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Estudiantes vs Guaros de Lara Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-68
12-17 26-22 17-14 19-15
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game74.0
South-America
vs
South-America
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game74.2
South-AmericaSouth American LeagueSouth American League - Final
Other2017-18
Meetings · Estudiantes v Guaros de Lara
14 Dec 2017
EST79
GUAR82
13 Dec 2017
EST74
GUAR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guaros de Lara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banvit
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A14/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#5
L
95-99
95
99
-4
A19/11
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H03/12
Liga A
Murcia
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H03/12
ACB
Venezia
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H06/12
Champions League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A06/12
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A07/12
South American League
Valencia
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H10/12
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H12/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
14-32
19-23
20-13
30-26
28-25
18-21
19-27
12-25
14-10
27-19
20-19
15-18
18-22
22-22
27-21
19-23
24-14
16-23
20-31
20-18
13-22
23-16
25-24
21-21
17-17
16-17
20-22
19-12
18-28
22-23
24-25
21-21
15-18
14-17
23-15
18-14
23-20
15-21
22-30
166.2Avg total
81.1Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.174.0148.1+0.150%
Season at home (2)75.070.5145.5+4.5100%
Season away (6)73.875.2149.0-1.333%
Last 10 (10)81.185.1166.2-4.020%
Last 5 (5)77.880.2158.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.080.0157.0-3.036%
vs Similar (13)76.278.9155.1-2.831%
vs Weaker (6)79.271.8151.0+7.383%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marinos
#5
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H05/07
LPB
Tenerife
#1
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A24/09
Intercontinental Cup
Estudiantes
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H17/10
South American League
Malvin
#13
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A18/10
South American League
Universo/Vitoria
#12
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A19/10
South American League
Cimarrones del Choco
#8
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H14/11
South American League
Aguada
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A15/11
South American League
Quilmes
#6
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
H16/11
South American League
Estudiantes
#9
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H06/12
South American League
Estudiantes
#9
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H07/12
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
33-18
21-16
25-15
17-14
22-22
16-20
16-20
24-13
19-23
17-19
15-18
22-21
19-15
18-17
22-16
21-13
17-14
24-13
27-22
16-14
30-22
16-18
21-27
18-11
20-24
17-15
25-17
20-21
17-26
26-13
14-17
21-21
17-17
17-16
22-20
12-19
28-18
23-22
25-24
157.4Avg total
83.2Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.674.2156.9+8.4100%
Season at home (5)82.279.2161.4+3.0100%
Season away (3)83.366.0149.3+17.3100%
Last 10 (10)83.274.2157.4+9.090%
Last 5 (5)83.278.0161.2+5.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)88.085.0173.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)92.882.6175.4+10.186%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
EstudiantesGuaros de Lara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banvit
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A14/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#5
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A19/11
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H03/12
Liga A
Murcia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H03/12
ACB
Venezia
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/12
Champions League
Guaros de Lara
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A06/12
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/12
South American League
Valencia
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/12
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/12
Champions League
78.6Avg total
38.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.575.2-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.537.172.6-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)37.939.977.8-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.078.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.275.2-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.441.175.5-6.70%-
vs Similar (13)37.537.575.1+0.054%-
vs Weaker (6)39.036.075.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marinos
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H05/07
LPB
Tenerife
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A24/09
Intercontinental Cup
Estudiantes
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H17/10
South American League
Malvin
#13
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A18/10
South American League
Universo/Vitoria
#12
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A19/10
South American League
Cimarrones del Choco
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H14/11
South American League
Aguada
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A15/11
South American League
Quilmes
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H16/11
South American League
Estudiantes
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H06/12
South American League
Estudiantes
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/12
South American League
78.3Avg total
41.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.284.9+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.439.687.0+7.981%-
Last 30 away (14)43.738.982.6+4.971%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.978.3+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.678.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)37.047.084.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.239.185.3+7.279%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.5
52.0%
-39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.6
28.7%
-25.8
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
-13.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estudiantes wins
3
Guaros de Lara wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/17HAEK Athens78-85
10/12/17HValencia73-71
07/12/17AGuaros de Lara83-88
06/12/17AGuaros de Lara74-77
06/12/17HVenezia81-80
03/12/17HMurcia79-91
03/12/17HSan Lorenzo82-83
30/11/17HInstituto de Cordoba86-95 OT
19/11/17AGran Canaria95-99
14/11/17ABanvit80-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/17HEstudiantes88-83
06/12/17HEstudiantes77-74
16/11/17HQuilmes88-85 OT
15/11/17AAguada80-67
14/11/17HCimarrones del Choco83-81
19/10/17AUniverso/Vitoria89-62
18/10/17AMalvin81-69
17/10/17HEstudiantes75-73
24/09/17ATenerife71-76
05/07/17HMarinos100-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
South American League 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game74.175.073.8
Allowed / game74.070.575.2
Point differential+0.1+4.5-1.3
Avg total148.1145.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guaros de Lara
South American League 2017-18
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.682.283.3
Allowed / game74.279.266.0
Point differential+8.4+3.0+17.3
Avg total156.9161.4149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (5)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Guaros de Lara880100%82.674.2+8.4
2 Pinheiros64267%86.073.7+12.3
3 Flamengo64267%81.072.5+8.5
4 Olimpia Kings64267%80.076.5+3.5
5 Regatas Lima32167%73.773.0+0.7
6 Quilmes63350%85.278.8+6.3
7 Aguada63350%82.080.5+1.5
8 Cimarrones del Choco63350%84.383.8+0.5
9 Estudiantes84450%74.174.0+0.1
10 San Martin31233%75.073.3+1.7
11 Deportivo Calero31233%81.783.7-2.0
12 Universo/Vitoria31233%68.379.0-10.7
13 Malvin3030%64.772.3-7.7
14 Hebraica y Macabi3030%64.081.0-17.0
15 Hr Portoviejo3030%75.794.7-19.0
16 CDSC Osorno3030%71.0105.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes1226171974
Guaros de Lara1722141568
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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