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Alba Berlin vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 85-65
19-16 21-21 23-15 22-13
Position#2
Record17-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#10
Record13-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game86.9
GermanyBBLRound 26· Uber Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Hamburg
23 Jan 2027
ABE v HAM
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
ABE87
HAM93
09 Feb 2025
ABE92
HAM77
31 Mar 2024
ABE85
HAM65
28 Sep 2022
ABE81
HAM78
27 Apr 2022
ABE96
HAM81
22 May 2021
ABE95
HAM83
20 May 2021
ABE82
HAM59
10 Apr 2021
ABE68
HAM75
14 Apr 2020
ABE v HAM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
71-106
71
106
-35
59avg 79
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
87avg 79
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
66avg 79
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
76-75
76
75
+1
63avg 79
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
79avg 79
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
112-69
112
69
+43
112avg 79
H16/03
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
67avg 79
H19/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
84-85
84
85
-1
81avg 79
A21/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 79
A24/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
68-103
68
103
-35
59avg 79
A29/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
23-30
18-30
15-19
28-21
17-15
20-12
20-19
10-23
24-19
13-21
24-25
27-19
15-17
10-25
24-14
27-13
12-32
23-24
20-21
21-24
35-10
32-16
24-19
26-16
14-20
17-22
22-28
23-23
17-30
27-12
17-20
18-22
21-13
24-21
21-23
18-34
22-18
13-31
15-20
166.0Avg total
81.2Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)92.482.8175.2+9.577%
Season at home (10)96.980.8177.7+16.190%
Season away (12)88.684.5173.1+4.167%
Last 10 (10)81.284.8166.0-3.640%
Last 5 (5)85.484.4169.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.987.4163.3-11.412%
vs Similar (6)91.084.0175.0+7.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.381.0171.3+9.371%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 76
A28/01
BBL
BC Wolves
#14
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 76
A30/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 76
H03/02
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
83-90
83
90
-7
79avg 76
H06/02
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
W
105-89
105
89
+16
102avg 76
H10/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
69avg 76
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 76
A10/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
76-96
76
96
-20
61avg 76
A17/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
no box
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
107-76
107
76
+31
108avg 76
H27/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
18-18
13-20
17-19
20-22
21-34
22-19
21-19
18-20
25-18
21-22
16-27
20-21
15-25
28-15
20-29
29-24
29-19
25-23
22-23
21-22
15-23
12-20
22-18
18-20
25-18
15-15
23-17
15-21
23-26
19-18
19-31
17-12
17-26
14-18
25-17
30-21
30-12
24-21
23-22
168.2Avg total
83.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.886.9173.8-0.154%
Season at home (11)85.685.0170.6+0.655%
Season away (13)87.888.5176.4-0.754%
Last 10 (10)83.784.5168.2-0.830%
Last 5 (5)82.881.2164.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)82.394.1176.4-11.812%
vs Similar (6)85.086.3171.3-1.350%
vs Weaker (7)102.189.7191.9+12.4100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
Alba BerlinHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H29/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/03
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H14/03
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H16/03
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H19/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A21/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A24/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A29/03
Euroleague
83.9Avg total
41.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.484.4-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.242.685.9+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)40.442.282.6-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.683.9-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.085.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.044.983.9-5.929%-
vs Similar (6)45.340.285.5+5.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.138.484.6+7.771%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A28/01
BBL
BC Wolves
#14
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A30/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H06/02
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H10/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A10/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A17/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H27/03
BBL
85.3Avg total
42.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.246.489.6-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.444.687.0-2.129%-
Last 30 away (16)43.947.991.9-4.038%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.485.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.282.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.848.188.9-7.418%-
vs Similar (6)42.743.085.7-0.350%-
vs Weaker (7)49.745.094.7+4.757%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.8
53.4%
54.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.0
35.2%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.013.8
76.7%
76.0%13.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.221.0
59.7%
54.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.3
35.8%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.016.3
74.1%
76.0%16.3
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWLLWLWLWL
Hamburg
WLLWLWLLLL
#2
League position
#10
-4.7
Net rating
-4.5
105.8
Offensive rating
110.3
110.5
Defensive rating
114.8
53.1%
Effective FG%
57.3%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
21.6%
Turnover %
21.7%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.2%
3-point %
35.8%
64.2%
Assist %
56.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 110.3Defence110.5 · 114.8Shooting53.1% · 57.3%3-point %35.2% · 35.8%Ball care21.6% · 21.7%Off. rebounds31.6% · 30.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alba Berlin wins
2
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
16/04/23Hamburg v Alba Berlin63-83
28/09/22Alba Berlin v Hamburg81-78
27/04/22Alba Berlin v Hamburg96-81
02/01/22Hamburg v Alba Berlin80-88
24/05/21Hamburg v Alba Berlin73-85
22/05/21Alba Berlin v Hamburg95-83
20/05/21Alba Berlin v Hamburg82-59
10/04/21Alba Berlin v Hamburg68-75
23/03/21Hamburg v Alba Berlin90-75
22/12/19Hamburg v Alba Berlin75-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24AFenerbahce68-103
24/03/24AChemnitz84-79
21/03/24AAnadolu Efes84-85
19/03/24HReal Madrid79-86
16/03/24HTubingen112-69
14/03/24HMonaco82-90
10/03/24ARostock76-75
08/03/24ABaskonia71-88
03/03/24HOldenburg85-67
29/02/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv71-106
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HSyntainics MBC107-76
24/03/24HBayern80-81 OT
17/03/24AWurzburg76-96
10/03/24ABasketball Braunschweig81-70
13/02/24AUlm70-83
10/02/24HRostock105-89
06/02/24HVenezia83-90
03/02/24HBonn80-87
30/01/24ABC Wolves84-94
28/01/24AVechta71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %77%90%67%
Points / game92.496.988.6
Allowed / game82.880.884.5
Point differential+9.5+16.1+4.1
Avg total175.2177.7173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%80%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW54%
HomeLLWLW55%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %54%55%54%
Points / game86.885.687.8
Allowed / game86.985.088.5
Point differential-0.1+0.6-0.7
Avg total173.8170.6176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%18%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %8%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2420483%89.177.5+11.6
2 Chemnitz2621581%88.778.2+10.5
3 Alba Berlin2217577%92.482.8+9.5
4 Wurzburg2619773%86.678.8+7.8
5 Vechta2617965%89.181.7+7.4
6 Ludwigsburg2516964%89.580.8+8.6
7 Ulm2516964%90.987.4+3.5
8 Bonn26161062%90.285.7+4.5
9 Hamburg24131154%86.886.9-0.1
10 Oldenburg25111444%83.885.3-1.5
11 Bamberg25111444%88.490.1-1.7
12 Basketball Braunschweig25111444%83.786.0-2.3
13 Syntainics MBC2681831%86.092.8-6.9
14 Gottingen2571828%87.295.4-8.2
15 Rostock2461825%90.094.1-4.1
16 Tubingen2662023%84.796.5-11.8
17 Heidelberg2662023%83.095.0-12.1
18 Crailsheim Merlins2652119%79.692.5-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1921232285
Hamburg1621151365
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