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Hamburg vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 69-105
15-26 11-26 28-27 15-26
Position#19
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game98.5
vs
Paris 🏆
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLWWLL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game76.5
EuropeEurocupRound 3· Edel-optics.de Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Hamburg v Paris
18 Oct 2023
HAM69
PRS105
08 Mar 2023
HAM91
PRS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
77-66
77
66
+11
68avg 73
H25/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
A29/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
78-88
78
88
-10
78avg 73
A07/05
BBL
Dresden
#16
W
88-85
88
85
+3
88avg 73
A24/09
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 73
A29/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
44avg 73
H01/10
BBL
Prometey
#7
L
77-97
77
97
-20
60avg 73
A04/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
79-90
79
90
-11
68avg 73
A08/10
BBL
London Lions
#5
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 73
H10/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
L
64-80
64
80
-16
46avg 73
H15/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-12
15-16
24-20
21-25
29-17
17-18
13-27
21-21
28-16
12-23
17-28
24-20
29-19
13-27
22-19
19-22
19-16
25-22
24-19
12-17
24-20
15-33
7-18
15-35
27-19
20-24
15-19
31-28
10-26
17-15
21-21
25-25
20-16
25-24
24-35
14-22
20-22
16-14
14-22
164.2Avg total
78.2Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.598.5184.0-13.00%
Season at home (1)94.0100.0194.0-6.00%
Season away (1)77.097.0174.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)78.286.0164.2-7.830%
Last 5 (5)74.491.0165.4-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.288.2163.4-13.16%
vs Similar (12)81.282.9164.1-1.858%
vs Weaker (1)89.087.0176.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Dijon
#9
W
81-64
81
64
+17
88avg 82
H17/09
LNB
Saint Quentin
#7
W
81-65
81
65
+16
91avg 82
A23/09
LNB
Le Mans
#12
W
112-71
112
71
+41
119avg 82
H27/09
LNB
Limoges
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
100avg 82
A30/09
LNB
BC Wolves
#14
W
105-78
105
78
+27
103avg 82
H03/10
Eurocup
Nancy
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
64avg 82
A05/10
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
W
93-86
93
86
+7
105avg 82
H08/10
LNB
Venezia
#12
W
81-75
81
75
+6
71avg 82
A11/10
Eurocup
Le Portel
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
93avg 82
H14/10
LNB
Lille
#11
L
74-85
74
85
-11
62avg 82
A16/10
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
22-20
22-18
20-14
27-15
17-18
13-21
24-11
36-17
20-17
24-18
32-19
21-16
23-12
18-14
21-23
24-15
24-25
26-22
31-16
20-19
20-17
23-25
15-20
24-16
28-31
27-22
14-17
24-22
16-19
16-19
25-15
20-12
25-31
23-22
18-25
22-18
16-29
17-17
19-21
163.4Avg total
87.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.076.5169.5+16.5100%
Season at home (1)105.078.0183.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)81.075.0156.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.476.0163.4+11.470%
Last 5 (5)82.483.4165.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.0100.5182.5-18.50%
vs Similar (16)86.688.0174.6-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.977.9167.8+12.082%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +7.3+7.3Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +7.3+7.3Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
HamburgParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H25/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A29/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A07/05
BBL
Dresden
#16
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A24/09
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A29/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/10
BBL
Prometey
#7
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A04/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A08/10
BBL
London Lions
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H15/10
German Cup
84.2Avg total
42.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.185.6-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.041.182.1-0.154%-
Last 30 away (17)41.846.588.3-4.635%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.684.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.085.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.345.886.1-5.531%-
vs Similar (12)41.842.284.1-0.458%-
vs Weaker (1)44.045.089.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dijon
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H17/09
LNB
Saint Quentin
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A23/09
LNB
Le Mans
#12
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H27/09
LNB
Limoges
#10
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A30/09
LNB
BC Wolves
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H03/10
Eurocup
Nancy
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A05/10
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H08/10
LNB
Venezia
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/10
Eurocup
Le Portel
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/10
LNB
Lille
#11
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A16/10
French Cup
82.7Avg total
44.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.587.4+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.542.490.9+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)41.742.684.3-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)44.638.182.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.885.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.552.5100.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (16)45.144.189.2+0.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.738.082.7+6.782%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.1
50.6%
54.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.1
30.5%
35.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.116.5
71.4%
74.5%16.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.6
57.2%
54.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.3
35.3%
35.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.314.3
70.4%
74.5%14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLLLLWWLLW
Paris
LLWWLWWWWW
#19
League position
#1
-10.9
Net rating
+15.2
102.0
Offensive rating
119.5
112.9
Defensive rating
104.3
48.5%
Effective FG%
55.3%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
38.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.5%
3-point %
35.3%
63.0%
Assist %
57.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 119.5Defence112.9 · 104.3Shooting48.5% · 55.3%3-point %30.5% · 35.3%Ball care19.3% · 16.3%Off. rebounds31.4% · 38.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Hamburg   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hamburg wins
1
Paris wins
DateGameScore
08/03/23Hamburg v Paris91-74
30/11/22Paris v Hamburg87-84
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HBamberg64-80
10/10/23HLondon Lions94-100
08/10/23ABayern79-90
04/10/23APrometey77-97
01/10/23HWurzburg58-88
29/09/23ALudwigsburg87-79
24/09/23ADresden88-85
07/05/23ABasketball Braunschweig78-88
29/04/23AChemnitz80-87
25/04/23HCrailsheim Merlins77-66
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/23ALille74-85
14/10/23HLe Portel86-90
11/10/23AVenezia81-75
08/10/23HBoulogne-Levallois93-86
05/10/23ANancy78-81
03/10/23HBC Wolves105-78
30/09/23ALimoges83-65
27/09/23HLe Mans112-71
23/09/23ASaint Quentin81-65
17/09/23HDijon81-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game85.594.077.0
Allowed / game98.5100.097.0
Point differential-13.0-6.0-20.0
Avg total184.0194.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.0105.081.0
Allowed / game76.578.075.0
Point differential+16.5+27.0+6.0
Avg total169.5183.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria220100%96.574.0+22.5
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv220100%98.577.0+21.5
3 Paris220100%93.076.5+16.5
4 Besiktas330100%76.066.0+10.0
5 JL Bourg330100%87.078.0+9.0
6 London Lions330100%91.783.3+8.3
7 Buducnost32167%85.377.7+7.7
8 Cluj-Napoca32167%79.376.7+2.7
9 Ulm32167%87.085.0+2.0
10 Joventut Badalona21150%75.075.0+0.0
11 Turk Telekom31233%72.075.0-3.0
12 Prometey31233%84.789.3-4.7
13 Aris31233%69.377.3-8.0
14 Lietkabelis31233%74.383.0-8.7
15 Trento2020%71.079.5-8.5
16 Venezia3030%75.084.7-9.7
17 Slask Wroclaw3030%76.787.7-11.0
18 Cedevita Olimpija3030%75.387.0-11.7
19 Hamburg2020%85.598.5-13.0
20 BC Wolves1010%78.0105.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg1511281569
Paris26262726105
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