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Alba Berlin vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 67-61
20-21 15-17 9-14 23-9
Position#3
Record1-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game90.3
vs
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game79.0
GermanyBBLRound 5· Uber Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bayern
22 Nov 2026
ABE v BAY
upcoming
19 Jun 2026
ABE71
BAY61
17 Jun 2026
ABE83
BAY91
26 Oct 2025
ABE67
BAY61
24 Jan 2025
ABE84
BAY99
05 Jan 2025
ABE88
BAY81
14 Jun 2024
ABE82
BAY88
12 Jun 2024
ABE63
BAY67
10 May 2024
ABE59
BAY53
18 Jan 2024
ABE65
BAY82
04 Mar 2023
ABE71
BAY76
10 Nov 2022
ABE77
BAY79
17 Jun 2022
ABE60
BAY90
10 Jun 2022
ABE86
BAY73
12 Dec 2021
ABE73
BAY80
28 Oct 2021
ABE69
BAY82
10 Jun 2021
ABE66
BAY76
09 Jun 2021
ABE89
BAY86
03 Jan 2021
ABE85
BAY72
09 Oct 2020
ABE72
BAY90
02 May 2020
ABE v BAY
upcoming
28 Apr 2019
ABE75
BAY85
13 Jun 2018
ABE72
BAY68
07 Jun 2018
ABE69
BAY96
05 Nov 2017
ABE70
BAY80
16 May 2017
ABE82
BAY87
11 May 2017
ABE83
BAY76
12 Feb 2017
ABE56
BAY80
24 Feb 2016
ABE82
BAY82
15 Nov 2015
ABE90
BAY74
04 Jun 2015
ABE96
BAY101
31 May 2015
ABE101
BAY88
24 May 2015
ABE81
BAY55
18 Feb 2015
ABE74
BAY69
09 Nov 2014
ABE83
BAY80
27 Sep 2014
ABE76
BAY68
18 Jun 2014
ABE62
BAY75
12 Jun 2014
ABE95
BAY81
10 Nov 2013
ABE94
BAY74
08 May 2013
ABE73
BAY79
23 Mar 2013
ABE92
BAY83
02 Dec 2012
ABE82
BAY70
31 Mar 2012
ABE73
BAY52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 77
H13/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
72avg 77
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
62-74
62
74
-12
50avg 77
H21/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 77
A24/05
BBL
Trier
#12
L
92-97
92
97
-5
89avg 77
H03/10
BBL
Jena
#16
W
97-78
97
78
+19
92avg 77
A05/10
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
67avg 77
H08/10
Champions League
Wurzburg
#5
L
92-96
92
96
-4
87avg 77
A11/10
BBL
Sabah Baku
#37
W
85-76
85
76
+9
83avg 77
A15/10
Champions League
Ulm
#22
W
90-68
90
68
+22
90avg 77
H19/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
22-13
18-20
20-26
27-20
13-25
22-30
21-19
18-22
9-25
13-14
22-13
24-20
21-23
22-19
17-31
35-23
17-20
23-25
17-29
27-15
22-25
23-16
25-22
22-20
21-15
15-25
18-21
22-23
33-28
19-26
18-19
16-16
20-13
24-21
25-26
16-26
23-16
28-12
23-14
167.7Avg total
84.2Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.790.3184.0+3.333%
Season at home (1)92.097.0189.0-5.00%
Season away (2)94.587.0181.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)84.283.5167.7+0.740%
Last 5 (5)88.079.8167.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.092.1171.1-13.114%
vs Similar (7)83.182.7165.9+0.429%
vs Weaker (15)89.178.1167.2+10.967%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Jena
#16
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 80
H26/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 80
A30/09
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
91avg 80
H02/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
90avg 80
H05/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
70-98
70
98
-28
60avg 80
H10/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
100avg 80
H12/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
64-53
64
53
+11
57avg 80
H14/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 80
A16/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#24
W
99-64
99
64
+35
90avg 80
H20/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-96
71
96
-25
64avg 80
H24/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
27-24
22-15
23-15
22-23
19-24
20-21
18-19
24-28
26-27
27-16
20-17
30-17
17-18
26-26
23-18
20-26
13-19
24-23
13-30
32-13
20-29
20-21
24-18
16-14
12-19
18-7
18-13
20-14
12-23
14-25
27-26
24-14
22-13
28-18
25-19
15-23
14-24
23-22
19-27
164.9Avg total
83.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.079.0174.0+16.0100%
Season at home (3)95.079.0174.0+16.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.881.1164.9+2.760%
Last 5 (5)80.676.4157.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.292.2165.5-19.00%
vs Similar (9)78.075.9153.9+2.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.976.6164.5+11.288%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
Alba BerlinBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H21/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A24/05
BBL
Trier
#12
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H03/10
BBL
Jena
#16
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A05/10
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H08/10
Champions League
Wurzburg
#5
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A11/10
BBL
Sabah Baku
#37
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A15/10
Champions League
Ulm
#22
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H19/10
German Cup
83.6Avg total
42.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.183.9+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.340.483.8+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)44.439.684.0+4.757%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.783.6+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.483.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.348.987.1-10.614%-
vs Similar (7)44.338.983.1+5.471%-
vs Weaker (15)46.536.482.9+10.180%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jena
#16
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H26/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A30/09
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H10/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H12/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H14/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A16/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#24
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H20/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H24/10
Euroleague
82.1Avg total
40.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.380.7+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.741.282.9+0.663%-
Last 30 away (11)38.038.976.9-0.945%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.582.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.274.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.844.077.8-10.20%-
vs Similar (9)38.440.879.2-2.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.840.082.8+2.875%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.4
51.8%
53.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.2
35.9%
34.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.515.8
73.5%
73.5%15.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.7
55.9%
53.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.4
36.0%
34.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.113.8
76.2%
73.5%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWLLWLLLLW
Bayern
LWLWWLWWLW
#3
League position
#1
+1.2
Net rating
+5.1
107.7
Offensive rating
115.7
106.6
Defensive rating
110.6
52.7%
Effective FG%
55.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
21.0%
Turnover %
16.7%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.9%
3-point %
36.0%
65.0%
Assist %
64.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 115.7Defence106.6 · 110.6Shooting52.7% · 55.2%3-point %35.9% · 36.0%Ball care21.0% · 16.7%Off. rebounds33.6% · 32.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
7
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25Bayern v Alba Berlin99-86 OT
24/01/25Alba Berlin v Bayern84-99
05/01/25Alba Berlin v Bayern88-81
14/11/24Bayern v Alba Berlin115-88
14/06/24Alba Berlin v Bayern82-88
12/06/24Alba Berlin v Bayern63-67
10/06/24Bayern v Alba Berlin70-79
08/06/24Bayern v Alba Berlin79-67
10/05/24Alba Berlin v Bayern59-53
05/05/24Bayern v Alba Berlin77-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25HUlm90-68
15/10/25ASabah Baku85-76
11/10/25AWurzburg92-96
08/10/25HChalon/Saone76-81
05/10/25AJena97-78
03/10/25HTrier92-97
24/05/25AUlm84-93
21/05/25HUlm62-74
17/05/25AUlm83-94
13/05/25HSyntainics MBC81-78
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/25HOlympiacos71-96
20/10/25HBasketball Braunschweig99-64
16/10/25AFenerbahce73-88
14/10/25HOlimpia Milano64-53
12/10/25HBamberg96-81
10/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas70-98
05/10/25HHamburg96-79
02/10/25HCrvena zvezda97-88
30/09/25APanathinaikos79-87
26/09/25HJena93-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game93.792.094.5
Allowed / game90.397.087.0
Point differential+3.3-5.0+7.5
Avg total184.0189.0181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.095.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+16.0+16.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern330100%95.079.0+16.0
2 Syntainics MBC550100%89.081.8+7.2
3 Trier54180%88.087.6+0.4
4 Wurzburg54180%79.079.4-0.4
5 Ulm43175%86.280.5+5.8
6 Chemnitz53260%93.287.8+5.4
7 Bonn53260%74.673.0+1.6
8 Bamberg42250%90.586.2+4.2
9 Vechta42250%83.084.2-1.2
10 Jena42250%84.291.2-7.0
11 Frankfurt52340%90.887.2+3.6
12 Alba Berlin31233%93.790.3+3.3
13 Ludwigsburg31233%88.394.3-6.0
14 Rostock41325%79.886.5-6.8
15 Heidelberg51420%81.280.8+0.4
16 Oldenburg51420%86.487.0-0.6
17 Basketball Braunschweig51420%78.686.8-8.2
18 Hamburg4040%77.594.2-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin201592367
Bayern211714961
← all games of the day
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