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Hamburg vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 89-87
22-26 22-19 28-19 17-23
Position#16
Record5-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game85.6
Hamburg 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record3-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game82.6
EuropeEurocupRound 17
European cup2022
Meetings · Hamburg v Trento
21 Mar 2023
HAM89
TRE87
30 Mar 2022
HAM90
TRE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 77
H03/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
56-90
56
90
-34
53avg 77
A06/02
BBL
London Lions
#14
L
66-83
66
83
-17
50avg 77
A08/02
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
W
86-74
86
74
+12
80avg 77
H11/02
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
89-70
89
70
+19
86avg 77
A14/02
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
no box
H03/03
BBL
Paris
#8
W
91-74
91
74
+17
84avg 77
H08/03
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 77
H11/03
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
no box
A14/03
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#5
L
58-94
58
94
-36
46avg 77
A19/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
14-20
20-26
15-21
18-25
15-24
19-10
4-31
16-19
14-23
21-20
15-21
22-18
17-15
22-16
25-25
35-19
18-15
16-23
20-13
24-30
24-15
19-23
16-20
23-19
23-22
33-16
12-17
13-20
21-24
22-30
21-9
29-26
25-26
15-17
16-22
15-23
14-31
21-16
8-24
161.0Avg total
77.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.985.6167.5-3.631%
Season at home (8)84.089.2173.2-5.238%
Season away (8)79.981.9161.8-2.025%
Last 10 (10)77.283.8161.0-6.630%
Last 5 (5)78.886.0164.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.889.7167.5-11.815%
vs Similar (15)82.987.8170.7-4.927%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)90.074.5164.5+15.550%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
L
60-78
60
78
-18
42avg 63
H01/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
67avg 63
H05/02
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 63
H07/02
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
W
79-74
79
74
+5
76avg 63
A12/02
Lega A
Tortona
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#8
W
83-76
83
76
+7
82avg 63
H05/03
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#1
L
88-94
88
94
-6
85avg 63
A08/03
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A12/03
Lega A
Buducnost
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
69avg 63
H14/03
Eurocup
Tortona
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
64avg 63
H18/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
20-17
11-21
9-20
15-27
19-31
29-17
14-20
20-17
20-26
14-16
18-21
19-19
13-14
23-23
24-18
16-22
20-16
12-21
22-15
19-18
17-24
21-18
26-16
20-30
24-23
15-17
29-24
15-18
14-19
23-21
24-27
24-13
25-15
13-25
17-23
22-18
20-16
23-27
8-14
156.4Avg total
75.7Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.282.6154.8-10.319%
Season at home (8)75.481.2156.6-5.938%
Season away (8)69.183.9153.0-14.80%
Last 10 (10)75.780.7156.4-5.030%
Last 5 (5)79.881.2161.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.180.5152.6-8.327%
vs Similar (11)73.376.0149.3-2.755%
vs Weaker (3)78.781.7160.3-3.033%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
HamburgTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H03/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A06/02
BBL
London Lions
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A08/02
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H11/02
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A14/02
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H03/03
BBL
Paris
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/03
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H11/03
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A14/03
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#5
L
29-54
29
54
-25
A19/03
BBL
85.0Avg total
41.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.044.186.1-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.044.686.6-2.641%-
Last 30 away (13)42.043.485.4-1.454%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.885.0-2.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.247.289.4-5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.146.587.6-5.531%-
vs Similar (15)42.342.885.1-0.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)46.037.583.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H01/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
34-58
34
58
-24
H05/02
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H07/02
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/02
Lega A
Tortona
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H05/03
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#1
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A08/03
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A12/03
Lega A
Buducnost
#11
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H14/03
Eurocup
Tortona
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H18/03
Lega A
78.5Avg total
38.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.377.2-3.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.339.878.1-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)35.640.876.4-5.27%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.378.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.878.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.741.679.3-3.927%-
vs Similar (11)36.437.874.2-1.527%-
vs Weaker (3)35.743.779.3-8.00%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.4
50.4%
53.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.0
32.0%
35.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.711.6
65.5%
74.2%11.6
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.4
47.4%
53.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.26.0
31.2%
35.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws21.116.1
76.3%
74.2%16.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLLWLWWLLL
Trento
LWLLWLWLLL
#16
League position
#18
-8.8
Net rating
-8.4
98.9
Offensive rating
100.2
107.8
Defensive rating
108.6
49.5%
Effective FG%
47.3%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
21.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.0%
3-point %
31.2%
60.2%
Assist %
54.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 100.2Defence107.8 · 108.6Shooting49.5% · 47.3%3-point %32.0% · 31.2%Ball care21.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds32.0% · 28.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Hamburg   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hamburg wins
1
Trento wins
DateGameScore
13/12/22Trento v Hamburg85-80
30/03/22Hamburg v Trento90-69
22/12/21Trento v Hamburg90-99
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23AOldenburg58-94
14/03/23AHapoel Tel-Aviv85-91
11/03/23HLudwigsburg77-83
08/03/23HParis91-74
03/03/23HBamberg83-88
14/02/23ABayern89-70
11/02/23HBayreuth86-74
08/02/23ALondon Lions66-83
06/02/23AWurzburg56-90
03/02/23HRostock81-91
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23HTortona73-75
14/03/23HBuducnost79-76
12/03/23ATreviso76-85
08/03/23AGran Canaria88-94
05/03/23HBrescia83-76
16/02/23ATortona70-74
12/02/23AScafati79-74
07/02/23HTurk Telekom72-80
05/02/23HSassari77-95
01/02/23HHapoel Tel-Aviv60-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL31%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game81.984.079.9
Allowed / game85.689.281.9
Point differential-3.6-5.2-2.0
Avg total167.5173.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Trento
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW19%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%38%0%
Points / game72.275.469.1
Allowed / game82.681.283.9
Point differential-10.3-5.9-14.8
Avg total154.8156.6153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria1613381%85.679.8+5.9
2 Prometey1612475%87.883.4+4.3
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1611569%87.679.0+8.6
4 Turk Telekom1611569%84.478.5+5.9
5 Joventut Badalona1611569%85.079.6+5.4
6 Paris1610662%86.284.9+1.2
7 Promitheas1610662%83.683.1+0.5
8 Venezia169756%81.475.9+5.5
9 Buducnost169756%79.875.0+4.8
10 Lietkabelis169756%79.880.8-0.9
11 Ulm169756%84.085.6-1.6
12 JL Bourg168850%82.984.6-1.7
13 Brescia167944%79.979.2+0.6
14 London Lions167944%79.680.0-0.4
15 Bursaspor167944%84.385.1-0.8
16 Hamburg1651131%81.985.6-3.6
17 Cluj-Napoca1651131%84.988.8-3.8
18 Cedevita Olimpija1631319%83.990.8-6.9
19 Trento1631319%72.282.6-10.3
20 Slask Wroclaw161156%73.485.9-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg2222281789
Trento2619192387
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