allowed / game77.0

Guaros de Lara

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#7

Record2-1

FormWLLLW

Points / game71.3

Allowed / game66.7

Americas League

Other2018

Meetings · Guaros de Lara v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guaros de Lara winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guaros de LaraLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cimarrones del Choco

83-81

H14/11

South American League

Aguada

80-67

+13

A15/11

South American League

Quilmes

88-85 OT

H16/11

South American League

Estudiantes

77-74

H06/12

South American League

Estudiantes

88-83

H07/12

South American League

Estudiantes

68-74

-6

A14/12

South American League

Estudiantes

82-79

A15/12

South American League

Correcaminos de Colon

#12

88-70

+18

A09/02

Americas League

San Salvador

#13

94-73

+21

H10/02

Americas League

Bauru

93-88

A11/02

Americas League

16-14

30-22

16-18

21-27

18-11

20-24

17-15

25-17

20-21

17-26

26-13

14-17

21-21

17-17

17-16

22-20

12-19

28-18

23-22

25-24

17-12

22-26

14-17

15-19

18-15

27-26

22-16

15-22

27-18

19-15

23-22

23-17

25-23

28-14

18-19

25-22

24-18

20-23

24-25

161.5Avg total

84.1Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	91.7	77.0	168.7	+14.7	100%
Season at home (1)	94.0	73.0	167.0	+21.0	100%
Season away (2)	90.5	79.0	169.5	+11.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	77.4	161.5	+6.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	76.8	161.8	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	90.5	86.5	177.0	+4.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	89.6	81.2	170.7	+8.4	85%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

#13

91-92

-1

A06/02

Champions League

Quimsa

88-91

-3

A09/02

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

78-86

-8

A11/02

Liga A

Real Betis

#18

89-83

H11/02

ACB

Salta

#20

60-82

-22

A13/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

98-94

H17/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

84-85

-1

A01/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

69-87

-18

A02/03

Liga A

Unicaja

57-72

-15

H04/03

ACB

Boca Juniors

#14

82-72

+10

A05/03

Liga A

19-32

27-25

32-24

13-11

15-21

22-20

21-25

30-25

21-22

18-14

22-16

17-34

29-17

17-22

11-21

32-23

12-17

17-21

22-18

9-26

24-24

26-21

26-24

22-25

27-22

17-18

23-14

17-31

20-21

25-17

20-26

4-23

13-20

15-15

14-12

15-25

22-15

10-15

21-15

29-27

164.0Avg total

79.6Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	71.3	66.7	138.0	+4.7	67%
Season at home (2)	66.5	67.0	133.5	-0.5	50%
Season away (1)	81.0	66.0	147.0	+15.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	84.4	164.0	-4.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	82.0	160.0	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	75.7	86.0	161.7	-10.3	0%
vs Similar (20)	82.3	81.0	163.3	+1.2	60%
vs Weaker (4)	82.2	74.0	156.2	+8.2	75%

This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Guaros de LaraEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.5	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.8	38.8	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.6	18.1	39.7	+3.5	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	17.9	40.3	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.7	20.7	37.3	-4.0	17%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.8	19.1	41.0	+2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	20.3	43.6	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.8	20.0	44.8	+4.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	21.5	44.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.5	20.1	43.6	+3.3	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.1	38.9	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.2	35.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.5	18.7	38.2	+0.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.8	14.8	31.5	+2.0	50%	-

Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cimarrones del Choco

46-36

+10

H14/11

South American League

Aguada

38-35

A15/11

South American League

Quilmes

37-47

-10

H16/11

South American League

Estudiantes

38-38

H06/12

South American League

Estudiantes

40-37

H07/12

South American League

Estudiantes

39-38

A14/12

South American League

Estudiantes

45-41

A15/12

South American League

Correcaminos de Colon

#12

46-33

+13

A09/02

Americas League

San Salvador

#13

48-40

H10/02

Americas League

Bauru

49-40

A11/02

Americas League

81.1Avg total

42.6Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	38.5	83.2	+6.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.6	38.6	85.2	+7.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.1	38.4	81.5	+4.8	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	38.5	81.1	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	38.4	83.8	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	43.0	43.5	86.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	45.1	38.2	83.3	+6.9	78%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

#13

46-57

-11

A06/02

Champions League

Quimsa

37-41

-4

A09/02

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

39-36

A11/02

Liga A

Real Betis

#18

46-39

H11/02

ACB

Salta

#20

29-38

-9

A13/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

50-45

H17/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

44-40

A01/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

45-38

A02/03

Liga A

Unicaja

28-35

-7

H04/03

ACB

Boca Juniors

#14

32-30

A05/03

Liga A

79.5Avg total

39.6Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	37.8	77.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	36.1	79.1	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	39.5	76.7	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	39.9	79.5	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	37.6	77.4	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.3	40.7	78.0	-3.3	17%	-
vs Similar (20)	41.3	37.9	79.2	+3.4	70%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.2	33.2	71.5	+5.0	75%	-

This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	20.5	43.4	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	21.2	41.6	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	23.0	18.0	41.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.6	21.1	42.8	+0.5	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	20.4	43.1	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.6	19.9	41.5	+1.7	65%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.7	44.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	22.1	44.1	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	21.3	44.1	+1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.9	21.8	44.7	+1.0	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.9	41.5	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	22.3	41.3	-3.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	25.0	43.8	-6.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	26.2	43.6	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.5	23.3	42.8	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.1	22.6	41.8	-3.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.2	16.2	38.5	+6.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	42.6	86.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	42.6	87.5	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.1	42.6	85.6	+0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	38.1	78.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	38.4	78.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	42.0	39.0	81.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	44.5	43.0	87.4	+1.5	52%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	42.1	82.2	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	41.5	80.0	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	42.7	84.4	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	44.5	84.5	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	44.4	82.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	38.3	45.3	83.7	-7.0	17%	-
vs Similar (20)	40.8	42.5	83.3	-1.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.5	35.0	74.5	+4.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 79.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	19.3	55.9%	-	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	8.9	29.1%	-	26.7
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.5	76.3%	-	14.5

They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	21.6	51.6%	-	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	7.0	31.8%	-	21.0
🏀 Free throws	20.5	15.5	75.6%	-	15.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.3	53.1%	-	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	8.8	29.1%	-	26.4
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.5	75.0%	-	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	22.1	50.0%	-	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.8	7.2	33.0%	-	21.6
🏀 Free throws	20.4	15.6	76.7%	-	15.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Guaros de Lara wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/17	Estudiantes v Guaros de Lara	79-82
14/12/17	Estudiantes v Guaros de Lara	74-68
07/12/17	Guaros de Lara v Estudiantes	88-83
06/12/17	Guaros de Lara v Estudiantes	77-74
17/10/17	Guaros de Lara v Estudiantes	75-73

Guaros de Laralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/02/18	A	Bauru	93-88
10/02/18	H	San Salvador	94-73
09/02/18	A	Correcaminos de Colon	88-70
15/12/17	A	Estudiantes	82-79
14/12/17	A	Estudiantes	68-74
07/12/17	H	Estudiantes	88-83
06/12/17	H	Estudiantes	77-74
16/11/17	H	Quilmes	88-85 OT
15/11/17	A	Aguada	80-67
14/11/17	H	Cimarrones del Choco	83-81

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/18	A	Boca Juniors	82-72
04/03/18	H	Unicaja	57-72
02/03/18	A	Obras Sanitarias	69-87
01/03/18	A	Hispano Americano	84-85
17/02/18	H	Obras Sanitarias	98-94
13/02/18	A	Salta	60-82
11/02/18	H	Real Betis	89-83
11/02/18	A	Olimpico	78-86
09/02/18	A	Quimsa	88-91
06/02/18	A	Venezia	91-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guaros de Lara

Americas League 2018

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	91.7	94.0	90.5
Allowed / game	77.0	73.0	79.0
Point differential	+14.7	+21.0	+11.5
Avg total	168.7	167.0	169.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	100%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Americas League 2018

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLW	67%
Home	LW	50%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	67%	50%	100%
Points / game	71.3	66.5	81.0
Allowed / game	66.7	67.0	66.0
Point differential	+4.7	-0.5	+15.0
Avg total	138.0	133.5	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	50%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	6	6	0	100%	88.0	69.5	+18.5
2	Regatas	3	3	0	100%	86.0	70.3	+15.7
3	Guaros de Lara	3	3	0	100%	91.7	77.0	+14.7
4	Bauru	3	2	1	67%	81.7	70.0	+11.7
5	Mogi	6	4	2	67%	83.5	76.8	+6.7
6	Ferro	6	4	2	67%	79.7	74.2	+5.5
7	Estudiantes	3	2	1	67%	71.3	66.7	+4.7
8	Paulistano	3	1	2	33%	87.3	85.3	+2.0
9	Soles	3	1	2	33%	88.3	86.3	+2.0
10	Leones De Ponce	3	1	2	33%	76.0	80.0	-4.0
11	Fuerza Regia	6	2	4	33%	72.3	79.0	-6.7
12	Correcaminos de Colon	3	1	2	33%	66.3	78.7	-12.3
13	San Salvador	3	0	3	0%	71.3	85.3	-14.0
14	Capitanes de Arecibo	3	0	3	0%	80.3	94.7	-14.3
15	Hebraica y Macabi	3	0	3	0%	65.3	81.7	-16.3
16	Espanol de Talca	3	0	3	0%	67.3	105.0	-37.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Guaros de Lara	16	15	22	20	73
Estudiantes	23	14	16	25	78

← all games of the day

Guaros de Lara vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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