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Alba Berlin vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 90-68
16-26 23-16 28-12 23-14
Position#2
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#22
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyGerman Cup· Uber Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Ulm
25 Oct 2026
ABE98
ULM82
20 Dec 2025
ABE66
ULM67
19 Oct 2025
ABE90
ULM68
21 May 2025
ABE62
ULM74
09 Nov 2024
ABE96
ULM88
17 Feb 2024
ABE79
ULM87
04 Feb 2024
ABE98
ULM88
19 May 2023
ABE81
ULM93
14 May 2023
ABE64
ULM88
30 Apr 2023
ABE91
ULM79
15 Apr 2022
ABE78
ULM73
01 Jun 2021
ABE92
ULM78
30 May 2021
ABE71
ULM73
19 Dec 2020
ABE93
ULM83
03 Nov 2019
ABE109
ULM89
26 May 2019
ABE v ULM
upcoming
18 May 2019
ABE107
ULM78
02 Apr 2019
ABE92
ULM81
01 May 2018
ABE102
ULM73
03 Oct 2016
ABE94
ULM98
01 Oct 2015
ABE74
ULM54
12 Oct 2014
ABE88
ULM68
15 May 2014
ABE64
ULM71
10 May 2014
ABE86
ULM66
30 Mar 2014
ABE86
ULM80
16 Nov 2013
ABE102
ULM74
20 Oct 2012
ABE80
ULM88
23 Dec 2011
ABE89
ULM58
09 Mar 2011
ABE100
ULM90
25 Oct 2009
ABE78
ULM56
25 Mar 2009
ABE84
ULM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#17
W
101-69
101
69
+32
103avg 77
H08/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 77
H13/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
72avg 77
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
62-74
62
74
-12
50avg 77
H21/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 77
A24/05
BBL
Trier
#12
L
92-97
92
97
-5
89avg 77
H03/10
BBL
Jena
#16
W
97-78
97
78
+19
92avg 77
A05/10
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
67avg 77
H08/10
Champions League
Wurzburg
#5
L
92-96
92
96
-4
87avg 77
A11/10
BBL
Sabah Baku
#37
W
85-76
85
76
+9
83avg 77
A15/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
26-21
17-16
29-16
21-19
22-13
18-20
20-26
27-20
13-25
22-30
21-19
18-22
9-25
13-14
22-13
24-20
21-23
22-19
17-31
35-23
17-20
23-25
17-29
27-15
22-25
23-16
25-22
22-20
21-15
15-25
18-21
22-23
33-28
19-26
18-19
16-16
20-13
24-21
25-26
168.9Avg total
85.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.383.6168.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)88.485.6174.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.292.9171.1-14.612%
vs Similar (7)83.182.7165.9+0.429%
vs Weaker (15)89.178.1167.2+10.967%
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 81
A21/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
53-67
53
67
-14
39avg 81
H24/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
66avg 81
A26/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 81
H28/09
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
W
96-93
96
93
+3
89avg 81
A30/09
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#10
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 81
A02/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
87-80
87
80
+7
82avg 81
H04/10
BBL
Panionios
#19
W
103-96
103
96
+7
94avg 81
H07/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
71-75
71
75
-4
66avg 81
A11/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#16
W
98-94
98
94
+4
92avg 81
A15/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
20-22
22-20
22-17
13-19
19-13
12-17
9-18
21-28
20-20
20-17
16-16
27-27
15-11
26-26
26-17
20-23
28-16
22-26
26-28
26-20
22-32
22-18
23-16
18-10
18-23
21-28
30-19
28-22
24-25
25-24
26-25
20-23
23-17
15-21
13-14
28-17
33-25
19-29
18-23
168.5Avg total
85.3Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.383.2168.5+2.170%
Last 5 (5)90.486.2176.6+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.093.0189.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (12)81.178.3159.4+2.867%
vs Weaker (17)91.083.3174.3+7.771%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
Alba BerlinUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#17
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H08/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H21/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A24/05
BBL
Trier
#12
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H03/10
BBL
Jena
#16
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A05/10
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H08/10
Champions League
Wurzburg
#5
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A11/10
BBL
Sabah Baku
#37
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A15/10
Champions League
84.7Avg total
44.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.383.9+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.383.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)43.740.283.9+3.553%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.284.7+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)47.039.686.6+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.948.886.6-10.912%-
vs Similar (7)44.338.983.1+5.471%-
vs Weaker (15)46.536.482.9+10.180%-
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A21/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H24/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H28/09
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A30/09
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#10
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A02/10
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/10
BBL
Panionios
#19
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H07/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#16
W
61-42
61
42
+19
A15/10
Eurocup
85.3Avg total
44.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.983.6+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.039.686.6+7.480%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.280.5+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.041.385.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.042.890.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.039.087.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (12)41.738.580.2+3.250%-
vs Weaker (17)44.840.985.8+3.971%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
44%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.5
52.7%
51.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.9
35.2%
33.8%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.715.6
71.9%
72.3%15.6
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
44%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.5
52.1%
51.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
33.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.716.0
77.3%
72.3%16.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLWLLLLWW
Ulm
WLWWWWWLLW
#2
League position
#22
+2.5
Net rating
+2.3
108.9
Offensive rating
111.7
106.4
Defensive rating
109.4
52.8%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
20.4%
Turnover %
18.1%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.2%
3-point %
34.9%
64.3%
Assist %
60.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 111.7Defence106.4 · 109.4Shooting52.8% · 52.2%3-point %35.2% · 34.9%Ball care20.4% · 18.1%Off. rebounds35.1% · 33.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alba Berlin wins
8
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
24/05/25Ulm v Alba Berlin93-84
21/05/25Alba Berlin v Ulm62-74
17/05/25Ulm v Alba Berlin94-83
09/03/25Ulm v Alba Berlin101-90 OT
09/11/24Alba Berlin v Ulm96-88
17/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm79-87
04/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm98-88
07/10/23Ulm v Alba Berlin100-88
24/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin83-81
19/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm81-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25ASabah Baku85-76
11/10/25AWurzburg92-96
08/10/25HChalon/Saone76-81
05/10/25AJena97-78
03/10/25HTrier92-97
24/05/25AUlm84-93
21/05/25HUlm62-74
17/05/25AUlm83-94
13/05/25HSyntainics MBC81-78
08/05/25HGottingen101-69
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25ALietkabelis98-94
11/10/25ASyntainics MBC71-75
07/10/25HPanionios103-96
04/10/25HRostock87-80
02/10/25AOldenburg93-86
30/09/25ATurk Telekom96-93
28/09/25HChemnitz94-81
26/06/25ABayern77-81
24/06/25HBayern53-67
21/06/25ABayern81-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
German Cup 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Ulm
German Cup 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier220100%97.078.5+18.5
2 Bamberg220100%99.583.5+16.0
3 Oldenburg220100%79.067.5+11.5
4 Vechta110100%80.070.0+10.0
5 Heidelberg110100%82.073.0+9.0
6 Jena220100%82.578.5+4.0
7 Rostock21150%90.081.0+9.0
8 Ludwigsburg21150%87.089.0-2.0
9 Bonn21150%90.595.5-5.0
10 Wurzburg1010%60.061.0-1.0
11 Frankfurt1010%96.0101.0-5.0
12 Hamburg1010%89.094.0-5.0
13 Crailsheim Merlins1010%78.085.0-7.0
14 Gottingen1010%84.091.0-7.0
15 Giessen1010%70.080.0-10.0
16 Phoenix Hagen1010%82.0101.0-19.0
17 Tubingen1010%67.087.0-20.0
18 Bremerhaven1010%75.097.0-22.0
19 Syntainics MBC1010%78.0105.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1623282390
Ulm2616121468
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