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Hamburg vs Frankfurt Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 02 May 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#17
Record2-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game91.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game83.3
GermanyBBLRound 32· Inselpark Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Hamburg v Frankfurt
02 May 2027
HAM v FRA
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
HAM97
FRA75
30 Nov 2024
HAM91
FRA78
25 Mar 2023
HAM84
FRA70
13 Apr 2022
HAM68
FRA58
23 Jan 2021
HAM98
FRA70
11 Apr 2020
HAM v FRA
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Frankfurt win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
L
73-90
73
90
-17
59avg 63
H07/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
33avg 63
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#6
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 63
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#15
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
76avg 63
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 63
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 63
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 63
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
60avg 63
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 63
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A09/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
21-26
21-20
17-22
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
23-27
18-15
12-29
24-25
24-25
25-29
14-27
26-28
32-18
21-28
22-22
16-19
172.9Avg total
80.3Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.491.6174.0-9.225%
Season at home (3)89.096.7185.7-7.733%
Season away (5)78.488.6167.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)80.392.6172.9-12.320%
Last 5 (5)83.894.4178.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)82.292.5174.6-10.324%
vs Similar (10)88.281.5169.7+6.760%
vs Weaker (3)87.791.0178.7-3.333%
This opponent (Frankfurt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankfurtGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrankfurt
Date
Competition
Venezia
#15
L
72-104
72
104
-32
55avg 78
A29/09
Eurocup
Phoenix Hagen
#16
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 78
A04/10
BBL
Siauliai
#20
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 78
H06/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#17
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 78
H11/10
BBL
London Lions
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
75avg 78
A15/10
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
L
94-104
94
104
-10
93avg 78
H21/10
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#29
W
113-97
113
97
+16
110avg 78
H27/10
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 78
A30/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#17
L
78-98
78
98
-20
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
A08/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
17-20
26-31
12-25
22-18
19-22
24-26
28-22
12-13
16-22
21-17
30-19
27-24
15-19
26-19
21-16
21-18
24-18
18-22
18-18
22-14
21-17
23-43
28-30
30-29
32-22
28-22
23-24
22-29
28-24
14-8
29-21
17-24
28-27
19-22
14-25
21-20
24-16
19-20
9-21
174.0Avg total
86.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.383.3170.7+4.067%
Season at home (2)91.079.5170.5+11.5100%
Season away (4)85.585.2170.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)86.587.5174.0-1.060%
Last 5 (5)90.291.6181.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.490.2166.6-13.823%
vs Similar (11)82.486.3168.6-3.927%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)94.086.7180.7+7.383%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
HamburgFrankfurt
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H07/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
BBL
85.2Avg total
40.8Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.345.387.6-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.746.388.9-3.640%-
Last 30 away (15)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.485.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.646.089.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.645.985.5-6.324%-
vs Similar (10)46.142.888.9+3.360%-
vs Weaker (3)45.350.095.3-4.733%-
This opponent (Frankfurt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankfurtLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#15
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/09
Eurocup
Phoenix Hagen
#16
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/10
BBL
Siauliai
#20
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H06/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/10
BBL
London Lions
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/10
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H21/10
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#29
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H27/10
Eurocup
Jena
#18
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A30/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A04/11
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A08/11
BBL
85.9Avg total
43.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.082.1+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.740.780.4-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)42.441.483.8+1.053%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.485.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)49.044.493.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.041.282.2-0.254%-
vs Similar (11)38.439.577.8-1.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.243.789.8+2.550%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.1
50.3%
55.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.8
28.2%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.4%14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Frankfurttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Frankfurt: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.9
53.9%
55.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.1
38.4%
33.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.916.9
80.9%
73.4%16.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WLLLLLWLLL
Frankfurt
LLWWLWWWWL
#17
League position
#4
-16.1
Net rating
+1.7
86.6
Offensive rating
101.3
102.7
Defensive rating
99.5
46.5%
Effective FG%
55.4%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.2%
3-point %
38.4%
55.6%
Assist %
55.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.6 · 101.3Defence102.7 · 99.5Shooting46.5% · 55.4%3-point %28.2% · 38.4%Ball care14.6% · 13.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Hamburg   ■ Frankfurt
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Hamburg wins
3
Frankfurt wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Frankfurt v Hamburg89-78
05/04/26Hamburg v Frankfurt97-75
24/01/26Frankfurt v Hamburg78-82
01/03/25Frankfurt v Hamburg78-84 OT
30/11/24Hamburg v Frankfurt91-78
25/03/23Hamburg v Frankfurt84-70
29/01/23Frankfurt v Hamburg97-93
13/04/22Hamburg v Frankfurt68-58
10/10/21Frankfurt v Hamburg64-74
09/05/21Frankfurt v Hamburg96-89
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26AJena91-87
01/11/26HSyntainics MBC89-109
25/10/26ABayern77-96
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103
07/05/26HWurzburg73-90
Frankfurtlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASyntainics MBC73-77
04/11/26ATurk Telekom78-98
30/10/26AJena93-82
27/10/26HCluj-Napoca113-97
21/10/26HTenerife94-104
15/10/26ALondon Lions81-76
11/10/26HHamburg89-78
06/10/26HSiauliai79-71
04/10/26APhoenix Hagen93-88
29/09/26AVenezia72-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game82.489.078.4
Allowed / game91.696.788.6
Point differential-9.2-7.7-10.2
Avg total174.0185.7167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%33%0%
Frankfurt
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game87.391.085.5
Allowed / game83.379.585.2
Point differential+4.0+11.5+0.2
Avg total170.7170.5170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
5 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
6 Bonn85362%88.082.5+5.5
7 Wurzburg74357%81.482.1-0.7
8 Bamberg84450%86.985.8+1.1
9 Ludwigsburg84450%85.286.0-0.8
10 Alba Berlin84450%86.287.8-1.5
11 Oldenburg84450%74.482.0-7.6
12 Ulm83538%82.586.4-3.9
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
16 Phoenix Hagen82625%84.091.9-7.9
17 Hamburg82625%82.491.6-9.2
18 Jena82625%77.988.6-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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