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Guelph vs McMaster Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 80-85
22-21 24-27 20-15 14-22
Position#24
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#22
Record3-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game80.0
CanadaU Sports
Other2022-23
Meetings · Guelph v McMaster
30 Nov 2022
GUEL80
MCMA85
10 Nov 2021
GUEL121
MCMA123
11 Jan 2019
GUEL80
MCMA97
27 Jan 2018
GUEL83
MCMA80
14 Jan 2017
GUEL72
MCMA73
26 Feb 2016
GUEL76
MCMA89
28 Jan 2015
GUEL74
MCMA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
McMaster winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algoma
#47
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H26/02
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H26/02
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#25
W
108-100
108
100
+8
H10/03
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#25
L
95-104
95
104
-9
A12/03
U Sports
Lakehead
#11
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A05/11
U Sports
Laurier
#15
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H12/11
U Sports
Laurier
#15
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
A17/11
U Sports
York
#41
W
97-77
97
77
+20
H19/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A26/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A26/11
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
22-21
22-22
24-24
9-12
28-17
27-20
32-24
28-22
24-23
30-20
26-35
20-15
22-28
27-33
26-28
12-16
31-24
19-29
15-22
22-27
30-31
11-12
28-22
17-23
23-17
24-17
25-32
31-15
19-18
27-22
20-22
23-20
24-15
27-17
16-21
19-20
22-20
27-14
21-22
180.7Avg total
93.2Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.085.2175.2+4.850%
Season at home (2)94.084.5178.5+9.550%
Season away (4)88.085.5173.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)93.287.5180.7+5.760%
Last 5 (5)92.684.0176.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.893.1173.9-12.313%
vs Similar ◀ (4)93.092.5185.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (11)87.077.3164.3+9.782%
This opponent (McMaster) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McMasterCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakehead
#15
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H20/03
U Sports
Brock
#7
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A24/03
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#4
L
67-97
67
97
-30
A05/11
U Sports
Carleton
#3
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A06/11
U Sports
York
#41
W
89-61
89
61
+28
H12/11
U Sports
Queens
#8
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H13/11
U Sports
TMU
#14
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H19/11
U Sports
Brock
#9
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H20/11
U Sports
Lakehead
#11
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A26/11
U Sports
Lakehead
#11
L
85-107
85
107
-22
A27/11
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
25-17
30-20
18-25
16-22
13-25
18-23
28-18
13-21
22-26
13-32
19-18
26-13
17-24
20-19
5-26
15-22
20-9
23-16
31-14
18-17
19-27
8-22
20-13
15-15
16-16
16-20
28-17
18-25
27-27
10-14
12-9
30-16
12-12
21-25
18-18
27-21
26-37
13-21
19-28
157.6Avg total
76.6Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.680.0154.6-5.438%
Season at home (4)74.070.8144.8+3.250%
Season away (4)75.289.2164.5-14.025%
Last 10 (10)76.681.0157.6-4.440%
Last 5 (5)74.680.0154.6-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.990.2163.2-17.317%
vs Similar ◀ (4)85.888.0173.8-2.250%
vs Weaker (14)90.477.4167.8+12.979%
This opponent (Guelph) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
GuelphMcMaster
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Algoma
#47
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H26/02
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H26/02
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#25
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H10/03
U Sports
West. Ontario Univ.
#25
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/03
U Sports
Lakehead
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A05/11
U Sports
Laurier
#15
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H12/11
U Sports
Laurier
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A17/11
U Sports
York
#41
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H19/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A26/11
U Sports
Algoma
#47
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/11
U Sports
85.5Avg total
45.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.983.0-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.542.985.5-0.454%-
Last 30 away (17)38.242.981.1-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.485.5+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.287.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.044.883.8-5.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)43.547.290.8-3.80%-
vs Weaker (11)40.438.779.1+1.664%-
This opponent (McMaster) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McMasterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakehead
#15
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/03
U Sports
Brock
#7
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A24/03
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/11
U Sports
Carleton
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A06/11
U Sports
York
#41
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H12/11
U Sports
Queens
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H13/11
U Sports
TMU
#14
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H19/11
U Sports
Brock
#9
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H20/11
U Sports
Lakehead
#11
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A26/11
U Sports
Lakehead
#11
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A27/11
U Sports
80.8Avg total
39.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.183.0+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.038.280.2+3.854%-
Last 30 away (17)41.743.485.1-1.729%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.280.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.684.2-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.247.384.5-10.28%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)45.040.585.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (14)44.936.080.9+8.964%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Guelph wins
8
McMaster wins
DateGameScore
13/11/21McMaster v Guelph92-82
11/11/21Guelph v McMaster121-123 OT
10/11/19McMaster v Guelph95-75
21/02/19McMaster v Guelph78-75
14/02/19McMaster v Guelph75-77
12/01/19Guelph v McMaster80-97
27/01/18Guelph v McMaster83-80
26/10/17McMaster v Guelph84-79
15/01/17Guelph v McMaster72-73
24/11/16McMaster v Guelph92-77
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22AAlgoma89-76
26/11/22AAlgoma90-73
19/11/22HYork97-77
17/11/22ALaurier96-102 OT
12/11/22HLaurier91-92
05/11/22ALakehead77-91
12/03/22AWest. Ontario Univ.95-104
10/03/22HWest. Ontario Univ.108-100
26/02/22HAlgoma96-73
26/02/22HAlgoma93-87
McMasterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22ALakehead85-107
26/11/22ALakehead81-71
20/11/22HBrock67-75
19/11/22HTMU75-68
13/11/22HQueens65-79
12/11/22HYork89-61
06/11/22ACarleton68-82
05/11/22AUniversity of Ottawa67-97
24/03/22ABrock75-88
20/03/22HLakehead94-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph
U Sports 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game90.094.088.0
Allowed / game85.284.585.5
Point differential+4.8+9.5+2.5
Avg total175.2178.5173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%25%
McMaster
U Sports 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game74.674.075.2
Allowed / game80.070.889.2
Point differential-5.4+3.2-14.0
Avg total154.6144.8164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Queens770100%88.065.3+22.7
2 StFX109190%94.173.2+20.9
3 Brandon87188%95.482.2+13.1
4 Toronto87188%81.173.4+7.8
5 University of Ottawa76186%82.466.3+16.1
6 Brock76186%81.765.7+16.0
7 Carleton76186%86.072.9+13.1
8 Manitoba65183%86.073.3+12.7
9 Concordia65183%71.271.2+0.0
10 Victoria86275%90.677.1+13.5
11 Windsor86275%84.873.5+11.2
12 Lakehead86275%78.675.0+3.6
13 Mount Royal64267%83.575.5+8.0
14 UPEI96367%85.679.2+6.3
15 Winnipeg64267%76.871.5+5.3
16 Regina64267%80.781.3-0.7
17 Dalhousie85362%87.678.0+9.6
18 UNBC85362%81.579.9+1.6
19 UQAM53260%76.671.2+5.4
20 Saint Marys95456%86.787.3-0.7
21 West. Ontario Univ.84450%88.580.9+7.6
22 Guelph63350%90.085.2+4.8
23 UBC63350%84.880.5+4.3
24 Calgary84450%85.080.8+4.2
25 UFV63350%77.378.3-1.0
26 Alberta63350%88.290.0-1.8
27 Laurier84450%76.979.8-2.9
28 Trinity Western84450%80.683.6-3.0
29 TMU73443%87.973.4+14.4
30 Bishop's52340%75.076.4-1.4
31 Laval52340%77.479.2-1.8
32 McMaster83538%74.680.0-5.4
33 Memorial83538%83.091.8-8.8
34 UBC Okanagan62433%82.885.2-2.3
35 UNB93633%79.486.8-7.3
36 Lethbridge82625%77.185.9-8.8
37 Nipissing82625%74.685.1-10.5
38 Cape Breton82625%80.593.9-13.4
39 McGill51420%71.874.0-2.2
40 Saskatchewan61517%79.085.7-6.7
41 Ontario Univ.61517%73.083.0-10.0
42 Thompson Rivers61517%65.580.2-14.7
43 Acadia71614%77.791.1-13.4
44 York71614%69.484.7-15.3
45 Laurentian81712%67.086.2-19.2
46 MacEwan8080%66.589.6-23.1
47 Waterloo6060%55.582.2-26.7
48 Algoma8080%64.091.1-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guelph2224201480
McMaster2127152285
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