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Hamburg vs Jena Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game89.6
GermanyBBLRound 26· Inselpark Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Hamburg v Jena
21 Mar 2027
HAM v JEN
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
HAM82
JEN84
02 Jan 2016
HAM73
JEN63
01 Feb 2015
HAM78
JEN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jena win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
33avg 72
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#5
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 72
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
76avg 72
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 72
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 72
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 72
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
60avg 72
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 72
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
23-27
18-15
12-29
24-25
24-25
25-29
14-27
26-28
32-18
21-28
22-22
16-19
24-17
33-23
24-16
10-28
174.1Avg total
82.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.390.8174.1-7.433%
Season at home (4)89.593.5183.0-4.050%
Season away (5)78.488.6167.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)82.192.0174.1-9.930%
Last 5 (5)85.293.0178.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)82.792.0174.7-9.328%
vs Similar (8)88.182.4170.5+5.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.590.0178.5-1.550%
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 68
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
56avg 68
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
85-98
85
98
-13
81avg 68
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#14
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 68
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 68
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#5
L
68-115
68
115
-47
52avg 68
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
66avg 68
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 68
A01/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H09/11
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
78-97
78
97
-19
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
8-24
25-23
9-22
13-18
14-22
21-18
14-19
25-31
24-23
24-15
12-29
18-11
18-21
26-28
17-11
21-19
19-19
22-16
20-22
11-28
22-26
16-32
19-29
29-22
24-28
8-14
21-29
30-26
13-21
23-22
12-19
18-32
28-21
22-22
19-16
11-33
28-17
16-30
23-17
165.5Avg total
76.6Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.989.6167.4-11.722%
Season at home (4)82.582.8165.2-0.250%
Season away (5)74.295.0169.2-20.80%
Last 10 (10)76.688.9165.5-12.320%
Last 5 (5)78.696.8175.4-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.689.0167.6-10.424%
vs Similar (5)81.286.8168.0-5.660%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -4.7-4.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -4.7-4.7
HamburgJena
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H14/11
BBL
86.6Avg total
43.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.488.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.846.590.3-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.686.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.893.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.645.686.1-5.028%-
vs Similar (8)46.043.189.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)47.249.096.2-1.850%-
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#5
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H09/11
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A14/11
BBL
85.3Avg total
39.7Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.846.186.9-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.644.686.1-3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)40.047.887.8-7.814%-
Last 10 (10)39.745.685.3-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.850.893.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)41.346.888.1-5.532%-
vs Similar (5)38.642.481.0-3.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.1
50.3%
55.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.8
28.2%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.4%14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.7
52.5%
55.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
33.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
73.4%11.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WWLLLLLWLL
Jena
LLLLLWWLLL
#15
League position
#18
-16.1
Net rating
-12.9
86.6
Offensive rating
85.5
102.7
Defensive rating
98.4
46.5%
Effective FG%
51.1%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
14.6%
Turnover %
19.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.2%
3-point %
32.8%
55.6%
Assist %
60.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence86.6 · 85.5Defence102.7 · 98.4Shooting46.5% · 51.1%3-point %28.2% · 32.8%Ball care14.6% · 19.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Hamburg   ■ Jena
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hamburg wins
5
Jena wins
DateGameScore
09/11/26Jena v Hamburg87-91
26/03/26Jena v Hamburg106-95
10/03/26Hamburg v Jena82-84
02/01/16Hamburg v Jena73-63
02/10/15Jena v Hamburg64-56
01/02/15Hamburg v Jena78-90
14/12/14Jena v Hamburg94-71
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWurzburg91-84
09/11/26AJena91-87
01/11/26HSyntainics MBC89-109
25/10/26ABayern77-96
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUlm78-97
09/11/26HHamburg87-91
01/11/26ABamberg78-88
30/10/26HFrankfurt82-93
09/10/26ABonn68-115
04/10/26HChemnitz82-76
01/10/26HVechta79-71
27/09/26ATrier85-98
25/09/26ASyntainics MBC62-77
10/05/26AAlba Berlin65-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game83.389.578.4
Allowed / game90.893.588.6
Point differential-7.4-4.0-10.2
Avg total174.1183.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Jena
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game77.982.574.2
Allowed / game89.682.895.0
Point differential-11.7-0.2-20.8
Avg total167.4165.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
5 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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