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Guelph vs Waterloo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 64-63
18-14 12-19 16-12 18-18
Position#24
Record4-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#46
Record0-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.8
Allowed / game79.2
CanadaU Sports
Other2022-23
Meetings · Guelph v Waterloo
08 Nov 2023
GUEL69
WATE81
21 Jan 2023
GUEL64
WATE63
05 Feb 2022
GUEL v WATE
upcoming
23 Nov 2019
GUEL101
WATE69
09 Feb 2019
GUEL85
WATE79
14 Feb 2018
GUEL100
WATE86
18 Feb 2017
GUEL76
WATE74
21 Jan 2015
GUEL92
WATE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Waterloo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
York
#41
W
97-77
97
77
+20
H19/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A26/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A26/11
U Sports
McMaster
#22
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H01/12
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#29
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A04/12
U Sports
TMU
#14
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A05/01
U Sports
Toronto
#21
L
85-99
85
99
-14
H07/01
U Sports
Carleton
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A15/01
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A15/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#46
W
94-50
94
50
+44
A21/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
19-18
27-22
20-22
23-20
24-15
27-17
16-21
19-20
22-20
27-14
21-22
22-21
24-27
20-15
14-22
26-12
18-26
26-29
15-29
19-15
15-29
18-17
17-20
17-27
23-25
24-26
21-21
19-16
19-22
14-23
21-17
18-22
17-22
12-16
20-21
19-9
21-9
23-16
31-16
162.5Avg total
82.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.183.2167.2+0.931%
Season at home (4)88.288.2176.5+0.025%
Season away (9)82.280.9163.1+1.333%
Last 10 (10)82.979.6162.5+3.340%
Last 5 (5)77.677.8155.4-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)81.092.9173.9-11.97%
vs Similar (6)88.092.8180.8-4.817%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.274.9164.1+14.390%
This opponent (Waterloo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WaterlooCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brock
#9
L
53-87
53
87
-34
A19/11
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#44
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H26/11
U Sports
Queens
#8
L
49-90
49
90
-41
H26/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#45
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A03/12
U Sports
Nipissing
#42
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A04/12
U Sports
Carleton
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H07/01
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#4
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H07/01
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#29
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A14/01
U Sports
Windsor
#7
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A14/01
U Sports
Guelph
#24
L
50-94
50
94
-44
H21/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
8-23
13-23
20-14
19-17
20-14
15-23
21-23
6-21
16-23
12-33
15-13
10-10
19-26
10-13
19-12
18-18
16-16
20-19
12-22
17-18
20-17
18-26
16-19
15-10
18-17
5-18
16-21
19-21
17-28
24-14
24-29
17-11
12-18
15-24
18-16
9-19
9-21
16-23
16-31
141.3Avg total
62.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)59.879.2139.1-19.40%
Season at home (6)58.281.0139.2-22.80%
Season away (7)61.377.7139.0-16.40%
Last 10 (10)62.279.1141.3-16.90%
Last 5 (5)64.280.2144.4-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)65.481.7147.1-16.35%
vs Similar (4)69.071.8140.8-2.825%
vs Weaker (5)79.272.8152.0+6.480%
This opponent (Guelph) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
GuelphWaterloo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
York
#41
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H19/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A26/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/11
U Sports
McMaster
#22
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H01/12
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#29
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A04/12
U Sports
TMU
#14
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A05/01
U Sports
Toronto
#21
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H07/01
U Sports
Carleton
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A15/01
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A15/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#46
W
40-18
40
18
+22
A21/01
U Sports
80.5Avg total
41.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.383.9-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.245.689.8-1.350%-
Last 30 away (18)38.241.779.9-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.080.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.276.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.946.585.4-7.629%-
vs Similar (6)43.846.790.5-2.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.136.777.8+4.470%-
This opponent (Waterloo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WaterlooLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brock
#9
L
20-50
20
50
-30
A19/11
U Sports
Ontario Univ.
#44
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H26/11
U Sports
Queens
#8
L
22-44
22
44
-22
H26/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#45
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A03/12
U Sports
Nipissing
#42
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A04/12
U Sports
Carleton
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/01
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#4
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H07/01
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#29
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A14/01
U Sports
Windsor
#7
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/01
U Sports
Guelph
#24
L
18-40
18
40
-22
H21/01
U Sports
67.2Avg total
29.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.338.170.4-5.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.337.970.2-5.643%-
Last 30 away (16)32.238.370.6-6.131%-
Last 10 (10)29.737.567.2-7.830%-
Last 5 (5)30.636.066.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)30.339.269.5-8.929%-
vs Similar (4)36.035.571.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (5)37.435.873.2+1.660%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Guelph wins
1
Waterloo wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23Waterloo v Guelph50-94
11/01/20Waterloo v Guelph69-79
23/11/19Guelph v Waterloo101-69
10/02/19Guelph v Waterloo85-79
10/01/19Waterloo v Guelph59-65
15/02/18Guelph v Waterloo100-86
10/02/18Waterloo v Guelph87-76
19/02/17Guelph v Waterloo76-74
14/02/16Waterloo v Guelph75-90
22/01/15Guelph v Waterloo92-60
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23AWaterloo94-50
15/01/23AUniversity of Ottawa67-81
15/01/23ACarleton73-78
07/01/23HToronto85-99
05/01/23ATMU69-81
04/12/22AWest. Ontario Univ.85-96
01/12/22HMcMaster80-85
26/11/22AAlgoma89-76
26/11/22AAlgoma90-73
19/11/22HYork97-77
Waterloolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HGuelph50-94
14/01/23AWindsor62-69
14/01/23AWest. Ontario Univ.84-92
07/01/23HUniversity of Ottawa54-66
07/01/23HCarleton71-80
04/12/22ANipissing66-75
03/12/22ALaurentian58-61
26/11/22HQueens49-90
26/11/22HOntario Univ.75-77
19/11/22ABrock53-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph
U Sports 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %31%25%33%
Points / game84.188.282.2
Allowed / game83.288.280.9
Point differential+0.9+0.0+1.3
Avg total167.2176.5163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%11%
Waterloo
U Sports 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.858.261.3
Allowed / game79.281.077.7
Point differential-19.4-22.8-16.4
Avg total139.1139.2139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Manitoba1312192%85.572.1+13.4
2 Queens1211192%88.871.3+17.5
3 StFX1412286%93.074.1+18.9
4 Victoria1412286%95.977.0+18.9
5 University of Ottawa1412286%83.665.7+17.9
6 Carleton1411379%81.872.3+9.5
7 Brock1310377%79.570.0+9.5
8 Winnipeg1310377%82.576.1+6.5
9 Lakehead1310377%81.176.8+4.3
10 UQAM86275%76.970.2+6.6
11 Toronto1511473%82.476.3+6.1
12 UPEI128467%83.376.2+7.1
13 Trinity Western1510567%83.582.0+1.5
14 TMU138562%83.874.5+9.2
15 Windsor138562%86.178.2+7.9
16 UBC138562%86.882.5+4.3
17 Alberta138562%89.586.2+3.3
18 Laurier159660%79.077.9+1.1
19 Laval106460%75.776.0-0.3
20 Dalhousie148657%82.675.9+6.7
21 Brandon148657%89.484.6+4.7
22 McMaster148657%78.177.2+0.9
23 Concordia95456%74.176.2-2.1
24 West. Ontario Univ.137654%89.284.8+4.4
25 UFV137654%84.685.1-0.5
26 Mount Royal137654%82.183.9-1.8
27 Saint Marys126650%82.485.4-3.0
28 Calgary156940%82.982.0+0.9
29 Memorial104640%81.489.6-8.2
30 Thompson Rivers135838%74.278.9-4.8
31 UNB135838%78.083.4-5.4
32 Regina135838%77.582.9-5.5
33 UNBC135838%80.286.3-6.2
34 Cape Breton135838%83.589.7-6.2
35 Bishop's83538%75.276.6-1.4
36 UBC Okanagan1551033%83.887.1-3.3
37 Guelph134931%84.183.2+0.9
38 Nipissing134931%74.782.2-7.5
39 Lethbridge1441029%77.683.6-6.0
40 Saskatchewan1331023%76.783.4-6.7
41 McGill92722%71.673.8-2.2
42 Laurentian1431121%67.682.0-14.4
43 Acadia1221017%73.087.6-14.6
44 Ontario Univ.1321115%70.880.0-9.2
45 York1321115%71.285.5-14.3
46 Algoma141137%67.490.7-23.4
47 Waterloo130130%59.879.2-19.4
48 MacEwan130130%65.885.9-20.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guelph1812161864
Waterloo1419121863
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