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Bayern vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 90-79
28-31 26-10 15-17 21-21
Position#1
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game82.0
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#10
Record1-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game83.5
GermanyBBLRound 3· BMW Park
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bayern v Hamburg
25 Oct 2026
BAY96
HAM77
05 Oct 2025
BAY96
HAM79
29 Sep 2024
BAY81
HAM80
08 Oct 2023
BAY90
HAM79
14 Feb 2023
BAY70
HAM89
02 Mar 2022
BAY86
HAM75
17 Jan 2021
BAY85
HAM71
30 Sep 2019
BAY111
HAM55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
69avg 72
A07/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
87-67
87
67
+20
92avg 72
H16/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 72
H18/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
65-54
65
54
+11
56avg 72
A21/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
61avg 72
H28/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 72
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
no box
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
97avg 72
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
67-77
67
77
-10
62avg 72
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 72
H05/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
19-21
16-25
29-20
21-14
23-22
22-14
21-17
24-23
31-20
14-23
18-19
17-14
19-23
17-7
12-10
20-18
21-24
17-23
11-22
20-27
19-17
17-27
32-22
22-29
21-17
19-28
30-18
22-22
28-18
23-23
23-24
26-21
13-24
15-13
13-19
19-17
17-27
25-7
19-17
162.7Avg total
81.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.582.0163.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)96.087.0183.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)67.077.0144.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)81.781.0162.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)86.685.8172.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.088.3162.3-14.30%
vs Similar (10)79.384.7164.0-5.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.573.2154.8+8.382%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
56avg 74
H16/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 74
H19/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
80-123
80
123
-43
75avg 74
A22/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
77-66
77
66
+11
68avg 74
H25/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
A29/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
78-88
78
88
-10
78avg 74
A07/05
BBL
Dresden
#16
W
88-85
88
85
+3
88avg 74
A24/09
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 74
A29/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
44avg 74
H01/10
BBL
Prometey
#7
L
77-97
77
97
-20
60avg 74
A04/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
21-20
15-28
16-15
24-23
26-27
17-13
23-23
18-37
19-31
22-33
21-22
17-18
21-12
15-16
24-20
21-25
29-17
17-18
13-27
21-21
28-16
12-23
17-28
24-20
29-19
13-27
22-19
19-22
19-16
25-22
24-19
12-17
24-20
15-33
7-18
15-35
27-19
20-24
15-19
166.0Avg total
77.8Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.583.5156.0-11.050%
Season at home (1)58.088.0146.0-30.00%
Season away (1)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.888.2166.0-10.440%
Last 5 (5)77.687.4165.0-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.387.8162.2-13.58%
vs Similar (14)83.685.5169.1-1.950%
vs Weaker (2)94.575.5170.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
BayernHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A07/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H16/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H18/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A21/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/06
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/10
Euroleague
83.4Avg total
41.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.879.9+0.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.438.781.1+3.750%-
Last 30 away (14)37.541.178.6-3.614%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.083.4-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.885.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.046.783.7-9.70%-
vs Similar (10)38.340.979.2-2.630%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.738.079.7+3.741%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H16/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H19/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
37-68
37
68
-31
A22/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H25/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A29/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A07/05
BBL
Dresden
#16
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A24/09
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A29/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/10
BBL
Prometey
#7
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A04/10
Eurocup
86.0Avg total
42.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.543.886.3-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.841.983.8-0.150%-
Last 30 away (18)43.045.088.0-2.044%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.586.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.084.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.445.786.1-5.331%-
vs Similar (14)43.142.986.1+0.257%-
vs Weaker (2)47.039.586.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.0
54.7%
54.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.0
33.7%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.315.7
81.3%
76.0%15.7
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.1
47.8%
54.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.1
32.3%
35.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.016.6
72.2%
76.0%16.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWLLLWWWL
Hamburg
LLWWLLWLWL
#1
League position
#10
+0.6
Net rating
-13.4
109.7
Offensive rating
100.0
109.1
Defensive rating
113.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
48.0%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
19.4%
Turnover %
20.8%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.7%
3-point %
32.3%
57.8%
Assist %
67.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 100.0Defence109.1 · 113.3Shooting52.9% · 48.0%3-point %33.7% · 32.3%Ball care19.4% · 20.8%Off. rebounds31.4% · 31.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Bayern   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
4
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
14/02/23Bayern v Hamburg70-89
22/10/22Hamburg v Bayern81-78 OT
24/04/22Hamburg v Bayern87-83
02/03/22Bayern v Hamburg86-75
27/03/21Hamburg v Bayern91-86 OT
17/01/21Bayern v Hamburg85-71
30/09/19Bayern v Hamburg111-55
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/23HAlba Berlin80-68
02/10/23AOldenburg67-77
29/09/23HSyntainics MBC96-87
02/06/23AUlm102-104 OT
30/05/23HUlm88-93
28/05/23HUlm69-87
21/05/23AGottingen65-54
18/05/23HGottingen87-85
16/05/23HGottingen87-67
07/05/23AOldenburg76-88
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23APrometey77-97
01/10/23HWurzburg58-88
29/09/23ALudwigsburg87-79
24/09/23ADresden88-85
07/05/23ABasketball Braunschweig78-88
29/04/23AChemnitz80-87
25/04/23HCrailsheim Merlins77-66
22/04/23ASyntainics MBC80-123
19/04/23HHeidelberg90-86
16/04/23HAlba Berlin63-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.596.067.0
Allowed / game82.087.077.0
Point differential-0.5+9.0-10.0
Avg total163.5183.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game72.558.087.0
Allowed / game83.588.079.0
Point differential-11.0-30.0+8.0
Avg total156.0146.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vechta330100%96.076.7+19.3
2 Ulm330100%96.385.7+10.7
3 Gottingen110100%110.0104.0+6.0
4 Alba Berlin32167%96.085.3+10.7
5 Chemnitz32167%93.383.3+10.0
6 Oldenburg32167%85.080.3+4.7
7 Basketball Braunschweig32167%85.783.0+2.7
8 Wurzburg21150%74.068.0+6.0
9 Ludwigsburg21150%78.573.5+5.0
10 Rostock21150%101.599.0+2.5
11 Bayern21150%81.582.0-0.5
12 Hamburg21150%72.583.5-11.0
13 Tubingen31233%81.392.7-11.3
14 Crailsheim Merlins31233%88.0100.3-12.3
15 Bonn2020%77.586.0-8.5
16 Syntainics MBC2020%82.090.5-8.5
17 Heidelberg3030%92.3101.3-9.0
18 Bamberg2020%79.0105.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2826152190
Hamburg3110172179
← all games of the day
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