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Hamburg vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-80
18-17 31-21 23-22 27-20
Position#14
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game93.5
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game81.2
GermanyBBLRound 10· Edel-optics.de Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Hamburg v Alba Berlin
27 Dec 2026
HAM v ABE
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
HAM99
ABE80
22 Sep 2024
HAM97
ABE80
17 Apr 2024
HAM76
ABE84
16 Apr 2023
HAM63
ABE83
02 Jan 2022
HAM80
ABE88
24 May 2021
HAM73
ABE85
23 Mar 2021
HAM90
ABE75
22 Dec 2019
HAM75
ABE100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
76-95
76
95
-19
65avg 69
H28/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
L
71-101
71
101
-30
60avg 69
H01/11
BBL
Venezia
#9
L
55-90
55
90
-35
34avg 69
A05/11
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
73-85
73
85
-12
63avg 69
A07/11
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
81-92
81
92
-11
77avg 69
A11/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
73-93
73
93
-20
65avg 69
A19/11
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 69
H22/11
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
72-99
72
99
-27
62avg 69
A05/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#7
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
8avg 69
A07/12
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
62avg 69
A09/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
9-29
20-20
26-23
18-24
18-19
15-30
20-28
18-22
7-25
13-20
17-23
14-22
22-22
15-18
22-23
23-22
23-27
19-20
16-23
16-21
19-27
20-20
18-25
26-24
19-20
16-24
23-20
20-19
19-31
19-28
14-21
19-20
15-11
22-29
25-21
21-27
19-21
17-16
19-22
168.2Avg total
75.6Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.193.5172.6-14.40%
Season at home (4)77.092.0169.0-15.00%
Season away (4)81.295.0176.2-13.80%
Last 10 (10)75.692.6168.2-17.00%
Last 5 (5)80.092.6172.6-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.192.8168.9-16.76%
vs Similar (12)84.292.7176.9-8.425%
vs Weaker (1)92.075.0167.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#22
W
90-68
90
68
+22
90avg 79
H19/10
German Cup
Bayern
#1
W
67-61
67
61
+6
55avg 79
H26/10
BBL
Nymburk
#30
W
94-78
94
78
+16
89avg 79
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#4
W
84-70
84
70
+14
79avg 79
A02/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
88-80
88
80
+8
84avg 79
H08/11
BBL
Nymburk
#30
W
88-75
88
75
+13
86avg 79
A12/11
Champions League
Jena
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
82avg 79
H17/11
German Cup
Chemnitz
#11
W
89-85
89
85
+4
91avg 79
A23/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
89-83
89
83
+6
92avg 79
H07/12
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
100-91
100
91
+9
107avg 79
A09/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
23-16
28-12
23-14
20-21
15-17
9-14
23-9
19-22
24-16
26-23
25-17
25-9
10-23
23-21
26-17
17-25
23-20
24-15
24-20
20-19
21-16
20-15
27-25
23-24
22-27
25-6
21-21
19-28
25-20
23-24
22-13
23-8
20-31
23-27
23-17
25-24
22-25
24-18
29-24
164.9Avg total
88.0Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.281.2168.5+6.075%
Season at home (4)84.080.2164.2+3.875%
Season away (4)90.582.2172.8+8.275%
Last 10 (10)88.076.9164.9+11.1100%
Last 5 (5)91.482.4173.8+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.077.7151.7-3.733%
vs Similar (6)80.782.7163.3-2.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.778.0167.7+11.780%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +6.6+6.6
HamburgAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H28/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H01/11
BBL
Venezia
#9
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A05/11
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/11
BBL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A11/11
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A19/11
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H22/11
BBL
Manresa
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A05/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A07/12
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A09/12
Eurocup
82.2Avg total
36.6Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.145.285.4-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.943.184.0-2.329%-
Last 30 away (16)39.547.186.6-7.625%-
Last 10 (10)36.645.682.2-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.282.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.145.882.9-8.812%-
vs Similar (12)43.844.888.7-1.042%-
vs Weaker (1)47.041.088.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#22
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H19/10
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/10
BBL
Nymburk
#30
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A02/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H08/11
BBL
Nymburk
#30
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/11
Champions League
Jena
#7
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H17/11
German Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A23/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H07/12
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A09/12
Champions League
82.9Avg total
41.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.583.1+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.539.482.9+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)43.739.683.4+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.782.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.044.488.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.348.385.7-11.00%-
vs Similar (6)41.740.582.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.437.883.2+7.675%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.5
48.7%
53.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.55.3
24.7%
34.0%15.9
🏀 Free throws20.714.2
68.6%
73.5%14.2
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.6
56.8%
53.8%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.4
38.2%
34.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.613.0
73.9%
73.5%13.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLLLLLLLLL
Alba Berlin
WWWWWWWWWW
#14
League position
#3
-25.6
Net rating
+15.0
93.3
Offensive rating
114.2
118.9
Defensive rating
99.2
44.5%
Effective FG%
57.1%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
21.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
24.7%
3-point %
38.2%
60.5%
Assist %
71.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 114.2Defence118.9 · 99.2Shooting44.5% · 57.1%3-point %24.7% · 38.2%Ball care21.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds33.2% · 30.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)0% · 100%
■ Hamburg   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hamburg wins
9
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Alba Berlin v Hamburg92-77
22/09/24Hamburg v Alba Berlin97-80
17/04/24Hamburg v Alba Berlin76-84
31/03/24Alba Berlin v Hamburg85-65
16/04/23Hamburg v Alba Berlin63-83
28/09/22Alba Berlin v Hamburg81-78
27/04/22Alba Berlin v Hamburg96-81
02/01/22Hamburg v Alba Berlin80-88
24/05/21Hamburg v Alba Berlin73-85
22/05/21Alba Berlin v Hamburg95-83
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25AHapoel Jerusalem76-86
07/12/25AVechta95-97 OT
05/12/25AManresa72-99
22/11/25HLudwigsburg84-88
19/11/25ACedevita Olimpija73-93
11/11/25ASlask Wroclaw81-92
07/11/25ABasketball Braunschweig73-85
05/11/25AVenezia55-90
01/11/25HBamberg71-101
28/10/25HCluj-Napoca76-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25AChalon/Saone100-91
07/12/25HFrankfurt89-83
23/11/25AChemnitz89-85
17/11/25HJena91-78
12/11/25ANymburk88-75
08/11/25HSyntainics MBC88-80
02/11/25ABonn84-70
28/10/25HNymburk94-78
26/10/25HBayern67-61
19/10/25HUlm90-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.177.081.2
Allowed / game93.592.095.0
Point differential-14.4-15.0-13.8
Avg total172.6169.0176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game87.284.090.5
Allowed / game81.280.282.2
Point differential+6.0+3.8+8.2
Avg total168.5164.2172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern98189%85.275.2+10.0
2 Trier108280%89.887.4+2.4
3 Alba Berlin86275%87.281.2+6.0
4 Syntainics MBC107370%85.383.3+2.0
5 Wurzburg107370%80.378.4+1.9
6 Ludwigsburg85362%85.184.4+0.8
7 Bamberg95456%88.682.3+6.2
8 Frankfurt116555%84.582.5+2.0
9 Bonn116555%79.679.7-0.1
10 Ulm105550%81.879.4+2.4
11 Rostock84450%82.881.4+1.4
12 Vechta94544%84.085.4-1.4
13 Jena94544%83.288.8-5.6
14 Chemnitz104640%86.586.0+0.5
15 Basketball Braunschweig103730%81.087.4-6.4
16 Heidelberg102820%79.481.7-2.3
17 Oldenburg101910%80.786.6-5.9
18 Hamburg8080%79.193.5-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg1831232799
Alba Berlin1721222080
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