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Hamburg vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 58-88
12-17 24-20 15-33 7-18
Position#10
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game79.0
Hamburg
Germany
vs
Wurzburg 🏆
Germany
Position#4
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyBBLRound 2· Edel-optics.de Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Hamburg v Wurzburg
14 Nov 2026
HAM91
WUR84
07 May 2026
HAM73
WUR90
26 Jan 2025
HAM68
WUR66
01 Oct 2023
HAM58
WUR88
30 Dec 2022
HAM96
WUR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
78-112
78
112
-34
66avg 75
A09/04
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
70avg 75
A11/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
56avg 75
H16/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 75
H19/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
80-123
80
123
-43
75avg 75
A22/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
77-66
77
66
+11
68avg 75
H25/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
A29/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
78-88
78
88
-10
78avg 75
A07/05
BBL
Dresden
#16
W
88-85
88
85
+3
88avg 75
A24/09
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 75
A29/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
14-32
24-26
17-28
20-28
20-20
16-21
23-18
11-20
21-20
15-28
16-15
24-23
26-27
17-13
23-23
18-37
19-31
22-33
21-22
17-18
21-12
15-16
24-20
21-25
29-17
17-18
13-27
21-21
28-16
12-23
17-28
24-20
29-19
13-27
22-19
19-22
19-16
25-22
24-19
169.6Avg total
80.0Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.089.6169.6-9.640%
Last 5 (5)82.081.0163.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.487.9163.3-12.58%
vs Similar (15)83.585.9169.5-2.447%
vs Weaker (2)94.575.5170.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
106-99 OT
106
99
+7
no box
A01/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
47-76
47
76
-29
26avg 69
A05/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
49-67
49
67
-18
38avg 69
H10/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
86-85
86
85
+1
71avg 69
A15/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
H18/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
no box
A22/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 69
H27/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 69
A01/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 69
H04/05
BBL
PS Karlsruhe
#22
W
93-81
93
81
+12
86avg 69
A23/09
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
16-26
26-21
24-21
9-19
9-22
14-15
15-20
12-18
9-22
14-7
14-20
20-24
16-25
31-18
19-18
17-24
22-16
19-13
20-29
18-24
19-21
19-17
22-19
26-22
18-30
15-20
15-20
16-20
19-17
19-24
23-25
12-19
25-22
15-17
21-19
22-17
25-21
22-23
24-20
158.7Avg total
76.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.182.6158.7-6.530%
Last 5 (5)79.083.4162.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.880.4150.2-10.722%
vs Similar (18)82.482.1164.6+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)97.586.0183.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
HamburgWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A09/04
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A11/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H16/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H19/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
37-68
37
68
-31
A22/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H25/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A29/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A07/05
BBL
Dresden
#16
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A24/09
German Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A29/09
BBL
87.4Avg total
42.4Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.986.5-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.242.885.1-0.650%-
Last 30 away (18)42.844.787.5-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)42.445.087.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.282.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.545.986.4-5.433%-
vs Similar (15)43.043.386.3-0.353%-
vs Weaker (2)47.039.586.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A01/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A05/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H10/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A15/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H18/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H27/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A01/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H04/05
BBL
PS Karlsruhe
#22
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A23/09
German Cup
78.1Avg total
35.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.783.5-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.539.982.4+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.345.284.5-5.919%-
Last 10 (10)35.242.978.1-7.710%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.682.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.642.278.8-5.733%-
vs Similar (18)41.742.684.3-0.839%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)48.548.597.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.3
48.2%
54.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.0
34.9%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.116.5
74.7%
76.0%16.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.0
45.0%
54.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.3
36.2%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.112.8
70.7%
76.0%12.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WWLLWLWLLL
Wurzburg
WLLLLLWLLW
#10
League position
#4
-12.8
Net rating
-10.4
102.6
Offensive rating
100.7
115.4
Defensive rating
111.1
49.8%
Effective FG%
48.5%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
21.2%
Turnover %
18.3%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.9%
3-point %
36.2%
65.2%
Assist %
47.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 100.7Defence115.4 · 111.1Shooting49.8% · 48.5%3-point %34.9% · 36.2%Ball care21.2% · 18.3%Off. rebounds32.0% · 28.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Hamburg   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hamburg wins
1
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
06/02/23Wurzburg v Hamburg90-56
30/12/22Hamburg v Wurzburg96-73
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23ALudwigsburg87-79
24/09/23ADresden88-85
07/05/23ABasketball Braunschweig78-88
29/04/23AChemnitz80-87
25/04/23HCrailsheim Merlins77-66
22/04/23ASyntainics MBC80-123
19/04/23HHeidelberg90-86
16/04/23HAlba Berlin63-83
11/04/23APrometey79-87
09/04/23AUlm78-112
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23APS Karlsruhe93-81
04/05/23HBasketball Braunschweig73-77
01/05/23AFrankfurt77-86
27/04/23HGottingen74-92
22/04/23ALudwigsburg78-81
18/04/23HOldenburg78-82
15/04/23ACrailsheim Merlins86-85
10/04/23HBayern49-67
05/04/23AAlba Berlin47-76
01/04/23ABamberg106-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential+8.0-+8.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vechta220100%92.579.0+13.5
2 Alba Berlin110100%90.081.0+9.0
3 Bayern110100%96.087.0+9.0
4 Hamburg110100%87.079.0+8.0
5 Basketball Braunschweig220100%88.081.5+6.5
6 Ulm110100%90.085.0+5.0
7 Crailsheim Merlins110100%85.081.0+4.0
8 Rostock1010%81.085.0-4.0
9 Bonn1010%79.084.0-5.0
10 Chemnitz1010%85.090.0-5.0
11 Oldenburg1010%86.091.0-5.0
12 Ludwigsburg1010%79.087.0-8.0
13 Syntainics MBC2020%82.090.5-8.5
14 Heidelberg1010%81.090.0-9.0
15 Bamberg1010%79.0101.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg122415758
Wurzburg1720331888
← all games of the day
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